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Forecast

2/19 Forecast

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Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

Good morning!

Funny thing is… the actual weather today corresponds more closely with the forecast from two days ago than from yesterday’s forecast. Go figure. Anyway, looks like a challenging few days coming up on the operations side of things.

Today we’ll see the snow level at 1000’, with soreographic flurries in the morning and clear skies by noon. Wind will be NW 20-30 at 7am, WNW 15-20 by 10am, SW 5-10 by 1pm and SW 15-20 by 4pm. Total precip will be less than .1” today.

Tomorrow is a bit of a challenging forecast. A warm front is coming, and models show the freezing level under 5500’. However, the warm overrunning air will bring -2 degree temps to 10,000’, and that’s not a good sign. At this point, I’m going to say we’ll have graupel and rimed snowflakes tomorrow, with a chance of freezing rain/rain, with the snow level at the surface (in the Gorge, anyway) early, rising to 5000-5500’ by 7am. Precip starts around 1am, we’ll see .9” by 4pm, and another .3-.5” by midnight, with 5-8” of heavy new snow on the ground. Wind will be SW 35-45 early, picking up to 40-45 by 7am, swinging to W 40 by 10am, and going to WNW 30-35 by 7pm.

Tuesday just doesn’t look pretty, as the warm air mass moves right over the Northwest for rain, and high pressure building off the coast for strong wind. We’ll see .2-.3” rain by 4am, another .3” by 4pm, and another .5”+ by Wednesday 4am. The freezing level will be 6000’ early, rising to 9000’ by 4pm. Wind will be WNW 30+ early, going to NW 30+ at 7am, WNW 40+ by 1pm and W 55+ by 4pm.

Wednesday looks terrible, with the coastal high driving very strong WNW wind and orographic rain showers. Precip amounts are all over the map, but the freezing level looks like 7500’ and the wind looks like WNW 50-60, holding all day long.

Of course, details on Tuesday and Wednesday could change between now and then, and even Monday’s details are a bit unclear, but that’s the general idea. Enjoy today’s sunshine!

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til January 2013, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors during the summer season (and the winter if I get off my bum and get some!). If you don’t PayPal, you can send a donation to PO Box 841 in Hood River, 97031.










Categories
Forecast

2/18 Mt. Hood snow forecast and Gorge wind alert

Paramount Energy Solutions - Solar for zero down
Enter “Temira” as your referral code

Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Saturday
Sunday
Monday

Good morning!

Amazing how much difference 24 hours can make in the weather models’ predictions. Yesterday I was saying the high wind would hit Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Now it’s going to hit today midday, and hit hard. We’ll see snow all day long, for about 1” water value (WV) between this morning and midnight with the snow level at 1000’ or less. That should give us 12-14” of new snow. Wind will be WSW 40-45 early, swinging to W 50 by 10am and a devastating WNW 50 by 1pm, dropping to WNW 40-45 around 7pm.

Tomorrow starts off with flurries, for .1-.3” WV between midnight and 8am, for 2-3” of new snow, with clearing after that (and maybe a few orographic flurries). The snow level will be less than 500’ early, rising to 1000’ by 1pm and 2000’ by 10pm. Wind will be NW 20-30 at 7am, dropping to W 5-10 by 1pm and going to SW 10-15 by 4pm and SW 15-20 by 10pm.

Monday starts off with snow flurries, becoming heavy between 4am and 10am with low clouds, fog, and flurries after that. The snow level will be at the surface Monday morning, rising to 3500’ in the afternoon. However, a fairly stable temperature profile will make the snow wetter than expected with the low snow levels. We’ll get .6” WV for 5-6” of new snow by 4pm, with another .1-.2” WV overnight, which will probably fall as snow, but may fall as rain. Wind on Monday will be SW 25-30 early, going to W 10-20 by 1pm.

Tuesday sees the snow level at 8000’ with light rain, as the bulk of the system heads north of us. As the front passes in the late afternoon or early evening, the snow level falls to 1000’ with very, very windy conditions. Total precip values depend on the eventual track of the storm, so we’re going to wait and see.

For you windsurfers and kiters who like 38 degree water, there will be very strong wind in the eastern Gorge both this afternoon and Wednesday afternoon.

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til January 2013, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors during the summer season (and the winter if I get off my bum and get some!). If you don’t PayPal, you can send a donation to PO Box 841 in Hood River, 97031.