weather - The Gorge is my Gym

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Random Morning Thoughts

Two happy lights are better than one!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

Today starts off clear on Mt. Hood, becoming cloudy midday with snow flurries starting around noon. The snow level will be 4500′ early this morning, dropping to 2500′ around 1pm and falling to the surface by midnight. We’ll see .1-.2” water value (WV), for less than 2” of new snow between 1pm and 10pm. Wind will be NW 25-35 early, rising to NW 30-40 in the afternoon and becoming NNW 20-25 overnight.

Tomorrow looks clear and cold on Mt. Hood, with the free air freezing level at the surface and temps at 5000′ in the mid teens in the morning and low 20’s in the afternoon. Wind will be NW 20-30 early, NE 20 midday, and out of that hard-to-predict N direction in the afternoon.

Friday is tricky. The snow level will be at the surface early, but as warm, wet air overruns the cold air, we’ll see the snow level jump from 0′ to 9000′ in a very short period of time midday. While this is happening, between 4am and 4pm, we’ll see .2-.3” WV, which could fall as snow and could fall as freezing rain. If it falls as snow, it will be very dense and wet.

After 4pm, and through 4am Friday, we’ll see another .6-.8” WV. During much of this time period, the snow level will be 8000-9000′, meaning this precip will likely fall as rain. If that wasn’t a big enough bummer, take a look at the wind speeds for Friday: NW 30-40 at 4am, NW 50-60 at 10am, NW 60-70 at 4pm, and NW 60 overnight.

On Saturday morning, the snow level briefly drops to 5000′ before rising to 8000′ by 10am and staying there. At this point, it looks like we’ll start Saturday with a mix of flurries and sprinkles and rainbows before we see the sky clear midday. Wind Saturday will be NW 35-45 early, swinging to NNW 30-40 midday.

Plain Old Local Weather

Today looks like a decent, partly cloudy day with temps in the mid-40’s. We’ll see increasing clouds in the afternoon with a chance of sprinkles, turning to a chance of snow flurries overnight as the snow level drops to the surface by Thursday morning.

Tomorrow looks to be below freezing in the Gorge, with very slick roads and a low cloud deck overhead. If we stay below freezing Thursday night, we’ll see either snow or freezing rain on Friday morning as a warm system moves over the top of the cold air. The cold air should get scrubbed out of the Gorge pretty quickly Friday afternoon.

Gorge Wind Forecast

We’re starting the day with .11 between Portland and The Dalles. That’ll give us westerlies at 21-24 from Hood River to The Dalles pretty much all day. Tomorrow starts off light, building to E 15-18 midday. Friday starts off light, and as this mega-system moves through, the wind goes to W 30-40 in the afternoon.

Road and Mountain Biking

I went for a jog on the Gorge 400 out of Wyeth yesterday, and it was in great shape. Post and Syncline are both very muddy, Whoopdee is closed, and I have no reports for Hospital Hill.

The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

This evening at Columbia Center for the Arts, Peter Marbach talks on the town of Kumari, Nepal, and the life of trekking guide Jamat Lama. Proceeds for this event will benefit the Sukman Memorial Polyclinic in Kumari, Nepal. That should be fun and interesting. Also tonight, at 8pm, there’s Kayak Polo at the Hood River pool at 8pm, Karma Yoga (free/by donation) at Flow at 4pm, and ping pong at the Hood River Armory starting at 6:30pm.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

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Random Morning Thoughts

Thank you to Sonia and Erin for the Bar Mitts. Reynaud’s sucks. You rock.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

I’m not really keen on what I’m seeing in this forecast. Neither is real weatherman Mark Nelsen.

Today looks sunny and warm, with the free air freezing level (FAF) at 12,000′ early, dropping to 10,000′ in the evening and falling to 7000′ by midnight. Temps at 5000′ will be near 50 this morning, falling to the 40’s this afternoon. Wind will be W 30 this morning, dropping to W 20 overnight. No precip.

Wednesday looks cloudy with the snow level at 5000′ at 4am, dropping to 2000′ by 10am and 500′ in the late afternoon. We’ll see just .1” or so of precip during the day, likely falling as a trace of snow. Wind will be W 30 in the morning, WNW 25-35 midday and NW 30+ in the afternoon.

On Thursday, we’ll see clear and cold weather on Mt. Hood, with the FAF at the surface and temps at 5000′ in the teens in the morning and mid-20’s in the afternoon. Wind will be out of the hard-to-predict N in the morning, swinging NE midday and NW in the afternoon.

Now on to the interesting day, a little too far out to predict, but close enough for a general idea. A warm, wet system will swing over the top of this cold air. We’ll likely start with snow in the wee hours of Friday morning, switching to freezing rain around daybreak, and then switching to pure rain at some point, with .6” water value (WV) between 4am and 4pm. Wind will be spectacular: NW 50 early, NW 60 midday, and NW 70 in the afternoon. And remember, models tend to underpredict NW wind by a significant amount.

Saturday looks borderline for rain or snow. Wait and see.

Plain Old Local Weather

The end of the week is currently looking ugly here in the Gorge. Today, however, looks nice, with the high temp forecast to reach nearly 50 degrees. Wednesday looks partly cloudy with temps in the 40’s. Thursday looks cold, in the 20’s early and right around freezing in the afternoon under increasingly cloudy sky.

If it stays below freezing Thursday night, and it likely will, we’ll wake to an increasingly messy progression of snow to sleet to freezing rain on Friday morning. We should warm above freezing by Friday afternoon.

Gorge Wind Forecast

Today starts with a light east gradient, switching to west mid-morning. The wind should be W 15-18 by noon and gusty 21-24 in the evening. Wednesday starts with westerlies at 15-18. They’ll pick up to 23-26 through the whole Gorge in the afternoon. Thursday starts off light, but as a monster cold front hits, expect the wind to climb to 30+ east of Hood River.

Road and Mountain Biking

Current reports for Post and Syncline have both as mudbogs. If you are riding, you are doing major damage to the trails. You are ruining the tread, for one. Nobody likes bumpy trails. Second, you are cupping the trail, forcing water to run down it, instead of off it. Trails are outsloped, not cupped, for good reason, and when you ride in the mud, you remove the outsloping. If you or your bike is covered in mud, you should not be riding. Leave the dirt where it belongs – on the trails. Thank you.

That said, it was 50 degrees and sunny out in The Dalles yesterday, and the Petersburg loop was fantastic with no gravel. There are spots of (grippy) frost on the 8-Mile section along the creek, but the rest of the ride is in excellent shape. Go ride there!

One other thing of note: Old Highway 30 is closed 6 miles west of The Dalles due to rockfall. Not sure which side of the Rowena exit this is, as Tripcheck, at 7am, had the MP incorrectly listed as 66.

The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

Tomorrow night’s talk at Columbia Center for the Arts should be a good one: Peter Marbach and Himalayas and charity and all sorts of interesting things. Tonight is slightly different: $12 prime rib night at Cebu. Oh do I love meat. Tonight is also pickup rugby at 5:30 at Waterfront Park and tomorrow night is Kayak Polo at the Hood River pool at 8pm.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira