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3/12 Mt. Hood snow forecast and Gorge wind alert

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Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Monday
Tuesday
Tuesday

Good morning,

I spent some extra time looking at additional models this morning, as this is a powerful system headed our way, and I wanted extra input. After careful consideration, I’m sticking with yesterday’s call of mixed precipitation today, although I supposed there’s a chance we could get really lucky and stay with wet snow, but I wouldn’t bet a tray of brownies on that. The latest model runs show the freezing level at 3000′ at 7am, 5500′ at 11am, 6500′ at 2pm, 6000′ at 5pm and 2500′ at 8pm. I think the freezing level will drop more slowly than that, but the general idea is right. Wind on Mt. Hood will be SW 40-60 at 7am, 50-80 at 11am, 50-70 at 2pm 65-75 at 5pm and 45-50 at 8pm. The SW wind doesn’t tend to hit Meadows lower mountain super hard, so you can probably knock 20-30% off those windspeeds for lower slopes. Timberline will likely take the brunt of this one. At either resort, it should still be windy enough to make a mess of things. Little Skibowl, luckily, is a bit protected from the wind.

Back to the precip, we’ll see .7-.8” water value (WV) by 5pm, and that’s going to be a mix of snow, rain, sleet, and freezing rain. We’ll see very heavy precip between 5pm and midnight, for another 1” WV, half of which will fall as a wet mix, and half of which will fall as snow for 4-6” of new.

The snow level will be down to 500′ by midnight, rising to 1000′ by 2pm Tuesday. Another .3” WV falls by 4am Tuesday, for 3-4” of snow, followed by .4” WV by 4pm Tuesday for 4-6” of new light powder. Tuesday wind will be SW 30-35 early, picking up to 35-40 by 2pm.

Snow flurries fall Tuesday night into Wednesday for less than 2” of new. The snow level will be 500′ early, 2000′ at 1pm, 4000′ at 4pm and 5500′ by 10pm. We’ll see a couple inches of new on the ground in the morning, followed by cloudy skies as the bulk of the storm stays north of us during the day (although that’s subject to change, as models are disagreeing). Wind on Wednesday will be SW 25-30 early, rising to 30-35 in the evening.

Thursday looks crappy, as the freezing level will be 5500-6500′ during the day, with lots of precip and wind in the 40-60 range.

If you want to go windsurfing, there are east winds this morning, but it’s not going to be super consistent, and it’s going to die as the low pressure system moves up the coast. Tomorrow looks more promising, with westerlies in the 23-26 range in the eastern Gorge in the afternoon.

Have a nice day today. Enjoy the storm.

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til January 2013, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors during the summer season (and the winter if I get off my bum and get some!). If you don’t PayPal, you can send a donation to PO Box 841 in Hood River, 97031.










Categories
Forecast

3/11 Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

Paramount Energy Solutions - Solar for zero down
Enter “Temira” as your referral code

Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

Good morning!

Today looks like a nice, cold, snowy day on Mt. Hood with the freezing level at 1500′ early, 2000′ midday, and 500′ in the evening. NOAA is calling for 7-11” of new snow today, but I’m not sure I see that with the SW wind direction and only .1-.3” water value on the GFS precip model. Wind will be SW 30-35 early, 35-40 midday, and 25-30 in the evening. We’ll see 2-4” of new snow during the day today, followed by flurries this evening and overnight, with a chance of starbreaks tonight.

Monday starts off mostly cloudy, with snow starting by 7am. The snow level will be 1000′ early, 2500′ at 11am, 4500′ at 1pm, 4000′ at 4pm and 1000′ at 7pm. Despite the nominally OK freezing level, I think there’s a pretty good chance of mixed precipitation between 2pm and 10pm, likely of the freezing rain variety. Wind will be SW 30-35 early, rising to 40-45 by 7am, 50-60 by 11am, 60-70 by 4pm, before dropping to 40-50 in the evening. The SW direction of the strong wind shouldn’t cause too much trouble with chairlifts, despite the scary speeds forecast for ridgetops. Back to the precip issue, we’ll get .3-.5” between 7am and 4pm, for 2-3” of new, assuming it stays mostly snow. Between 4pm Monday and 4am Tuesday, we’ll get another .6-.9” WV, for 5-7” of new snow with some other precip thrown in.

Tuesday looks like a nice ski day, with the snow level at 1000′ all day. Wind will be SW 25-30 early, rising to 30-35 by 10am and holding all day. We’ll get .3-.4” WV between 4am and 4pm, for 4-5” of new snow. We’ll see flurries overnight Tuesday into Wednesday.

Wednesday starts off with high overcast skies with precip starting around 2pm, becoming heavy by 4pm. The snow level starts off at less than 1000′, rising to 4000′ by 2pm and 5500′ by 7pm. At this point, it looks like this round of precip will come in as rain, but we’ll have to wait a day or two to know for sure. Even then, nothing’s really for sure. It’s the weather, right?

Your wind forecast includes west wind at 23-26 in the eastern Gorge today with gusty 15-18 in the western Gorge. Next chance for wind is easterlies on Tuesday.

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til January 2013, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors during the summer season (and the winter if I get off my bum and get some!). If you don’t PayPal, you can send a donation to PO Box 841 in Hood River, 97031.