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Forecast

1/18 Forecast



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Good morning!

You would think that I could learn. If I don’t load the models by 7:45, I have to wait to do the forecast until 8:45 or so when the next model run is complete.

The rest of today looks – yay – snowy, with steady snow falling from now until 10pm. The snow level will be 3500-4000’ today. Winds will be NW at 15-20 down low, and 40-60 up high. Total precip between 4am today and 4am tomorrow will be .3-.5” of water value for 4-6” of new snow.

Tomorrow looks clear and cold, with the free air freezing level around 3000’. We’ll see light north or east winds and zero precipitation.

Thursday morning looks clear and cold, with clouds moving in during the afternoon. The free air freezing level will rise to 7000’ by afternoon. Winds will be light in the morning, rising to W 20-30 by 4pm. Precipitation starts as rain or freezing rain (there’s a bit of an inversion around 7-8000’) around 7pm. The chance of freezing rain ends around 1am as all precip switches to rain below 7000’. Total precipitation before 4am will be less than .1” of water value.

Friday looks rainy (well, sprinkly… I don’t want to bring a vision of last Sunday into your head), with r**n starting around 10am, and continuing until 1am Saturday. Winds on Friday will be SW 15-20, switching to W 15-25 by 4pm. The snow level will hold around 7500’. Total precipitation will be .25-.5”, all falling as rain. That rain will taper off by Saturday morning.

At this time, Saturday through Tuesday look dry and sunny.

In other, interesting news, there appears to be a new sandbar developing in the Columbia across from the Spring Creek Fish Hatchery. The Hood peaked at 12.94 feet at 9pm on the 16th, with a flow of 13,600 cfs. The peak wind gust at Arlington yesterday was 48mph at noon. Next chance for windsurfing in the Gorge is Friday, as an upper level low passes along the BC/Washington border.

Pray for snow!

Temira

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Categories
Forecast

6pm 1/15 forecast

Good evening,

Apologies for the late forecast. Hopefully this is still helpful in some manner.

For the rest of the day, we will see heavy, steady rain. Winds will slowly increase from 15-25 to SW 30-40 by 8pm, increasing to WNW 40-50 by 11pm. I’d call shutdown, but I don’t think we’ll get hammered until the wind switches direction after we close. Snow level for the rest of the day will be at 10000’.

Tomorrow starts off with the snow level around 9-10000’, falling to 6000 feet by 7pm, falling further to 5000’ by midnight. We’ll see NW wind at 45-50 early, decreasing to W 35-45 by noon, increasing again to W 50 by 8pm. The likelihood of us losing all high speed quads tomorrow is high. Total precipitation tomorrow will be more than 3”, nearly all of it falling as rain.

By midnight tomorrow night we should see a transition to wet snow, but winds will continue to be an issue. Monday starts off with W wind at 30-40, increasing to W 40-50 by noon and switching to NW 30-40 by 8pm. The snow level will slowly rise on Monday from 4000’ early to 5000’ by 8pm. Total snow accumulation of 3-5” looks likely, with total water value of .5”.

Tuesday looks dry during the day, with precipitation starting after the resort closes for the day. The freezing level on Tuesday will be 6000’ early, dropping to 3000’ by midday. Winds will be NW 20-30 early, turning to @ 20-30 by midday.

Wednesday and Thursday look dry and possibly sunny.

That concludes your afternoon weather. Smile. I said smile. You grimaced. There… that’s better. Have a great night! =)

Temira