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11/17. Mt Hood snow/rain, Gorge wind and weather

It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for the snow forecast!

This is Temira.
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Random Morning Thoughts

Gratitude Month, day 17: Today I am grateful to all the people who taught me to cook delicious things as a filthy-mouthed line cook. Why? Because being able to cook for people is a beautiful gift. Jacques, Kirby, Johnson, Terry, Ben, Pete, Mike, Christiaan, Mark, Matt, Robin, and all the rest, thank you. And thanks to Maui for letting me be a feisty, filthy-mouthed line cook.


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

Mt. Hood Snow Rain Forecast

It’s still cloudy and snowing on Mt. Hood this morning, and that’s a lovely thing. The snow level is around 4500′ this morning, and will fall to 4000′ midday, before rising to, well, somewhere between 6000′ and 8000′ overnight, and falling back to 6000′ by Monday morning. We’ll see .2” water value (WV) today, for 1-2” of snow. Wind will be WSW 25-35.

Monday starts off cloudy and calm, but that won’t last. The snow level will be 6000′ early, 6500′ around 1pm, and 7500′ from 7pm on through the night. We’ll see a snow/rain/sleet/freezing rain mix starting around 1pm, switching to rain pretty quickly. Models currently show around 1” WV between 1pm Monday and 4am Tuesday, but I suspect they are underestimating the rainfall amounts. Anyway, it’s going to be wet and not white at ski area base elevations. Wind on Monday will be SW 20 early, 40 mid-afternoon and 50 overnight.

Tuesday sees the snow level at 7500′ early, dropping to 5500′ after 4pm and crashing overnight, after the precipitation stops (of course, right?). Now, it looks like Tuesday’s precip will come from a nearly-stationary system, meaning precip amounts could vary widely depending on where the system sets up. Since it’s going to be rain, let’s hope it doesn’t set up over Mt. Hood. So, no rainfall amounts for you for now. Wind will be WSW 50 early, dropping to 30 by 4pm.

Remember yesterday’s discussion of lack of model consensus? As of today, the models are starting to agree on something completely different: a dry, two-day cold snap on Wednesday and Thursday, with temps below freezing in the Gorge and in the teens on the hill, possibly followed by another wet system next weekend (or not – the GFS precip model shows dry weather through next Sunday).

Plain Old Local Weather

It’s wet, duh. Look outside your window, and you’ll see gray sky, hovering low clouds, and dripping trees. Puddle-covered pavement. Soggy grass. Spray rising from car tires. And it’ll stay cloudy and showery today, but not so wet that you’ll abhor the outdoors. Just sprinkles today. Get your outside action early tomorrow, because the downpour starts around noon or 1pm and continues through Tuesday.

In interesting weather news, models are coming to a consensus on a very chilly Wednesday and Thursday here in the Gorge. Temps will be near, right at, or below freezing for the two day period. No precipitation with the cold snap, sadly, so no skiing on Burdoin Mountain. But maybe, just maybe, it will be cold enough to ride frozen trails, one of my favorite things!

Gorge Wind Forecast

Wow. Kudos to the kiters out in the pouring rain at the Event Site yesterday, and kudos to everyone else who caught some of that ripping wind in the desert. Today starts out light, picking up to gusty 13-15 in the western gorge and gusty 21-24 east of Mosier this afternoon. Tomorrow brings easterlies at 10-15, and then tomorrow night, after dark, we’ll see another round of westerlies at 30-40. The westerlies will likely fade to the upper teens by Tuesday morning, leaving us in light west wind for the rest of the day.

Road and Mountain Biking

Biking just sounds really wet right now. Maybe it’s better in The Dalles?


The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

There’s pickup rugby in Mosier at 3pm. I have nothing other than regularly scheduled events on my calendar for next week, so if you know of anything, please email me.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

Categories
Forecast

11/15. Mt. Hood Snow. Gorge Wind. Fun Events.

It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for the snow forecast!

This is Temira.
Your forecaster.

Thank you for using this forecast. Please tell your friends about it! And if you or your friends think this service is awesome/useful/saves you gas money/makes your life more fun, make a donation by clicking the sun below. Is more fun worth $49/year? $20/year? Donate what it’s worth to you, but $12 minimum gets you on the email list (with occasional giveaways) for a year. Thank you for your support, and have fun today!

PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!

Random Morning Thoughts

Gratitude Month, day 14: Can I be grateful for my view again this morning (minus the freeway, of course)? Because this morning’s sunrise was gorgeous (and distracting) as I wrote the forecast. No? Okay, today I am grateful to my friend CC for always being there to listen, for being there with a crass reply to any TMI I could throw at her, for being my friend. Oh, and for always having a Diet Coke for me. I miss you, lovely lady.


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

(Very Chatty) Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

Mother Nature’s idea of fun and excitement will be visible on Mt. Hood today, with a diffucult-to-nail-forecast kind of day. It’ll be windy, that’s for sure, and lots of moisture will fall from the sky, that’s for sure, but the form of the moisture, well… in contrast to what I said yesterday, I now think it will be a mix. And by saying that, I should ensure that it stays all snow, all the time, leaving me looking like an a**hole!

The snow level starts at 2000′ today, rises to 2500′ by 1pm, 5000′ by 7pm, 6243′ by 10pm, and then falls to 4000′ around 1am. Without getting too technical, I’ll say that some things have changed in the models since yesterday to lead me to believe we’ll see rain or freezing rain between 7pm and midnight, maybe not that whole period, but likely (80%) for part of it. So, we’ll see .4” water value (WV) between 1pm and 7pm, for 3-5” of snow. Then another .8” falls between 10pm tonight and 4am Saturday, for a mix of snow, rain, and freezing rain, for 3-6” of accumulation. Wind for this period will be W 30 this morning, ramping up to W 50-60 from 7pm onward.

On Saturday morning, the snow level will be down around 2000′, hovering between 1500′ and 2000′ all day. Terrain-enhanced snowfall (aka “orographic”, my favorite word), will give us .6-.8” WV by 4pm, for 6-9” of new snow. We’ll see another .2-.4” overnight into Sunday, for another 2-4”. Wind will be W 50 early, dropping to WNW 40 and holding all day.

Sunday looks partly cloudy with intermittent orographic snow. The snow level will be 2500′ early and 5000′ in the afternoon, with .1-.3” WV for 1-3” of new. Wind will be W 30 all day.

Monday looks dry, but the jet stream takes an unfavorable turn on Tuesday, coming out of the SW where the palm trees grow. Temps at 5000′ look to rise into the 40’s, with significant rainfall. The long-long range forecast currently suggests another such event next Friday, but that’s a very long way out to be placing bets.

Plain Old Local Weather

Get your dry-weather fun in this morning, because rain is going to start around noon and continue through tomorrow morning. We’ll see showers tomorrow morning, tapering off in the afternoon, and we’ll see partly to mostly cloudy conditions Sunday. Today looks mild, with highs right around 50, but tomorrow will only make it into the low 40’s. Sunday looks like mid-40’s.

Gorge Wind Forecast

Three days of wind in the forecast, Johnnies. That’s pretty special for November. This morning’s gradients are .11 (pdx-dls) and .04 (dls-psc), and that’s a good start to the day, especially since there’s actually some wind out there along with the gradient: 20 at Stevenson, 23 at Doug’s, and 15 at Arlington as of 7am. Expect the wind to ramp up, becoming 30+ from Doug’s to Arlington between 10am and 2pm. Get it early, because it will likely fade in the afternoon.

But don’t worry: as the low pressure system causing today’s rain and mountain snow moves east tonight and tomorrow, we’ll see another morning round of 30-35 east of The Dalles. Again, you’ll want to get it early. Sunday brings west wind at 15-18 through the whole Gorge.

Through this whole period, you can expect up-and-down 15-20 from Stevenson to Hood River and periods of 24-28 at Mosier. Sheesh. That’s a lot of wind words for the middle of November!

Road and Mountain Biking

Good-bye 44 Road trails. Again. How many times do you think I’ll say that this fall?


The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

Tonight, of course, is the Gala Fashion Show at the Hood River Inn. Doors at 6pm. Show at 7pm. It will most likely be sold out, so you will most likely need to be downtown ticket hunting today if you’d like to go.

Coming up tomorrow, Ranger Jimmy T has the annual Charley’s Trail work day in honor of Charley LaVenture. Meet at the top of Charley’s Trail at 9am. After that, Dirty Fingers has a sale and bike swap, so round up all your unused bike gear and dump it on Mitchell’s floor. That’s 3-7 on Saturday, and also involves crock pots in some manner, so perhaps he’s feeding you?

Also tomorrow, the HRVHS soccer team plays in the state championships at 10:30am. You can go to Hillsboro to cheer on our awesome youth players, or you can watch the game live online here.

Finally, it’s HUMPfest in Portland. I’ll let you do your own Googling. Tickets, as always, are sold out, but it is possible to buy them from scalpers in line. Or there are a few “rush” tickets available if you’re willing to stand in line outside the theater for an hour.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira