Categories
Forecast

Friday: wow. what a switch in the models over the last 24 hours…

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

Meet Temira, your Gorge and Mt. Hood Forecaster

a picture of Mt. Hood and Columbia Gorge forecaster Temira with a giant pumpkin that they grew

For almost 30 years, Temira (they/them) has been making the most of what the Gorge has to offer: riding river swell on a foil or windsurf board, carving fresh lines through the snow, and cycling all the gravel and pavement and trails. This is Temira’s playground, their gym… their life’s work.

That’s why in 2006, Temira took it upon themselves to create the most accurate, hyper-local weather forecasts possible. Inaccurate predictions had left too many fellow adventurers caught off-guard and in harm’s way. Temira was determined to change that. Today, Temira’s forecasts have become an essential resource for thousands of skiers, snowboarders, wind sports enthusiasts and travelers through the Gorge. With their guidance, you can plan ahead, time your sessions perfectly, and stay safer on the water, snow, and trails.

But the story doesn’t end there. Temira also authors the TATAS Facebook page – the Gorge’s premier source for microclimate forecasts. When winter storms, extreme heat, or other hazardous conditions (avalanches on SR-14 and I-84, for example!) threaten, this community lifeline becomes a vital resource for locals and visitors alike, helping to keep everyone safe.

All of this crucial work – from your personal wind and snow reports to the invaluable TATAS updates – is made possible by Temira’s relentless efforts. But maintaining this labor of love isn’t easy. Each daily forecast can take hours to research and analyze. The website, forecast model subscriptions, and back-end admin work take time and money. That’s where you come in.

By becoming a contributing member, you’re not just supporting Temira’s passion project – you’re investing in the safety and well-being of the entire Gorge community. Your financial support ensures these essential forecasts remain accessible to all, free of charge.

So please, take a moment to click one of the buttons below. Whether it’s a monthly subscription or a one-time donation, every contribution makes a real difference. Help Temira keep this labor of love alive, so we can all continue playing, commuting, and living in the Gorge with peace of mind and the best weather forecasts possible. Thank you!  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

a graphical representation of today’s wind forecast

Hi skiers and snowboarders! Meadows and Timberline are open for you to ride today. Yay! Get it while you can. The forecast for next week has done a 180. We were expecting warm, dry, sunny weather. No longer. Now we’re staring down the barrel of a potential atmospheric river, aka the Pineapple Express. The intended route of this freight train isn’t set yet; I’ll talk more about this in a bit. Meanwhile, closer to now, we have clearing sky today, cool, cloudy riding on Saturday, rain followed by snow and stormy conditions Sunday, and more snow, probably of the powder variety, for a stellar storm skiing Monday.

Friday kicks off with clear sky up high and clouds down low. Those clouds are bound for elsewhere – we’ll have sun on the slopes today. The free air freezing level will be 2500′ this morning, 2000′ this afternoon, and 1000′ or so tonight. Temps will be in the mid 20s at 5000′. Wind: NW 10-15 this morning, NW 20-30 this afternoon, and WNW 10-15 after midnight.

High clouds Saturday morning set us up, if the timing is right, for one heck of a spectacular mountain sunrise. After that: increasing clouds. Light snow starts in the afternoon. It switches to rain overnight and increases in intensity. The snow level will be 1000′ early, 1500′ in the afternoon, around 8000′ by 10pm, and back down around 6500-7000′ after midnight. About 0.3” water equivalent (WE) is forecast in the transition from snow to rain. Call that 1-3” new. Overnight, around an inch or rain (yuck) is in the cards. Wind: WNW 10-15 early, WSW 15-25 in the afternoon, WSW 35-45 in the evening, and W 45 overnight.

Sunday looks to start with pouring rain. You’ll note that’s a change from yesterday’s forecast – we were expecting the transition earlier which would have resulted in lifts icing prior to opening. Looks like the icing will happen after opening now. Anyway, the snow level will be 7000′ early, 4000′ in the afternoon, and it’ll slowly fall to 1500-2000′ overnight. About 1.5” (yeah, you read that right) WE is forecast in the transition time period between 4am and 1pm. Mostly rain. After it switches to snow, we’re expecting 0.4” WE by 4pm and 0.6” WE overnight. Conservatively, assuming some of that transition moisture doesn’t fall as snow (it likely will), we should pick up 9-12” of increasingly dry powder at 5000′. Add in strong wind for DEEP snow on leeward slopes: W 45 in the morning, W 40 in the afternoon, and W 35 overnight.

Windy (35mph) snowy (5-8”) cold (snow level 1500-2000′ and temps low-mid 20s) weather continues all day Monday. That’s your storm skiing powder day, folks. We then enter that period of rather uncertain weather. Models were 75% in on sunny/dry when I looked yesterday. There were atmospheric river warning signs, but NOTHING like what I saw this morning. Now we’re about 80-90% of the ensembles on the warm/wet bandwagon starting late Tuesday. The tricky part is we’re not sure yet exactly where the fire hose will take aim, and that has big implications for just how much moisture we’ll get and how much of it will be snow before temps warm. We’ll keep a close eye on this one, for sure. Since we don’t know what’s coming, it’s best to get up there and ride. Right now. Have a great day on the slopes!

Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!  

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! Wow. What a switch in the forecast for the middle of next week. So much for those big, steady east winds. Now we have easterlies that chase giant offshore low pressure systems. Anyway, let’s talk about the next few days of west wind. Friday kicks off with weather as steady as it gets in November. A brief period of calm with offshore high pressure. We’ll see 19-22 from Viento to Mosier mid-morning with a possibility of 21-24 from Mosier to Rufus this afternoon. When the wind picks up in the Near East this afternoon, it likely drops to 15-18 from Viento to Hood River. Stevenson, trapped under clouds, does less well, perhaps gusty 14-17 today. River flow over the last 24 hours was 81-131kcfs, river temp is 53.24F, and high temp forecast is 47F.

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Saturday looks calm. High temp: 47F and cloudy. A very rainy day on Sunday, especially in the west, doesn’t stop the wind. Models have backed off on wind strength. We’re probably looking at late morning to early afternoon out east. Call it 24-28 from Avery to Rufus with rain likely east of Rufus. As a matter of fact, there may be rain at Rufus too. You’ll be threading the needle to get this wind. Monday looks like gusty 25-28 from Avery to Boardman. Maybe. Models are less optimistic than they are for Sunday. We’d previously expected a strong inland surface low for the rest of next week. Now: Pineapple Express is more likely. We will see periods of strong east wind as beastly lows move around offshore, but it ain’t going to be sunny and steady like it would have with that inland high. Alas. Details are still shifting around, so we’ll revisit this tomorrow. Have a great day out there!

src=”https://thegorgeismygym.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/venmo_200.jpg” alt=”Venmo” />  

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast: done for the season

  Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor 

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Partly cloudy sky this morning turns mostly clear later. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the upper 40s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be cloudy and frosty to start. Rain arrives late afternoon. Temps will be near 30 early and in the upper 40s alter. Calm wind. No rainbows. Sunday will be rainy. Temps start in the upper 30s and rise to 50 or so. Moderate westerlies. 99% chance of rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier has reopened. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Thursday: two resorts starting Friday. Lots of Gorge wind too!

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

Meet Temira, your Gorge and Mt. Hood Forecaster

a picture of Mt. Hood and Columbia Gorge forecaster Temira with a giant pumpkin that they grew

For almost 30 years, Temira (they/them) has been making the most of what the Gorge has to offer: riding river swell on a foil or windsurf board, carving fresh lines through the snow, and cycling all the gravel and pavement and trails. This is Temira’s playground, their gym… their life’s work.

That’s why in 2006, Temira took it upon themselves to create the most accurate, hyper-local weather forecasts possible. Inaccurate predictions had left too many fellow adventurers caught off-guard and in harm’s way. Temira was determined to change that. Today, Temira’s forecasts have become an essential resource for thousands of skiers, snowboarders, wind sports enthusiasts and travelers through the Gorge. With their guidance, you can plan ahead, time your sessions perfectly, and stay safer on the water, snow, and trails.

But the story doesn’t end there. Temira also authors the TATAS Facebook page – the Gorge’s premier source for microclimate forecasts. When winter storms, extreme heat, or other hazardous conditions (avalanches on SR-14 and I-84, for example!) threaten, this community lifeline becomes a vital resource for locals and visitors alike, helping to keep everyone safe.

All of this crucial work – from your personal wind and snow reports to the invaluable TATAS updates – is made possible by Temira’s relentless efforts. But maintaining this labor of love isn’t easy. Each daily forecast can take hours to research and analyze. The website, forecast model subscriptions, and back-end admin work take time and money. That’s where you come in.

By becoming a contributing member, you’re not just supporting Temira’s passion project – you’re investing in the safety and well-being of the entire Gorge community. Your financial support ensures these essential forecasts remain accessible to all, free of charge.

So please, take a moment to click one of the buttons below. Whether it’s a monthly subscription or a one-time donation, every contribution makes a real difference. Help Temira keep this labor of love alive, so we can all continue playing, commuting, and living in the Gorge with peace of mind and the best weather forecasts possible. Thank you!  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

a graphical representation of today’s wind forecast

Hi skiers and snowboarders! The snowpack continues to build, and the resorts continue to open more terrain. We now have three lifts at Timberline. Meadows opens tomorrow (Friday) with four lifts (although they seem to be hinting at the possibility for more). Skibowl: quiet as a sleeping mouse. Teacup? Nothing yet this morning, but it was probably too warm last night for them to pick up more snow. Speaking of… when will we get more snow? Glad you asked! A bit today. That’s followed by dry weather Friday into Saturday. Snow Saturday afternoon switches to rain overnight and back to snow Sunday into Monday for at least a foot total new. After that: warm and dry on the slopes for at least a few days. Caveat: 20-25% of the ensembles still insist on some sort of warm/wet experience for the middle of next week, but 75-80% insist that it will be warm/dry in the mountains.

Deets for Thursday: Light snow all day long and into the early evening. The snow level will be 4000′ this morning and 3500′ this afternoon. The freezing level will drop to 1500′ under clear sky tonight. About 0.2” water equivalent (WE) is forecast today for a couple inches of snow. Another inch or so may fall in the evening before the sky says goodbye to the clouds. Today’s wind: strong wind at W 35-40 early slowly fades to W 15 in the afternoon and NW 15-20 overnight.

Dry, mostly clear weather starts Friday. Sunshine sticks around all day. The free air freezing level (FAF) will be 1500′ in the morning, 2000′ in the afternoon, and down to 1000′ or less overnight. Wind: NW 15-20 all day and NW 10-15 overnight.

Saturday starts dry with high clouds and potential for a spectacular sunrise. Clouds deepen during the day, and precip arrives late afternoon, probably after the lifts stop spinning. This starts as snow and quickly turns to rain as the snow level rises to 8000′. Temps climb to the mid-upper 30s. About 0.9” precip is forecast overnight, mostly as rain. Wind Saturday: NW 10-15 in the morning, SW 15-25 in the afternoon, WSW 30-50 late, and W 35-40 after midnight.

Sunday morning starts with rain, but that quickly switches to mixed precip then snow. Snow continues all day and all night. We like continuing snowfall! The snow level falls from 6500′ at 4am to 5000′ by 10am, 3000′ in the afternoon, and 1500′ (POWDER!) overnight. About 0.7” WE is forecast in that 4am-10am transition period. That’s going to be rain, then mixed precip, then snow. Messy, in other words. Another 0.6” WE falls as snow before the lifts are done at 4pm. Call it 5-8” thanks to orographic assistance. Overnight, another 0.5” WE is forecast. Call that 5-7” powder. Wind: W 35 in the morning, W 45 in the afternoon, and W 35 overnight. It’s worth mentioning that the rapid drop in snow level combined with strong wind and heavy precipitation rates may result in icing on lifts. Depending on the timing, this could be problematic for your ability to ride lifts and shred snow.

Moving on to Monday… we’ll pick up another 3-6” of snow before the sun comes out in the afternoon. The snow level will be in the powder zone all day: 1500′ with temps in the mid 20s at 5000′. Wind: W 30ish. Starting Tuesday, the sun comes out and stays out all week. Temps warm up. We’ll end up with spring conditions by the end of the week if this forecast holds. Okay. Sheesh. That was a lot. Must be some great riding coming up, and I must be excited if I’m typing that much. Have fun out there!

Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!  

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! West wind is in the picture for four out of the next five days. Saturday’s the calm one, if you were wondering. Models are upping the likelihood of a big day out east on Sunday; fingers crossed. I need some silos, and I need some Amayah’s! Big easterlies drop in on Tuesday and settle in for the long haul. In other words: lots of wind coming up despite it being November!

Thursday started with pressures of 29.90/29.87/29.88. A system moves through today, and high pressure returns to the offshore waters. Models suggest westerlies will peak mid to late morning along with a break in the rain: 13-16 from Stevenson to Doug’s and gusty 25-28 from Avery to Boardman. Afternoon wind falls to 10mph in an unstable, showery environment west of Mosier with 15-18 from Lyle to Rufus. River flow over the last 24 hours was 92-141kcfs, river temp is 53.60F, and high temp forecast is 51F with intermittent showers in Hood River and partly high overcast sky out east.

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Offshore high pressure on Friday combines with a calm day inland for moderate westerlies. The day starts chilly, under 40 degrees, with westerlies at 7-10mph or so all the way from Stevenson to Boardman. Stay close to home. The wind rises to 15-18 or perhaps 18-21 from Viento to Doug’s late morning or early afternoon. Models suggest high pressure building inland will drive afternoon westerlies down to 10-13 from Stevenson to Hood River and nudge them up to 16-19 from Mosier to Avery. High temp: 48F under clearing sky.

Saturday will be calm. Sunday sees a strong cold front swing through with decent support aloft. Ensembles are 75% in on 27-30+ east of The Dalles in the afternoon. They’re about 35% in for 27-30 on Monday. Sunday’s definitely the one to keep your eyes on. Have a great time on the river!

src=”https://thegorgeismygym.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/venmo_200.jpg” alt=”Venmo” />  

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast: done for the season

  Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor 

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Rain early tapers off mid-morning and returns as showers this afternoon. Temps start in the mid 40s and rise to the low 50s. Light to moderate westerlies. 99% chance of rainbows. Friday will be partly cloudy. Temps start in the upper 30s and rise to the upper 40s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be dry and cloudy until sunset, and then it’ll be wet. Temps start in the low 30s and rise to the upper 40s. Calm wind. No rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier has reopened. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!