Categories
Forecast

Friday: quite the active pattern coming. read on for deets.

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

Meet Temira, your Gorge Forecaster

a picture of Gorge forecaster Temira with a giant pumpkin that they grew

Temira (they/them) has been exploring and playing in the Gorge since 1997 – starting out as a windsurfer, then expanding into kiting (briefly!), mountain biking, winging, gravel biking, SUP foiling and even extreme gardening! With all that experience, they understand the importance of a reliable forecast. In 2009, frustrated by the lack of accurate forecasts, Temira took matters into their own hands. What began as a daily email chain between friends (Laura Green, Dave Brown, and Temira) quickly grew into a full-blown website and subscription email service.

So, why The Gorge is my Gym? Because I don’t need a traditional gym – and neither do you. The Gorge is our gym! But this blog isn’t just about my adventures; it’s about helping all of you make the most of your limited free time. Whether you’re on the snow, in the river, or on the dirt, this forecast is here to help you have fun.

Each forecast takes time – sometimes up to a couple of hours a day – and maintaining the website costs money. So do the forecast model subscriptions that provide the information underlying this forecast. If you’ve found this service helpful, consider making a contribution or signing up for the (mostly) daily email. Your support helps me keep bringing you the forecasts that make your adventures in the Gorge even better. It also keeps the forecasts free for folks who can’t afford to pay. Community service is important to me. So, pick one of the buttons below – Venmo, PayPal, or even USPS – and make a contribution. Keep this forecast going day after day! Thank you!  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

a graphical representation of today’s wind forecast

Hi skiers and snowboarders! Today’s the last full “calm before the storm” day. If it’s anything like yesterday, temps will rise to nearly 50 degrees on the slopes, and the snow will turn to corn. By tomorrow afternoon, precip returns (mixed precip, meh). Some form of rain, snow, or mixed precip sticks around pretty much all the way through next week. Best chance for snow, as opposed to rain or mixed precip, is the Monday-Tuesday time period. Best chance for Pineapple Express (warm atmospheric river) will be Sunday night and Tuesday night Wednesday. That last one, oof, that’s going to be quite rainy if the models hold.

Let’s start with Friday. Nothing to complain about here: a few high clouds, plenty of sun, and corn snow. The free air freezing level will be 12,000′ all day and will fall to 10,000′ overnight. Temps max out near 50 degrees at 5000′. Wind: SW 5 this morning, W 10 this afternoon, and SW 5-15 overnight.

Saturday will be high overcast to start – if we’re lucky, there will be a spectacular sunrise over Mt. Hood. Moisture moves in late afternoon, probably in the form of rain at 5000′ and snow above 6000′. The snow level will be 10,000′ early, 6500′ when the moisture arrives, and 5500′ overnight. All those words for not much moisture: models say 0.1” overnight.

Borderline temps and minimal precip are in the cards for Sunday daytime, but much heavier precip arrives overnight. The snow level will be 5000′-5500′ in the morning, 6500-7000′ overnight, and 4000′ a couple hours into the wee hours of Monday morning. About 1.6” water equivalent (WE) falls overnight. Call it 1-2” of sloppy snow at 5000′ with 10-16” above 8000′. Wind: SW 10-20 in the morning builds to SSW 15-30 int eh afternoon, SW 25-50 in the evening, and W 40 after midnight.

Heavy snow is forecast Monday with the snow level at 3500-4000′. Ditto on Tuesday. For that 24 hours time period, we’re looking at 1-3 feet of new snow at 5000′. We’ll have to wait until we get closer to pin down exactly how much new snow will fall. On Tuesday night, temps shoot much higher as the tropical fire hose takes aim at Mt. Hood. Modes have several inches of rain in the cards with the snow level as high as 8000′. Starting Thursday afternoon, ensembles generally keep the snow level below 5000′ with light to moderate snowfall. We’ll dig in more as we get closer, but the overall pattern beyond next Thursday looks cold enough and damp enough to pin your hopes on an early ski season.

Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!  

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! You could go chasing some pre-dawn easterlies today, or you could go up to the mountain and get some November spring skiing. At least, the conditions were spring skiing yesterday, and it’s supposed to be warm again today, so it’ll probably be spring skiing again! If not…

Friday starts with pressures of 30.18/30.32/30.32 for 0.12 PDX-DLS to start the day. Early morning east wind will be 35-40 at Iwash, 20ish at Stevenson, and 20ish at Viento. Jump on it. And I mean really get on it. By noon, the wind will fall to 15mph or less at all three spots. It continues to fall as the day progresses. Iwash ends up at 5mph, and Stevenson ends up at 10mph. River flow over the last 24 hours was 90-154kcfs, river temp is 55.40F, and high temp forecast is 56F.

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Saturday starts calm. As a system moves in, we could see the westerlies rise to gusty 14-17 from Viento to Rufus, maybe at Stevenson as well. Rain move in mid-afternoon. You’ll want to get the wind before the rain arrives. High temp: 57F under cloudy sky. Sunday will be calm. A series of systems in the Monday/Tuesday time frame gives us a shot at gusty 24-27 east of The Dalles both days, but models are far from certain on this. And remember that 24-27 on those eastern Gorge sensors is right on the edge of “enough”. Have a great day today!

Venmo
 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast: done for the season

  Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor 

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Nothing this morning transitions to clear sky and adds some thin high clouds. Temps start in the low 30s and rise to the mid 50s. Light easterlies in the morning. Calm wind in the afternoon. No rainbows. Saturday will be cloudy all day with drizzle in the evening. Temps start in the upper 30s and rise to the mid 50s. Calm wind early. Moderate westerlies later. 1% chance of rainbows. Sunday will have a little intermittent drizzle in the morning, clouds midday, and heavy rain overnight. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the mid 50s. Calm wind. 27% chance of rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier has reopened. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Thursday: spring skiing now. stormy soon. but will it be cold enough?

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

Meet Temira, your Gorge Forecaster

a picture of Gorge forecaster Temira with a giant pumpkin that they grew

Temira (they/them) has been exploring and playing in the Gorge since 1997 – starting out as a windsurfer, then expanding into kiting (briefly!), mountain biking, winging, gravel biking, SUP foiling and even extreme gardening! With all that experience, they understand the importance of a reliable forecast. In 2009, frustrated by the lack of accurate forecasts, Temira took matters into their own hands. What began as a daily email chain between friends (Laura Green, Dave Brown, and Temira) quickly grew into a full-blown website and subscription email service.

So, why The Gorge is my Gym? Because I don’t need a traditional gym – and neither do you. The Gorge is our gym! But this blog isn’t just about my adventures; it’s about helping all of you make the most of your limited free time. Whether you’re on the snow, in the river, or on the dirt, this forecast is here to help you have fun.

Each forecast takes time – sometimes up to a couple of hours a day – and maintaining the website costs money. So do the forecast model subscriptions that provide the information underlying this forecast. If you’ve found this service helpful, consider making a contribution or signing up for the (mostly) daily email. Your support helps me keep bringing you the forecasts that make your adventures in the Gorge even better. It also keeps the forecasts free for folks who can’t afford to pay. Community service is important to me. So, pick one of the buttons below – Venmo, PayPal, or even USPS – and make a contribution. Keep this forecast going day after day! Thank you!  

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

a graphical representation of today’s wind forecast

Hi skier and snowboarder friends! The next couple of days look glorious on the mountain – expect spring-like weather and (probably) spring-like conditions. It’ll stay dry up there Saturday morning, and then we’ll move into a more active weather pattern. The snow level will be bouncing around all next week – it’ll be above 5000′ at times and below 5000′ at times. It does look like it’ll fall below 5000′ and stay below it starting next Friday, but that’s a long ways out to be making predictions. But hey, some heads up is better than nothin’!

Thursday will be sunny and gorgeous. The free air freezing level will be 12,000′ all day long, and temps at 5000′ will rise to near 50 degrees. Wind will be light and variable all day. Friday will be sunny in the morning with filtered sun and high clouds in the afternoon. The free air freezing level will be 12,000′ all day and will drop to 10,000′ overnight. Once again, temps will be pushing 50 degrees at 5000′. Wind will be WSW 10 all day and SW 10 overnight. Will we have corn snow? I think so…

Transition is in the air on Saturday: clouds build during the day, and mixed precip starts up around 4pm. The freezing level drops from 10,000′ in the morning to a snow level of 8000′ in the afternoon. In the evening, the snow level settles in at 5500′ with temps in the 32-34F range at 5000′. About 0.2” water equivalent (WE) is forecast overnight. We may see a trace of wet snow at 5000′ with a couple inches above 6500′. Wind: SW 10 early, SW 15-25 in the afternoon, and W 25 overnight. Note: the Gorge Winter Gear Swap is in Hood River Saturday as is a Nordic gear swap Saturday evening.

Light mixed precip continues early Sunday, but the sky clears (above 6500′, anyway) midday. Rain returns overnight. The snow level will be 5500-6000′ in the morning, 6500′ in the afternoon, and 5500′ after midnight. About 0.7” WE is forecast overnight, starting around 4pm. This will be mixed precip at 5000′, with maybe an inch or two of wet snow. Above 6500′: 5-8”. Wind will be W 25 early, SW 15-25 in the afternoon, and WSW 40-55 after midnight. The snow level drops to 4000′ or so on Monday. 2-6” of new snow is in the cards, depending on elevation. A few more inches of snow are possible Tuesday. Models hint at heavy precip combined with warmer temps for the Wednesday/Thursday time period. But don’t give up all hope – there’s still quite a bit of range in the models, and snow will definitely still be piling up on the highest lift-served slopes. Have a great day today, and enjoy the sun!

Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!  

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! Today’s Thursday, and it’s your best bet to get in some windsports for the next week or so. Early-morning easterlies tomorrow might be enough as well, but you’ll have to be quick. Beyond that, there’s not much sign of hope in the ensembles – maybe Monday or Tuesday, but the odds are against it.

Thursday starts with pressures of 30.24/30.39/30.39 for 0.15 (PDX-DLS). Don’t let the freezing temps in Hood River dissuade you. It’s 48F at Iwash (Rooster) Rock and 44F at Stevenson. Hey, I didn’t say it was warm, but it is warmer! For the morning session, before the customary afternoon drop, you’ll find 35-40 at Iwash, 30ish at Stevenson, and 20-25 at Viento. Afternoon wind drops to 25 at Iwash, 20 at Stevenson, and 15 at Viento. River flow over the last 24 hours was 89-152kcfs, river temp is 55.7F, and high temp forecast is 56F. Hey, air temp plus river temp is still over 100F!

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Early easterlies fade quickly on Friday. Iwash starts with 25-30 and fades to 15mph by late morning and 10mph by mid-afternoon. Stevenson starts with 15-20 and fades more slowly, but still ends up at 10-15 in the afternoon. High temp: 57F. On Saturday, easterlies start at 10mph but don’t last long. In the afternoon, we’ll have westerlies at 11-14mph from Stevenson to Mosier. 14-17 is possible just before sunset. High temp: 57F. A wet, not-windy day is in the cards for Sunday. Some members of the ensembles offer up mid-20s westerlies Monday and/or Tuesday, but the probability of wind remains low. Ditto into the extended forecast as the weather stays active. Enjoy the sun and easterlies today!

Venmo
 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast: done for the season

  Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor 

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Clear sky all day. Temps start near 30 and rise to the mid 50s. Light easterlies. No rainbows. Friday starts Nothing (maybe) and ends with some high clouds. Temps start near freezing and rise to the upper 50s. Light easterlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be increasingly cloudy with drizzle in the evening. Temps start in the upper 30s and rise to the upper 50s. Calm wind early. Light westerlies in the afternoon. 31% chance of rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier has reopened. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!