11/15 Forecast – Last day of summer

Posted by
 November 15, 2011

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Good morning!

It’s a beautiful, sunny day in the Gorge today. Get out and enjoy it, because the sun is going to take a long vacation after this. Gorge wind will be light today. Tomorrow morning brings east wind at 21-25 or better as low pressure sits off the coast. The wind will switch to westerly around 2-4pm, for strong, gusty west wind late Wednesday and overnight. Once again, I suggest you bring in your garbage cans (that means you, Arthur, as you didn’t listen last time and yours blew down the street). Thursday brings cold westerlies in the 24-28 range in the eastern Gorge.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Things get really exciting in the snow forecast starting tomorrow. Today just looks partly cloudy on Mt. Hood with west wind at 20-25 and no new snow.

By tomorrow morning, the storm will be on its way. At 1am, the snow level will be at 2000’, with SW wind at 15-20. By 10am, we’ll have 5000’ and SW 40-45. The snow level rises to 6500’ by 4pm, with wind at 55-60, and rises all the way to 8000’ by 10pm with wind at 60-65, for an early season mini Pineapple Express. Over the course of the day Wednesday, total precip at 5000’ will be 2-3” water value, with snow early, a healthy shot of rain, and then snow again by 4am Thursday morning. It’s hard to predict snowfall amounts with this system. Call it 3-5” of wet slop at 5000’ and 2-3’ above 8000’.

At 4am Thursday, the snow level should be back to 2500’, falling to 1000’ or maybe even less (sorry Parkdale). Mt. Hood wind Thursday mornig will be WSW 45-55mph, holding through the day, for blizzard conditions. Total precip Thursday will be 1” water value, for 12-16” of new snow.

In the forecast for the next few days, we should see a few inches of snow each day Friday-Monday, and then, if the forecast holds, lots of snow on Tuesday and Wednesday. If this forecast holds, I predict Meadows opening the day after Thanksgiving, but then again, what do I know?

Friday-Tuesday look cold and snowy. Chance of Meadows in the next two weeks: 90%. Skibowl: 60%.

Have an awesome day today!


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