2/11 Forecast

Posted by
 February 11, 2011

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Good morning!

Mountain Weather Forecast

Today starts off with high overcast skies and light wind. As a front approaches the coast, clouds become thicker and lower and winds pick up. By 1pm, we’ll have plenty of clouds along with SW wind at 30-35, increasing to WSW 35-40 by 4pm. We may see a few sprinkles this evening, but accumulation will be less than .1”. The snow level today will be around 7000’.

Tomorrow looks like a mess. The snow level starts at 7000’, dropping to 5500’ sometime between 4pm and 8pm. Precip starts mid-morning, most likely in the form of r**n, becoming moderate to heavy between 1pm and 1am. If we’re lucky, the r**n will switch to snow early, say, 4pm, for a total of 3-4” down low and 8-12” up high. Total water value between 4am Saturday and 4am Sunday will be approximately 1.5”, possibly more depending on the exact path of the storm. The real problem tomorrow is the wind at 5000’. It starts at SW 40-60 at 4am, building to SW 50-65 by 10am, increasing further to SW 60-70 by 1pm, going to a truly disastrous W 60 at 4pm, and then dropping slowly to W 40-50 by 10pm.

Sunday looks better. The snow level Sunday starts around 4500-5000’, rising to 5500-6000’ by 7pm. We’ll see light flurries most of the day, becoming moderate snowfall between noon and 10pm, for total accumulation of 4-6” down low and 9-12” up high with 1-1.5” water equivalent. The only problem is a potential switch back to r**n late in the day. Winds will be WSW 30-40 early, decreasing to WSW 20-30 later.

The snow level on Monday starts at 6000’, with a mix of rain and snow, switching to all snow as the front passes overnight, leaving us in a cold, snowy pattern for Tuesday through Thursday.

Mountain biking report
Lower Post is a sticky mess in areas and tacky in others. It might be okay to ride this afternoon, but a better bet would be either riding high up in the Super D area or riding Syncline instead.

Gorge Wind Forecast
Best chance for sailing in the Gorge is westerlies tomorrow afternoon, but there’s a pretty good chance it will be pouring rain and nasty out in the desert as well as in the western Gorge, so conditions will be gusty and miserable.

Have a great day today!


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