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The Forecast
4a-8a | 8a-12p | 12p-4p | 4p-8p | 8p-4a | |
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Saturday 6000′->3500′->7000′ |
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Sunday 5500′-7000′->8500′ |
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Monday 8500′->500′ |
Mt. Hood Forecast
Wild weather is on tap this weekend for Mt. Hood. Your best chance for mellow weather is Saturday daytime. After that? Chaotic, all the way through Monday! For Saturday, the precip starts out alternating between rain and snow, switches to flurries during the day, and ramps up to heavy or very heavy rain overnight. The snow level will be around 5500′ early, 4000′ during the day, and 7000′ overnight. About 0.1” water equivalent (WE) falls during the day, for 1/2” to 1” of wet snow. Tonight’s forecast calls for 3-4” of rain. Wind: W 30 during the day, WSW 30-55 in the afternoon, W 60 in the evening (bye, lifts), and W 55 overnight.
With the snow level bouncing around between 5000′ and 7000′ early Sunday along with strong wind, icing could be a problem for the ski areas. Models are a bit conflicted about snow levels Sunday daytime; the 850mb temp is forecast to be about 3C… call it mixed precipitation, or alternating snow and rain at 5000′. Pure rain returns overnight. The snow level will be 5500′ ish during the day, 6500′ around sunset, and 8500′ overnight. About 0.9” WE is forecast during the day. Goodness only knows the ratio of snow and rain. Another 0.9” WE falls as rain overnight. Wind: W 55 early, W 40 daytime, WSW 30-45 evening, and WSW 30-55 after midnight.
Monday brings light rain during the day and moderate snow from early afternoon on. The snow level will be 8500′ early, 6000′ late morning, and 1000-1500′ early afternoon, falling to 500-1000′ overnight. About 0.3” WE falls as rain during the day, 0.5” WE falls in the transition period (2-3” wet snow), and 0.4” WE falls overnight for 4-5” powder. Wind: WSW 30-55 early, SW 35-65 mid-morning, W 60 (bye, lifts) in the afternoon and evening, and NW 35-40 overnight. Flurries continue Tuesday morning along with plenty of sun. After that: warmer and sunnier with snow on Xmas.
Note about wind speeds: model-predicted wind speeds often reflect the wind on higher exposed ridges, but aren’t as accurate about wind on the ski slopes. Direction plays a big role. So, a model-predicted W 40 will actually be W 40 on the slopes. Model-predicted SW 40 might be SW 40 on the higher ridges, but will only be SW 15-20 on the slopes. Model predicted NW 30 might actually be NW 35 or 40!Hence the ranges. Take the lower end as what to expect, and take the higher end as the wind at Palmer and Cascade. Hope that helps!