11/12 Forecast

Posted by
Temira
Date
 November 12, 2011
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Good morning!

Wow. Bonus beautiful day. If you haven’t had a chance to look at our volcanoes this morning, make sure you do. They’re covered in a pristine blanket of white. There’s more white coming this way, but first, quickly, the Gorge wind forecast for those of you cold weather wind junkies.

We have leftover wind from last night’s system, and we’ll see17-20 near Hood River today with 23-26 further east in the sunshine. An upper level low crosses the BC border late tonight, for nuclear force wind all night long and leftovers at 30+ east of the cloud line tomorrow. Wither more systems swinging through, we’ll see 22-24 east of the clouds both Monday and Tuesday, possibly stronger wind Tuesday, depending on timing.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Thursday
Friday
Saturday

In the snow forecast, things are a little more complicated than they were yesterday. We’ll see orographic snow flurries on Mt. Hood today, with another strong system pushng in overnight for .4-.5” water value and 2-4” of new snow. The snow level is going to be as high as 7000’ tonight, so we’ll see a brief period of snow mixed with rain and wet, heavy, base-building accumulation. Mt. Hood wind is gusting over 50mph right now. We’ll see NW wind averaging 30-35 this morning, going to SW 25-35 this afternoon and becoming WNW 50-60 overnight, for blizzard conditions.

The snow level will be around 5500’ tomorrow morning with snow flurries all day. We’ll see .2” water value tomorrow through Monday, for 1-2” of new snow. Winds will be WNW 45-55 early, fading to WNW 35-45 by afternoon and holding overnight.

Monday morning sees the snow level drop to 4000’ with flurries all day for .2-.3” water value and 2-3” of new snow. The snow level falls to 2500’ in the evening, and then picks up to 5500’ by midnight. Winds will be W 40-50 early, going to WNW 30-35 late.

Another strong system hits early Tuesday morning, bringing 1-1.25” water value. With the snow level around 5500’-6500’ with this system, we’ll see 5-7” of heavy new snow down low with 12”+ up high. Winds on Tuesday will be WSW 35-45 early, going to WSW 50-60 by 10am.

Looking way out in the forecast picture (not that the models really are valid for more than a few days), there’s a huge, cold upper low moving down from Alaska next Friday. If that really happens, it could bring some wet snow to low elevations.

The next big storm comes in Monday night, with the snow level around 4000’ and 10-12” of new snow. Speaking of Monday night, head over to Everybody’s Brewing for the Mt. Hood Meadows Avalance Dog fundraiser. There were awesome raffle prizes last year, so you’ll want to be there this year too!

Chance of Meadows opening within 2 weeks: 40%. Chances for Skibowl: 25%.

-Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2012, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors. If you don’t PayPal, you can send a donation to PO Box 841 in Hood River, 97031.