Categories
Forecast

2/7. Friday. Snowpocalypse. Gorge wind. More Gorge snow. Epic Mt. Hood powder, and a really, really hard call for Sunday.

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miniskiing
Your forecaster. Click on her to donate. Thank you!

Thank you for using this forecast. Please tell your friends about it! And if you or your friends think this service is awesome/useful/saves you gas money/makes your life more fun, make a donation by clicking on my photo above. Is more fun worth $50/year? $20/year? Donate what it’s worth to you (and thank you!), but $12 minimum gets you on the email list (with occasional giveaways) for a year. Thank you for your support, and have fun today!

Upcoming charity event involving BACON

Coming up Friday at 6pm at Springhouse, it’s the Aporkalyspe, benefiting Helping Hands, dedicated to serving victims of domestic violence, sexual assault and stalking. Tickets are available now by emailing aporkalypsenow1@yahoo.com $20 gets you a judge ticket with 10 tastes and a beer, or $5 gets you in the door with a beer. So, if you’re going out Friday night, you might as well be at Springhouse supporting a great cause, a cause that I support. We still need bacon chefs as well, so email if you fall into that category.

Random Morning Thoughts

So I know you are all wondering if I made it home yesterday. I didn’t. I made it as far as Kalama before the snow hit, and I was 100 yards behind that 27 car fatality pileup at Battleground. Thank god I have studded snows. I was doing 40mph when the wreck happened, and people were passing me like crazy.
I only saw two people chain up (I was one) while we were waiting for the wreck to be cleared. After 7 hours in the car, I gave up and stayed in Vancouver. Oh, the irony. The forecaster takes one day off, doesn’t look at the weather models for 36 hours, and gets stranded away from home because of a blizzard.


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

It’s mostly clear on Mt. Hood this morning, and it’s probably going to be the best ski day of the year. Lucky danged kids being out of school. Temps will rise to the upper teens to low 20’s this afternoon at 5000′. Clouds move in mid-afternoon, and snow starts around 4pm, for .6-.9” water value (WV) for 7-11” of new snow tonight. Wind will be NW 20 this morning, rising to NW 25-30 mid-afternoon and SW 25 overnight.

Saturday starts off with snow flurries, becoming partly cloudy with flurries midday. Temps at 5000′ will be in the single digits early, rising to the upper 20’s in the afternoon and evening. We’ll see another .1-.3” WV between 4am and 4pm for 1-3” of snow. Wind will be W 20-30 early, rising to SW 30-40 in the afternoon.

Sunday is a really, really hard call. The low pressure system driving Sunday’s weather is just close enough and just far enough that it’s really hard to predict whether we’ll see snow or switch to freezing rain. And it’s hard to predict how much, if any, precip we’ll see during the day. I’ll start with what I do know: Temps at 5000′ on Sunday will be in the upper 20’s early, rising to right around freezing by the late afternoon. Wind will be W 40 early, W 30 midday and W 20 late. Models currently show mostly dry weather during the day, so maybe we don’t even have to discuss precip! But… I suspect we’ll see some flurries or light freezing mist instead of dry weather.

By late Sunday and early Monday, it’s likely going to be freezing rain of some sort on the mountain.

Gorge Weather

Well, obviously, the weather is the snowpocalypse. And it will continue to be the snowpocalypse, which is why I’m going to get my ass home as soon as I can. I have no idea if it’s cloudy or clear out there. I suspect partly cloudy. Anyway, if it’s not cloudy, it will be by afternoon as the next system approaches. Expect temps in the teens this morning to rise to the low 20’s in the afternoon. Snow starts between 4pm and 7pm, for another 4-7” between when it starts and 4am tomorrow.

Expect temps in the low 20’s all day Saturday with snow flurries between 4am and 4pm giving us another 1-2” of snow. Expect partly cloudy sky overnight. Sunday starts off partly cloudy with increasing flurries after 1pm. We might get another inch on the ground during the day Sunday. Temps will be in the mid 20’s all day.

Things get interesting on Sunday afternoon as warmer air moves in above the colder air trapped in the valleys. By 4pm, there should be some above-freezing air above us at some level, meaning moisture coming in will start as snow and switch to freezing rain. Right now models are showing the bulk of the moisture missing us, but that could change as we get closer to the Sunday night/Monday morning time period. Expect freezing rain Monday morning through Monday afternoon – I can’t give you a quantity yet, but I suspect Monday will be rather treacherous in the Gorge.

By late Monday or maybe as late as midday Tuesday, we’ll see temps rise above freezing in the Gorge. Yay.

Gorge Wind Forecast

The wind has thankfully backed off this morning from a 50mph average at Rooster to a 29mph average at Rooster, meaning I feel comfortable enough to attempt the drive home. At 35mph. Expect easterlies to slowly increase to 40mph this afternoon as the next low pressure system approaches the coast. Expect east wind at 40-50 tomorrow. Expect easterlies at 30mph Sunday. We won’t see a switch to west wind (and warmer weather) until late Monday or maybe even early Tuesday.

Road and Mountain Biking

It’s trainer season! Woohoo! Or spin class season. Yep. Get it on indoors with lots of other people dripping sweat. It’s like group sex, only less fun. Wait a minute. I don’t like group sex. I much prefer it one-on-one.


The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

Tonight is the aPorkalypse and the Snowpocalypse rolled into one. I’m going to assume the Cold Lap cross ride is canceled tomorrow, but those crazy boys at Dirty Fingers might just have it anyway.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

Categories
Forecast

Thursday. 2/6. Snowpocalypse for the Gorge. Lots of snow for Mt. Hood. Nukin’ Gorge wind, and a very sketchy drive for me today.

Please support this forecast by clicking on the photo of the forecaster!

miniskiing
Your forecaster. Click on her to donate. Thank you!

Thank you for using this forecast. Please tell your friends about it! And if you or your friends think this service is awesome/useful/saves you gas money/makes your life more fun, make a donation by clicking on my photo above. Is more fun worth $50/year? $20/year? Donate what it’s worth to you (and thank you!), but $12 minimum gets you on the email list (with occasional giveaways) for a year. Thank you for your support, and have fun today!

Upcoming charity event involving BACON

Coming up Friday at 6pm at Springhouse, it’s the Aporkalyspe, benefiting Helping Hands, dedicated to serving victims of domestic violence, sexual assault and stalking. Tickets are available now by emailing aporkalypsenow1@yahoo.com $20 gets you a judge ticket with 10 tastes and a beer, or $5 gets you in the door with a beer. So, if you’re going out Friday night, you might as well be at Springhouse supporting a great cause, a cause that I support. We still need bacon chefs as well, so email if you fall into that category.

Random Morning Thoughts

Figures. I take one day off, go to Seattle for a parade, and all hell breaks loose. I mean, I was predicting all hell to break loose this weekend, but I wasn’t predicting it to start today. There’s a blizzard warning posted for the Gorge this morning and evening, and I’m currently on Capitol Hill in Seattle. That’s what I get for not opening my computer for two days! Going to be an interesting drive home… And by the way, if this forecast seems a little scattered, it’s because I’m freaking out.


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Thursday
Friday
Sunday

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

I don’t know where this 6” of snow came from over the last couple of days, but I hope you’re enjoying it. And I hope you like more snow, because it’s coming. And… I bet you froze your a** off if you skied yesterday. I heard it was worth it!

Mt. Hood will see increasing clouds and snowfall today after a partly cloudy start. Temps will be sub-zero early, rising to the single digits this afternoon. Snow starts around 10am or 1pm or so, with .3-.4” water value falling before 4pm for 4-6” of blower pow. Another .1-.3” WV falls tonight, for 2-5” of blower pow. Wind today will be W 10-20 early, SW 15 midday and NW 20-25 in the afternoon and evening.

Tomorrow sees continued snowfall in the morning with temps in the teens all day. We’ll see .2-.3” WV during the day, for 3-4” of new. Another .2-.4” WV comes in tomorrow night for another 3-5” of new. Wind on Friday will be WSW 25-30 all day.

Saturday starts off cloudy and cold with temps in the teens. Snow starts falling around 10am, becoming very heavy after 4pm. We’ll see .1-.3” WV in the morning, for 1-3” of new, followed by .6-1” of water value overnight (depending on the storm track), for 6-12” of new snow (sorry, but it’s a long ways out). Wind Saturday will be W 20 in the morning and WSW 30 midday through the evening.

Sunday looks crazy, and there’s a lot of ways it could go at this point. The storm track currently looks a bit far south for the bulk of the moisture (2” WV) to hit us square on, but it also looks a bit warm at 5000′, with temps rising to 2-3C Sunday morning, indicating a likely switch to freezing rain and then rain at some point. So… I’m not really sure yet what’s going to happen, either with snowfall amounts or precip type after the warmer air hits. Let’s wait until tomorrow and see what the models are saying.

Gorge Weather

F**ked. Or exciting. Depending on your take. The former if you, like me, happen to be a 4 hour drive from home right now. We’ll see increasing clouds today with snow starting around 1pm, maybe earlier. Early afternoon would be great, because I could be home by then. Temps will be in the teens today, and we’ll see 3-5” of blower powder fall by tomorrow morning. East winds will make driving through the Gorge a nightmare, assuming the highway stays open.

Tomorrow looks snowy and cold, with temps in the teens early, rising to the mid-twenties (maybe) in the afternoon. We’ll see another 1-3” of snow during the day and another 2-3” overnight. Continued east wind will make driving in the western Gorge a mess.

Saturday starts off cloudy and cold with temps in the low twenties or upper teens. We’ll see increasing snow throughout the day, becoming heavy overnight, for a 9-12” by Sunday morning, assuming nothing changes.

Sunday still looks cold, but as warmer air moves over the top of the cold air, we’ll see the snow become heavier, and we’ll possibly see a switch to freezing rain, depending on how quickly the cold air mass erodes. It’s hard to say how much snow we’ll get at this point before the switch, because the incoming air mass isn’t super warm – it’ll top out at 34 degrees at 5000′, meaning it’s going to stay snow for a long time in the Gorge. In addition, the models currently show the bulk of the precip heading south of us. If that changes, 12-18” of snow is a distinct possibility. And we might get really lucky and get an inch of freezing rain. We’re going to have to wait until Sunday gets closer.

Suffice it to say we’re going to get buried. And I-84, well, I give it an 70% chance of closing today, 80% chance of closing tonight, and a 99% chance of closing Saturday night and Sunday.

We should see a switch to rain on Monday. Yeah, Monday. Late Monday.

Gorge Wind Forecast

The east gradient this morning is .26, and it’s currently averaging 40mph at Rooster. Easterlies will increase to 50+ today. They’ll be 30ish tomorrow at Rooster, 40ish on Saturday, and 30ish on Sunday. Yeah. Goodbye I-84.

Road and Mountain Biking

Better get it today before it’s gone for a couple of weeks at least. The Gorge is my gym, but I have a feeling the Gym is going to be my gym next week.


The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

Snowpocalypse. That is all.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira