Categories
Forecast

Friday: windy, day after day after day

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

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These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock sun’s out buns out
Stevenson LTW LTW LTW 12-15
Viento 12-15 LTW LTW 12-15
Swell-Hood River 12-15 LTW LTW 12-15
Lyle to Doug’s 12-15 LTW LTW 12-15
Rufus, etc: 233-284kcfs flow LTV LTV LTV LTV
Roosevelt & Arlington LTV LTV LTV LTV
River flow last 24 hours: 214-287kcfsRiver temp: 59.36F High temp: 87F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! Over the last couple of model runs, some uncertainty about Sunday has arisen. It’ll still be windy, but the previously promised early morning nukage isn’t guaranteed any more. Longer-term, we still have a good setup for (almost) daily westerlies of some sort. Gotta like that!

Friday’s best chance will be really early or really late. Daytime heating equalizes pressures on the east side and west side and pretty much shuts things down for the middle of the day. To start, we had pressures of 30.01/29.95/29.97 for gradients of 0.06 and E 0.02. Wind was in the 12-15 range from Viento to Doug’s at dawn. The river was partly glassy in Hood River by the time I finished the forecast. By midday, the wind will be calm or nearly so. Westerlies don’t return to usable levels until the Executive Session (after 5pm), when we’ll see 12-15 from Stevenson to Swell or perhaps Hood River. River flow over the last 24 hours was 214-287kcfs, river temp is 59.36F, and high temp forecast is 87F.

Saturday sees a weak weather system move through the area. Unfortunately, it won’t do much to lower temps on the west side, nor will it drag in a marine layer. We’re left with moderate west wind to start the day: 18-21 from Viento to Hood River for Dawn Patrol with 12-15 from Stevenson to Mosier. Thankfully, the desert will win the heating game. By early afternoon, we’ll have 20-23 from Stevenson to Doug’s. Swell may drop to 16-19 for this period thanks to the passage of that weather system, but Swell’s wind should return in the evening as things stabilize. Late day wind rises to 22-25 from Stevenson to Avery. High temp: 87F under partly high overcast sky.

Looking at Sunday… in previous forecasts, we’ve had very consistent indications of a very strong day. All of a sudden, that’s backed off, at least in the deterministic GFS. It appears this is due to more overnight cooling in the desert and slower heating in the morning. That said, models do indicate long-lasting marine clouds on the west side. Looking at the ensembles, we have decent indications for a strong wind day. It’s just a matter of when and where. Dawn Patrol should be somewhere in the 23-26 range. The deterministic GFS suggests a dip midday, but I’m not sure I buy into that. Late day desert heat should take westerlies to 25-28+ from Stevenson to Arlington. High temp: 80F.

  Extended: windy, day after day. The devil is in the details, of course. Depending on the placement of a ridge midweek, the wind could back off some. Looking at next weekend, ensembles are consistent in cooling temps on the west side and keeping things warm to the east. IN other words, it’s likely to remain windy. Enjoy!

 
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Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Friday: 15-20/15-20/25-30, W swell 6′ at 11 seconds and SW 2′ @ 15. Saturday: 10-15/15/25-30, W 5′ @ 15. Sunday: NNW10-15/NNW 15/N 25-30+, W 7′ @ 13 and SW 2′ @ 14. Jones Friday: 15-18. Saturday: 21-24. Sunday: 21-24. Sauvie Island Friday: 15-18. Saturday: 14-17. Sunday: 16-19.

Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

A few high clouds this morning give way to clear sky. Temps start in the upper 50s and rise to the upper 80s. Moderate westerlies early and late. Calm in the middle. No rainbows. Saturday will be partly high cloudy. Temps start near 60 and rise to the upper 80s. Muggy. Moderately strong westerlies. No rainbows. Sunday will be mostly clear. Temps start in the upper 50s and rise to 80 or so. Moderately strong westerlies. No rainbows.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

There’s a weekly social for Wind Johnnies (The Gorge Wind Social) at Ferment Brewing every 3rd Monday this summer. On June 25th, Brave Endeavors hosts a pride MTB ride at Post Canyon at 5:30pm. June 30th is Vortex #3, a paddling race. There may be a DW SUP foil race this weekend. First Friday art walk is in Hood River today (6/7). It’s Pride First Friday. There are also various pride events going on this weekend.

The Columbia Gorge Junior Kayak Club offers free roll sessions (gear provided) for kids at the Hood River Pool every other Tuesday from 5:30 to 7pm. Visit their website for more deets: https://www.columbiagorgejuniorkayakclub.org/. Amayah’s offers a free meal every First Thursday from 1pm to 4pm. Regular weekly events:. NK Studio’s by-donation Tuesday morning yoga class is back. Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. There’s meditation with monks at 5:15pm (an hour) and 6:30pm (30 minutes plus a talk) at Yoga Samadhi in White Salmon.  

Cycling

After a nice dry day yesterday, trails should be dried out and perfect. If you get there and it’s muddy, turn around. Find something else to do! Post, Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, Syncline, Columbia Hills, and Nestor are open. Eightmile, Knebal, Bottle Prairie, Surveyor’s, Dog River, Sueprconnector, and Cook Meadows are open. Fifteenmile is clear of snow but has not been cleared of downed trees. Lewis River is open. Lower Falls Creek is open, but the area above Horse Camp is not. Cows are out on Hospital Hill. NO DOGS. That means you, all of you, even your dog that’s [insert adjective]. No dogs. Do not risk access for everyone. No parking at the corral.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

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Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Thursday: warm and breezy

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock sun’s out buns out
Stevenson LTV 10-13 14-17 21-24
Viento LTV 10-13 14-17 21-24
Swell-Hood River LTV LTV 14-17 21-24
Lyle to Doug’s LTV LTV 10-13 21-24
Rufus, etc: 220-294kcfs flow LTV LTV 10-13 21-24
Roosevelt & Arlington LTV LTV LTW LTW
River flow last 24 hours: 197-302kcfsRiver temp: 59.36F High temp: 85F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! With the exception of Friday, the Gorge looks windy pretty much all the way through next weekend. There are short periods in there where the heat low may shift to the west and decrease or shut the wind down, but most days should be windy. And no, I normally don’t make extended predictions like this, but the ensembles and the clusters are pretty clear about the overall weather pattern: it’s a good one! For Thursday, we start with pressures of 30.09/30.05/30.07 for gradients of 0.04 and E 0.02. There’s so little wind out there that you could easily do a burn pile (with a permit, of course) or spray stuff on your giant pumpkin plant. As the desert heats up today, so does the wind. We’ll see a slow build to 14-17 from Stevenson to Hood River by early afternoon. Thanks to desert heating and a slight increase in offshore high pressure, the wind keeps climbing. Expect 21-24 from Stevenson to Rufus for the executive session with 18-21 at Arlington. River flow over the last 24 hours was 197-302kcfs (220-294kcfs at Rufus), river temp is 59.36F, and high temp forecast is 85F.

Peak heat on Friday equalizes temps across the Cascades and gives you a rest day. Late in the day, westerlies pick up to 10ish from Stevenson to Swell. High temp: 91F. Desperate for wind? The south coast and Jones Beach have got your back. Maybe Sauvie Island too.

Ridging shifts east of the Cascades on Saturday as a weak weather system swings through. Models have been up and down for the last few days on the strength of the wind, and ensembles continue to offer up a wide range of solutions. Given the dynamic nature of the setup, the wind will be up-and-down, at least for the first half of the day until things stabilize some. For now, let’s call it 18-21 from Stevenson to Swell in the morning and 25-28 from Stevenson to Arlington in the afternoon. That’s likely to change some. High temp: 86F under partly high overcast sky.

Ensemble forecasts cluster around “big day” for Sunday. Dawn Patrol should be 27-31 from Viento to Mosier or perhaps Doug’s. The wind climbs to 30-35 and fills in from Stevenson to Threemile in the afternoon. Boardman joins in the evening. High temp: 82F for Hood River. 85F for Arlington.

  Extended: the wind for the next week depends on the exact placement of ridging, aka, the heat low. There’s some indication it could shift west of us, resulting in lesser wind, Monday and Tuesday, but many ensemble members keep us windy. For the latter half of next week, ensembles are all in on the standard-issue “Classic Gorge Setup of cool air to the west and hot air to the east. If nothing changes between now and then, we’re in for a long stretch of westerlies. Have fun out there!

 
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Did it save you time or gas money?
Did it make your life more fun?
Then please make a contribution.
Writing this takes me an hour or two a day.
Without your support, I can’t keep it up.
Keep the forecast going.
Subscribe or donate.
And share my forecast with your friends!
 
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Make a one-time contribution to support the forecast
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Thank you for contributing and keeping this forecast going!
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Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Thursday: 20-25/25/30-35+, NW swell 9′ at 13 seconds and SW 2′ at 15 seconds. Friday: 10-15/15-20/25-30, W 5′ @ 11 and SW 2′ @ 15. Saturday: 10-15/15/25-30, SW 2′ @ 14 and W 4′ @ 5. Jones Thursday: 20-23. Friday: 18-21. Saturday: 20-23. Sauvie Island Thursday: 14-17. Friday: 15-18. Saturday: 14-17.

Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Clear sky this morning adds just a few high clouds. Temps start in the upper 40s and rise to the mid 80s. Light westerlies early. Moderately strong later. No rainbows. Friday will be sunny. Temps start in the upper 50s and rise to the low 80s. Light westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be partly high cloudy. Temps start near 60 and rise to the mid 80s. Moderate westerlies early. Strong later. No rainbows.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

There’s a weekly social for Wind Johnnies (The Gorge Wind Social) at Ferment Brewing every 3rd Monday this summer. On June 25th, Brave Endeavors hosts a pride MTB ride at Post Canyon at 5:30pm. June 30th is Vortex #3, a paddling race. There may be a DW SUP foil race this weekend.

The Columbia Gorge Junior Kayak Club offers free roll sessions (gear provided) for kids at the Hood River Pool every other Tuesday from 5:30 to 7pm. Visit their website for more deets: https://www.columbiagorgejuniorkayakclub.org/. Amayah’s offers a free meal every First Thursday from 1pm to 4pm. Regular weekly events:. NK Studio’s by-donation Tuesday morning yoga class is back. Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. There’s meditation with monks at 5:15pm (an hour) and 6:30pm (30 minutes plus a talk) at Yoga Samadhi in White Salmon.  

Cycling

After a nice dry day yesterday, trails should be dried out and perfect. If you get there and it’s muddy, turn around. Find something else to do! Post, Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, Syncline, Columbia Hills, and Nestor are open. Eightmile, Knebal, Bottle Prairie, Surveyor’s, Dog River, Sueprconnector, and Cook Meadows are open. Fifteenmile is clear of snow but has not been cleared of downed trees. Lewis River is open. Lower Falls Creek is open, but the area above Horse Camp is not. Cows are out on Hospital Hill. NO DOGS. That means you, all of you, even your dog that’s [insert adjective]. No dogs. Do not risk access for everyone. No parking at the corral.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!