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Forecast

11/14 forecast



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Good morning!

I woke up late again this morning after spending last night at the PDX Kayaker film festival in Portland. I was thinking of taking another day off from forecasting, but then I looked at the wind models for the next couple of days.

There’s a .13 gradient from Portland to The Dalles this morning, which is really strange given that we’re under a static warm front. I’m not sure I can make an accurate wind forecast for today, given the weird setup. Keep an eye on the readings and see what happens. If the clouds clear up, it’s going to be in the twenties in the Corridor with upper twenties out east. I know that’s not very helpful, but this is a strange setup.

Tomorrow, however, looks very, very windy. A strong upper low moves across southern BC, the warm front exits stage east, and high pressure builds in quickly at the coast. Nuclear force west winds hammer the Gorge tomorrow. It looks like you’ll be able to rig your smallest sail anywhere from the Narrows, through the Corridor, all the way out to Boardman. Of course I have made an appointment for 1:45, which I am now going to have to change.

As for the mountain, I’m guessing that a decision is hinging on what happens with the storm that’s forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. At this point, it looks like the storm will start out as rain and turn to snow. With a foot or more out of that storm (meaning if we get lucky), and more snow forecast for Friday and Saturday (before cold, dry high pressure builds in next week), there’s a pretty good we’ll see some ski areas opening up.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.

Categories
Forecast

11/12 Forecast

Good morning!

I woke up late this morning, so please accept my apology for the late Friday forecast. That wouldn’t be much of an issue, except there are a few important things going on today.

First, the 8am gradient was at a surprising .06 from Portland to The Dalles. With clouds and very high pressure over Portland and the coast, there’s a good chance we’ll see 16-20 from the Hatchery down to the Sandbar today. Combine that with sunshine and getting on the water seems like a pretty good idea. Tomorrow doesn’t look windy, but it looks like we’ll see a pretty good chance of west winds on Sunday.

In kayaking news, the White Salmon was at 1.98 feet yesterday, and tomorrow is the PDX Kayaker film festival in Portland. You’ll get to see cool movies, meet super sexy boater guys and gals, drink beer (yuck), and win prizes. Next chance for the rivers to come up is tomorrow and Sunday, as .25-.5” of warm rain (8k+ freezing level) falls on the mountains and low elevation snow. Tomorrow’s rainstorm will start off with a bit of an inversion, so isolated pockets of snowfall in the upper valley wouldn’t surprise me.

If you don’t have your skis yet, don’t panic. The HRVHS ski swap starts tonight at the High School. Check out the swap Facebook page for more information.

Coming up tomorrow, there are two work parties in Post Canyon. CGORA is working on the #160 trail and mountain bikers are working on Family Man and GP. If I can manage to get up and get your forecast to you by 9am, I’ll be there. Join me!

Finally, for the extended forecast. Models are swinging back and forth a bit, but it looks like we’re in for a big change by next weekend. The high pressure system that’s been directing the jet stream mostly away from us moves north, opening the door for La Nina. Depending on where low pressure ends up, we could see cold Canadian air along with this (snowstorm) or just moderately cold, wet weather. Stay tuned. The implication of the forecast, in case you didn’t get it, is that the ski areas should be open within 2-3 weeks.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.