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Monday: hints of ski season in the extended forecast…

The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best wind forecast for the Gorge.

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The Forecast

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Monday
6500′
Tuesday
6500′->3500′
Wednesday
3500′->11,000′

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

In a happy turn, the extended forecast contains hints of the beginning of ski season. After Friday or Saturday, models generally keep 850mb (5000′) temps below freezing. They also bring in enough moisture next week that there’s a decent chance we’ll be riding at least some of the lifts within two weeks. It’s marginal, but… Fingers crossed! Between now and then… not enough to get things moving, but probably enough snow for Teacup to refresh their grooming.

Monday will be a mostly dry day other than a few possible scattered droplets of rain as a weather system moves through. The snow level / free air freezing level will be 6500′ all day long. Wind will be variable to 10 during the day. After midnight, the wind turns to WSW 15.

A weather system pushes this way on Tuesday. The snow level starts at 6500′, and the precip starts as rain. By early to mid afternoon, rain switches to snow at 5000′ and continues overnight. Model range is about 0.3” to 1.0” water equivalent for this storm. During the day, up to 0.6” WE falls as mixed precip with perhaps an inch of snow at the end. Overnight, another 0.3” WE is forecast in orographic precipitation, for 3-5” new snow. I’ve upped that prediction a bit from the models thanks to the wind: In the morning, it’ll be WSW 15, but it’ll rise to SW 40-50 as the system moves in. Once the front passes and temps drop, the wind picks up to W 50 and slowly falls to WNW 30. That’s well into the range of orographic assistance!

A few flurries continue on Wednesday morning. They don’t last long. The sky quickly turns partly cloudy and temps skyrocket overnight. The free air freezing level will be 3500′ in the morning, 8000′ in the afternoon, and 11,000′ overnight with 5000′ temps rising to +7C, low 40’s. Wind: WNW 30-35 in the morning, light and variable in the afternoon, and SW 10 overnight.

The weather will be dry Thursday daytime. The next system moves in sometime between Thursday night and Saturday morning. Sometime in that time period, temps fall low enough for snow at 5000′ and (mostly) stay there into the extended forecast. That’s good news, right?  

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Gorge Wind Forecast

Strong easterlies continue on Monday and much of Tuesday. As a weather system with strong upper-level westerlies swings through Tuesday afternoon, the wind will switch to westerly. That probably will happen too late for windsports. Wednesday starts with light westerlies, but it’ll be back to light easterlies by the afternoon. If you’re ready for more easterlies, you can get them Thanksgiving day.  

Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast – Done for the Season

 

Hood River Weather Forecast

A bit of scatted Nothing and some freezing fog in select areas combines with high clouds this morning and increasing clouds today. Temps will be in the upper 20’s early and near 40 later. Easterlies. No rainbows. Tuesday starts with a wee bit of ice and quickly turns rainy. Temps will be in the upper 20’s early and upper 40’s after the wind turns westerly in the evening. East wind in the morning. West wind after sunset. No rainbows. Wednesday will have sprinkles in the morning and dry weather from mid-morning on. Temps will be in the mid 30’s early and near 50 later. Light westerlies turn calm midday and turn easterly in the evening. 72% chance of rainbows.

Looking for a complete Columbia Gorge forecast? Looking for more humor in your weather? Obscenities? You’re looking for my TATAS: Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!
Regular weekly events: Monday brings forest bathing and meditation walk. Meet at 5:15pm Mondays in November at the corner of Arrowhead Ave and Indian Creek Road. Suggested donation up to $20. Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. At 7:15am on Wednesdays, there’s a run from the White Salmon Bakery. At 7am on Friday morning, there’s a run from Pine Street Bakery. There’s a weekly group paddle to the Event Site on Sunday at 11 am followed by a free pint at the fire pit at Ferment. That’s the “Paddle n’ Pint”. Also: Wednesday Paddle Sprints at the Event Site at Noon. The sprint course is 2 two laps around the sailing buoy near Wells Island and back – 3.5 miles.  

Cycling

Out on the trails, we have freeze-thaw conditions. Please avoid trails that are exposed to the open air, in other words, trails that aren’t under the tree canopy. If you ride trails that froze and then thawed, you’ll do major and probably permanent damage to the tread. The Family Man closure kicked off on November 1st – the area around Family Man and Riordan Hill Road will be closed into December. Upper elevation trails, above 4000′, are likely to have some snow coverage. If you’re riding Post Canyon, you will need a parking pass. Those can be purchased at many local shops or online.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

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Have an awesome day!

By Temira

Temira Lital is a recreation and travel weather forecaster based in Hood River, Oregon. Temira uses they/them pronouns. They're also a mental health counselor. Temira bikes, skis, windsurfs, paddles a SUP, swims in mountain lakes, and loves gardening. Most recently they've taken up SUP foiling. Temira is powered by La Croix, protein, and beets.