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Forecast

May 24th Forecast



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Good morning,

It’s a lovely morning out there with some little fluffy clouds in the sky and clearing on the way today. The setup looks pretty good on the radar, and the desert will get a jump on the heating today, but larger weather features will conspire to keep the windspeed down. A big low pressure system rotates off the coast and a cold front approaches this afternoon. So, I think we’ll see low teens during the day today slowly tapering down to 10 or so early afternoon, then picking up to 17-21 late in the day from Stevenson to Rowena, and then at Arlington very late.

It’s going to rain tomorrow. It’s going to rain hard. It’s going to rain .75-.1” or so, with 1-1.5” in the mountains. Sure you could go windsurfing or kiting, but you’re going to have wet and gusty 14-17. In addition, it’s going to be chilly. The snow level will be 6000’ during the day Wednesday, dropping to 3000’ by Thursday morning.

The wind on Thursday morning looks like, picking up late in the day. It looks rainy and wet, at least in the western Gorge, with the snow level remaining below 5000’ on Thursday and Friday. Friday might be a nice day for skinning and skiing.

Remember your events: Kayak Shed shop paddle tomorrow, sailboat racing tomorrow, Post and Pint Super D shuttle on Thursday.

A heads up: There will be a lot of downhillers riding the Super D on Friday and Saturday (the race is Sunday), so you may want to ride elsewhere. Ellsworth demos are Thursday and Friday. If you want to do something fun this weekend, I 100% recommend rafting, because we’re going to get a ton of rain and snowmelt the next few days, and the rivers will be way up.

Temira

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Categories
Forecast

1/9 forecast

Good morning!

Mt. Hood is in a pattern of NW flow right now, resulting in orographic showers (yeah, that’s my favorite phrase). We’ll see light to moderate snow showers until midnight or so, with total water value of .25-.5”. Snow level today will be around 1000’. Winds will be NW at 10-20, dropping to light and variable late afternoon. We’ve seen about .1” of water value since 4am, so we should see another 3-4” of snow today.

Tomorrow looks clear, cold and calm with no precipitation. (boring)

Tuesday starts off clear, cold and calm (no fun to forecast), with increasing clouds midday. LIght wind builds to WSW at 15-25 by 4pm, increasing to SW 35-40 by 4am. Precipitation starts around 4pm Tuesday, with one model showing .1” water value and another showing 3-.5” water value overnight. Call it 4-5” overnight Tuesday. The snow level will be at the surface through Wednesday morning.

On Wednesday, snow levels slowly rise to 5000-6000’ by 4pm from an overrunning warm system, falling to 4500’ or so overnight. At this point, I’m thinking we’ll see snow (because I am an optimist), but periods of sleet, rain, or snain (especially snain) are not out of the question. Total precipitation on Wednesday will be 1-1.5”, so call it 4-6” of sludge at the base, rain at HRM and 12-15” of snow up high. The real problem on Wednesday looks like wind. Early in the day, we’ll see SW 35-40, increasing to SW 50-60 by mid-morning, going to W 40-50 by 7pm. We may be protected from the worst of the wind during the day due to the wind direction, but there is a good chance we’ll lose some lifts. A shutdown on Wednesday night is a distinct possibility.

Thursday is a long way out, but at this point, it looks like we’ll see the snow level at 5000’ with 1-2” of water value for 6-8” of heavy snow at the base and 18-22” higher up. Winds will be WSW 30-40 on Thursday.

The weather situation in the Gorge does not look pretty Tuesday night into Thursday morning.

Have a great day today!

Temira