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Forecast

Saturday: attention-grabbing thunderstorms and happy-making west wind. Rain? Maybe…

The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best wind forecast for the Gorge.

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The Forecast

Today’s Gorge Wind – these are ranges for the average speed, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Rooster Rock overcast sky buns go bye bye!
Steven’s Locks 5-10 13-16 21-24 24-27??
Swell-Hood River 20-23 20-23 21-24 24-27??
Lyle to Doug’s 10-13 13-16 16-20+ 24-27??
Rufus, etc. 10-13 13-16 16-20+ 24-27??
Roosevelt & Arlington 13-16 10-13 5-10 5-10

Gorge Wind Forecast

Complicated weather today and tomorrow sets the stage for a tricky wind forecast. Instability leads to potential thunderstorms both days, but especially Saturday. Looking longer-term, additional rounds of offshore low pressure stymie the ability of the wind to reach “nuking” levels. Positive news: river flow is way down today, which puts Rufus back on the “probably okay” list.

Let’s look at Saturday’s details. Weak high pressure offshore combines with a trough of low pressure moving inland and significant atmospheric instability, moisture, and upper-level SW flow. A low-level capping inversion is forecast to keep the wind somewhat reliable through early afternoon. Gradients started at 0.10 (pdx-dls) and 0.03 (dls-psc). Early westerlies (not that early, cuz I slept in a bit) were 20-23 from Viento to The Hook, 13-16 east to Arlington, and 5-10 at Stevenson. By mid to late morning, we’ll have 21-24 from Stevenson to Mosier with 13-16 from Lyle to Doug’s, perhaps Avery, 10-13mph near Rufus, and lighter westerlies to the east. Things get complicated after 2pm or so when the low-level cap breaks, an impulse destabilizes the atmosphere, and more moisture moves in. Models suggest the wind will rise to 24-27 between Stevenson and Rufus, but they also hint at thunderstorms popping up. So, who knows?! Elevated thunderstorms can be compatible with wind, but it’s never safe to be on the river when lightning is around! Thunderstorm potential increases overnight. River flow is 157-280kcfs, river temp is 62.5F, and high temp forecast is 81F.

A low moves inland on Sunday and drags deeper marine clouds inland. Models hint at continued rain/thunder in the morning, but they are far from unanimous about this. Don’t forget the CGW2 swap meet at Lot 1 in the morning. The wind tomorrow morning really depends on what the rain and instability do; models suggest 21-25 from Viento to Arlington to start with 10-13 at Stevenson. No guarantees. The strongest wind quickly shifts east of The Dalles. Afternoon predictions are 24-27 from Avery to Boardman with 11-14 west of The Dalles. That said, there’s a LOT of range in the ensemble predictions; some max the gusts in the 20’s, and some max the gusts near 40mph. So… lots of uncertainty about Sunday.

Low pressure wanders closer to the Oregon Coast on Monday. Westerlies are forecast to languish. Max speeds will be in the 11-14 range between Stevenson and The Dalles, and only in the afternoon. Generally speaking, offshore low pressure will dominate the picture next week. There will be days where that will drive a significant cross-Cascade temperature gradient and give us moderate to strong westerlies, but it’s certainly not an ideal setup. So, enjoy whatever this weekend brings!  

Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast

Coast forecast (north/central/south, waves). Swell forecast provided by NWS. Wind direction northerly unless otherwise noted. Saturday: NW10-15/NNW10-15/NNW15-20, SW swell 2′ at 15 seconds. Sunday: W5-10/LTNW/N10-15, SW 2′ @ 14. Monday: W5/N10-15/N10-15, W 2′ at 14. Jones Saturday: 21-24. Sunday: 7-10. Monday: 7-10. Sauvie’s Saturday: 11-14. Sunday: 5-10. Monday: LTN.  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – Back on vacation until next fall

 

Hood River Weather Forecast

Increasing high clouds today with a chance of sprinkles/thunder in the evening and thunderstorms and rain (potentially heavy) overnight. Temps will be in the upper 05’s early and low 80’s later. Moderate to strong westerlies. 10% chance of rainbows. Sunday will be cloudy all day with a chance of rain in the morning and dry weather in the afternoon. Temps will be in the mid 50s’ early and low 70’s later. Moderate westerlies. 18% chance of rainbows. Monday will be mostly cloudy then clear. Temps will be in the mid 50’s early and mid 70’s later. Light westerlies. No rainbows.

Looking for a complete Columbia Gorge forecast? Looking for more humor in your weather? Obscenities? You’re looking for my TATAS: Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

Coming up this weekend, it’s the CGW2 swap meet at Lot 1 on Sunday. On Saturday, Pacific Hermitage has a garden party and potluck.

Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. At 7:15am on Wednesdays, there’s a run from the White Salmon Bakery. At 7am on Friday morning, you can get a donut and coffee for going for a run at Kickstand Coffee. The Small Boat paddlers have a group paddle at 6pm on Thursday at the Hatchery. Post and Pint happens Thursday evenings at 5:30 when Post is not too wet to ride. The women’s Post-and-Pinot ride is Wednesday evening at 5:30.  

Cycling

Lots of perfect dirt out there right now! Falls Creek sis open. All the 44 Road trails are open with a couple of caveats: Lookout Mountain and Cooks Meadow still have some blowdown and a few patches of snow. Plains of Abraham is open, but Ape Canyon trail has received no maintenance this year. It is rideable. Also, the road connecting Plains of Abraham to Smith Creek closes at noon Monday-Friday and will not be open to bikers during that time. Courtney Road (the road that goes up above Syncline) is closed until October. Do not attempt to use it to access trails. Starting now, you will need a parking pass to park at Post Canyon. This money will support trails. Hospital Hill: cows are out – no dogs allowed. Underwood: do not enter areas that are closed due to logging operations.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Friday: Celebrate Canada Day. Make the most of all-weekend west wind and cooler weather!

The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best wind forecast for the Gorge.

Thank you for using this forecast. Like it? Find it useful? Support it (and me!) by sending some cash my way. What’s it cost to support me and get the email version? Not $99 a year. Nope. Not $49. Just $19.99 or more gets you a year. People are added to this list on Thursday and Sunday. My day job is crisis mental health, and I don’t have time on other days. Thanks for your patience! Click below to contribute. Thank you!!

Credit card payments use this button

Click here to use your PayPal
Venmo: @theGorgeismyGym
Snail Mail: PO Box 841, Hood River, Oregon 97031
(note: I am not a non-profit entity. The only way to accept credit cards with a user-defined amount is to use the ‘donate’ button. Thanks for understanding!)

Auto-renewing subscription. New! Awesome!

The Forecast

Today’s Gorge Wind – these are ranges for the average speed, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Rooster Rock cooler sunny bun tan time
Steven’s Locks 10-13 13-16 20-23 23-26
Swell-Hood River 23-26 23-26 23-26 23-26
Lyle to Doug’s 10-13 14-17 20-23+ 23-26
Rufus, etc. 13-16 10-13 10-13 13-16
Roosevelt & Arlington 13-16 10-13 10-13 13-16

Gorge Wind Forecast

Today, Friday, looks like a solid setup for westerlies. Conditions deteriorate on Saturday and Sunday as instability triggers potential thunderstorms. That said, this is elevated instability, and the wind will often continue at low levels as long as the low-level stabilizing cap doesn’t break. So, strong westerlies are still possible, even likely, but they’re not guaranteed to stick around as long as models predict.

Let’s look at Friday. First, Happy Canada Day! You get wind for your celebration! Offshore high pressure at 1027mb or so joins with gradients of 0.12 (pdx-dls) and 0.03 (dls-psc) for plenty of cross-Cascade suction. The wind starts at 23-26 from Swell to Mosier with 18-22 at Viento, 10-13 in the eastern Gorge, and 5-10 at partly cloudy Stevenson. By early afternoon, the wind fills in elsewhere. You’ll find 23-26 from Stevenson to Doug’s with 10-13 near Rufus and 5-10 at Arlington. Rufus should pick up to 13-16 in the afternoon. River flow is 241-362kcfs. Note on that: in the past, I’ve only used the source currently giving us the lowest number. If that is reading similarly to previous years, conditions near Maryhill should be doable. No guarantees, as the other sources are reading much higher! River temp is currently 61F, and high temp forecast is 82F for Hood River and 89F for Arlington.

Surface conditions point to stronger west wind on Saturday. Elevated conditions tell another story. Best practice: enjoy the windy weather until thunderstorms make an appearance. Dawn Patrol brings 21-24 from Viento to Mosier with 5-10 at Stevenson and 10-13 east of Mosier. The wind enjoys a steady build. By early afternoon westerlies pick up to 25-29+ from Stevenson to Avery with 20-23 near Rufus and 10-13 east of there. If thunderstorms and a low-level capping inversion hold off long enough, 28-32 is possible from Hood River to Avery in the afternoon. High temp: 81F for Hood River, 90F for Arlington. Also of note: storm prediction center has areas east of The Dalles under a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms on Saturday.

Cooler air settles in west of the Cascades on Sunday, and high temps also fall to the east. Thunderstorm potential remains in the morning but lessens in the afternoon. We could also see rain on CGW2’s swap meet on Sunday morning! Models aren’t agreeing on wind speeds; the deterministic model calls for less wind than Saturday. The ensembles of the Euro call for more. Let’s take an initial stab at this with 24-27 from Mosier to Threemile with 11-14 west of Mosier where low clouds will persist. Current forecast for the Independence Day holiday: 11-14. Have a stellar holiday weekend!  

Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast

Coast forecast (north/central/south, waves). Swell forecast provided by NWS. Wind direction northerly unless otherwise noted. Friday: NNW10-15/N15-20/30-35, SW swell 2′ at 15 seconds. Saturday: 10-15/10-15/15-20, SW 2′ @ 15. Sunday: W5-10/LTNW/LTN, SW 2′ @ 14. Jones Friday: 21-24. Saturday: 17-20. Sunday: LTW. Sauvie’s Friday: 12-15. Saturday: 14-17. Sunday: calm.  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – Back on vacation until next fall

 

Hood River Weather Forecast

Sunshine sticks around all day Friday. Temps will be in the low 60’s early and low 80’s later. Strong westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be intermittently high overcast with convective showers possible in the morning and thunderstorms possible with rain in the evening and overnight. Temps will be in the mid 50’s early and low 80’s later. Strong westerlies. 43% chance of rainbows. Clouds stick around ll day Sunday, and rain is possible as are thunderstorms. Temps will be in the upper 50’s early and low 70’s later. Moderate westerlies. 67% chance of rainbows.

Looking for a complete Columbia Gorge forecast? Looking for more humor in your weather? Obscenities? You’re looking for my TATAS: Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

Coming up this weekend, it’s the CGW2 swap meet at Lot 1 on Sunday. On Saturday, Pacific Hermitage has a garden party and potluck.

Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. At 7:15am on Wednesdays, there’s a run from the White Salmon Bakery. At 7am on Friday morning, you can get a donut and coffee for going for a run at Kickstand Coffee. The Small Boat paddlers have a group paddle at 6pm on Thursday at the Hatchery. Post and Pint happens Thursday evenings at 5:30 when Post is not too wet to ride. The women’s Post-and-Pinot ride is Wednesday evening at 5:30.  

Cycling

Lots of perfect dirt out there right now! All the 44 Road trails are open. Lookout Mountain and Cooks Meadow still have some blowdown and a few patches of snow. Plains of Abraham is open, but Ape Canyon trail has received no maintenance this year. Also, the road connecting Plains of Abraham to Smith Creek closes at noon Monday-Friday and will not be open to bikers during that time. Courtney Road (the road that goes up above Syncline) is closed until October. Do not attempt to use it to access trails. Starting now, you will need a parking pass to park at Post Canyon. This money will support trails. Hospital Hill: cows are out – no dogs allowed. Underwood: do not enter areas that are closed due to logging operations.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!