Categories
Forecast

Monday. 9/30. Gorge wind (kinda), mountain snow dustings, rainfall records and events

Thanks for being here all summer for the wind forecast. It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for … more windsurfing and kiting! No, it’s time to think about skiing.

You can get the best darned Mt. Hood snow forecast right here, all winter long, staring around November 15th. Bookmark this page. Come back for snow!

That’s right. Use my snow forecast. Tell your friends to use it. And if you or your friends think this service is awesome/useful/saves you gas money/makes your life more fun, make a donation by clicking the sun below. Is more fun worth $49/year? $20/year? Donate what it’s worth to you, but $12 minimum gets you on the email list (with occasional giveaways) for a year. Thank you for your support, and happy fun chasing!


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Random Morning Thoughts

Did you happen to catch the sunrise this morning in Hood River? The western sky was a fuzzy, muted pink, and a double rainbow hovered over Underwood mountain. It was pretty then. It’s just cloudy now.

Wind guessings, prognosticatings and musings

Looks like the biggest spike the wind happened overnight last night, around midnight, at Arlington. But don’t you worry your little head – it was a short-lived blast of wind, enjoyed only by the owls and the deer and the other nocturnal creatures.

Honestly, I’m not sure you’ll find the drive east worth your trouble today. It’s not an ideal setup, although it is sunny out in the desert, which is nearly enough to make the drive worth it. This departing upper low is a good thing, but a lack of high pressure off the coast, and the accompanying lack of east-west pressure gradient, means the wind won’t be great. You could head east of The Dalles for southerly-flow-driven, gusty 20-30, and at least you’ll be in the sun, but I can’t forecast anything spectacular.

But then again, today in wind world is the best you’ll see for the next 72 hours: Tomorrow brings gusty W 13-15 east of Hood River, and Wednesday brings light wind.

Today’s Gorge Wind
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Steven’s Locks raining showering sprinkling dripping
Hatch (subtract a few mph for Event Site) light 10-15 10-15 10-15
Doug’s / Rowena / Lyle 10-15 15-20 10-15 10-15
Maryhill / Rufus / The Wall 5-10 5-10 5-10 5-10
Arlington / Roosevelt 20-30 20-30 15-20 10-15


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Plain old weather

In rain news, NOAA put out a long list of rainfall records that fell over the last couple of days. Weather blogger Steve Pierce sent the list to me, but without the link, I couldn’t send it to you. That said, he was talking about Portland, where something on the order of 6” of rain fell during this storm as of yesterday.

Here in the Gorge, we’re a bit less wet, but the records are still falling. As mentioned yesterday, we broke Saturday’s record. We also broke Sunday’s record, with a total of .88” of rain yesterday. For September, we’re at 3.69”, meaning we need .15” over the next three days to break the record. With a line of low-topped thunderstorms headed our way at 7:15am, along with a big blob of yellow and orange on the radar (it really would be more fun if the color of the falling rain changed with the changing intensity of the rain), we’re going to break that record today.

For the rest of the week, here’s what to expect: rain today west of Mosier. Sun in the desert. Lucky desert-dwelling bastards. Expect a weak system to swing through tomorrow midday, for a few sprinkles. A slightly stronger system swings through midday Wednesday, for a bit more rain. Then on Thursday and Friday, bless the stars, we’re going to see the sun again in the central Gorge.

In snow news, it snowed all the way down to 5500′ last night. We’ll see the snow level at 5500-6000′ today, 5000′ tomorrow, and 4500-5500′ on Wednesday. The inexorable march of the seasons continues, whether we want it to or not.

Events n’ stuff

Speaking of seeing the sun, this is the time of year when I remind you about the quality of road biking in The Dalles. Truly lovely out there. I rode for 2.5 hours yesterday, and instead of getting drenched, as I would have in Hood River, I just got a bit wet. Remember, The Dalles is your winter cycling Mecca.

The rivers are up: The Hood is at 7.73′ (in case you were wondering, it’s generally under 3′ in the summer), and the Klickitat is at 1860cfs (just lovely).

I’d like to give you guys another gentle reminder to STAY OFF THE MOUNTAIN BIKE TRAILS for a few days, possibly for longer. Syncline dries out fastest, and it’s muddy right now. Guys, these trails are all volunteer-built, and when you ride in the mud, you do significant damage. If you’d like to get some exercise, I’m happy to take you out and have you swing some tools with me to repair summer damage. It’s fun, rewarding, and a great workout. It’ll make you buff. Like me. Remember, if volunteers are busily repairing damage, they can’t build new trail for you to ride!

On Thursday night at Andrew’s Pizza, you can catch the best movie ever: Rising from Ashes, the story of the Rwandan National Cycling Team. I promise you: if you ride a bike and you have a heart, you will be touched by this movie. And then you’ll go to the Team Rwanda shop and buy some rad gear, and maybe even volunteer for a month or two in Rwanda. I believe there is only one showing, at 6:30.

In meeting news this week, the HRC Trails Committee has a meeting tomorrow night at 5:30 at the Extension office. The HRATS have a board of directors meeting at 6pm at the fire station on Thursday.

Coming up at the end of the week, the Mt. Hood Ski Patrol swap is in Hillsboro Friday and Saturday. Saturday afternoon/evening is Take a Kid Mountain Biking Day at Cascade Locks’ EasyCLIMB trail. Sunday is the Ashland Super D race, a downhill race where you are (gasp) actually required to pedal hard on the climbs too. The ‘Two Dam Punks’ 10k is in Stable on Saturday.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

Categories
Forecast

Sunday. 9/29. Gorge wind. Rain. More rain. Rain records. Other things that I care about and you might not.

Thanks for being here all summer for the wind forecast. It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for … more windsurfing and kiting! No, it’s time to think about skiing.

You can get the best darned Mt. Hood snow forecast right here, all winter long, staring around November 15th. Bookmark this page. Come back for snow!

That’s right. Use my snow forecast. Tell your friends to use it. And if you or your friends think this service is awesome/useful/saves you gas money/makes your life more fun, make a donation by clicking the sun below. Is more fun worth $49/year? $20/year? Donate what it’s worth to you, but $12 minimum gets you on the email list (with occasional giveaways) for a year. Thank you for your support, and happy fun chasing!


PayPal - The safer, easier way to pay online!

Random Morning Thoughts
Yesterday evening was very wet. I think I’m rusting. Or melting. Because I’m so sweet, you know. Like sugar, I melt.

Wind guessings, prognosticatings and musings

As expected, the wind field came through after dark last night. We’re going to see a similar situation today, I’m afraid. Not to get too technical, but yesterday was a frontal passage and today is an upper low moving inland. This is a better setup for wind, and if it weren’t going to happen overnight, those of us who own a sub-3.0 sail would be sitting pretty. Or sailing pretty. Kiting pretty. You know what I mean.

So, as bits of energy from this low swing overhead today, we’ll see some westerlies early afternoon east of The Dalles (maybe east of Maryhill). However, it’s going to be short-lived, and if you drive for the early afternoon 25-29 bump out there (assuming it actually happens), you’ll likely be disappointed. As the low moves inland after 5pm, the wind will climb to 30-40+ east of The Dalles, with very up-and-down garbage can removal wind in the central Gorge. It will be dark when this happens. Dark and scary.

If we’re very, very lucky, there will be a few hours of leftover 28-32 tomorrow morning at Maryhill and Arlington before the wind fades. On Tuesday, expect westerlies at 15-18.

Today’s Gorge Wind
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Steven’s Locks raining pouring old man
snoring
20-30
LATE
Hatch (subtract a few mph for Event Site) light light light 20-30
LATE
Doug’s / Rowena / Lyle light light light 25-35
LATE
Maryhill / Rufus / The Wall light light light 30-40
LATE
Arlington / Roosevelt light light light 30-40
LATE


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Plain old weather

On to actual, plain-old weather: You might have noticed it was a bit wet yesterday. Hood River set a record with 1.28” of rain at HOXO. Parkdale received 2.83” of rain. Today’s record is .58”, and that will fall too, if not during the day, then tonight, when it will pour. In case you were wondering, we are over average for the year in rainfall.

Models seem to think the bulk of the rain before 5pm today will stay within and west of the Cascade crest. That’s not to say it won’t rain in the central Gorge. It will. It just won’t pour until after 5pm. I’m tempted to head to The Dalles to ride my bike today. Hello Petersburg Loop. Must be winter in the Gorge.

In other interesting weather news, this upper level low I mentioned, well, it’s going to be around 975mb when it hits Vancouver Island. That’s winter strength. Pretty impressive for this time of year. Rare.

And in other news, it snowed down to about 6000′ last night with the passage of the cold front. The snow level will rise to 9000′ again today, before crashing down to 5500′ early tomorrow (after most of the precip has passed) and to 5000′ on Tuesday.

Out on the coast, it’s storm central, with storm warnings posted, hurricane-force winds expected, and surf rising to 23′ at 15 seconds. According to NOAA, this system is powerful enough for the surf to pick things up, dust them off, and “kill people”.

Stuff happening tonight, this weekend, and other stuff too

The rivers are responding nicely to all this rain. The White Salmon went from 1.5′ to 2′ yesterday. The Hood went from 4.99′ early yesterday to 5.7′ today. The Klickitat went from 750cfs to 1960cfs.

This tidbit is totally unrelated to sporting, except in one important way. When you eventually break yourself, you might want some health insurance so you don’t go broke. If you’ve been unable to get any for whatever reason, you may have an opportunity coming up. The Oregon Insurance Exchange goes live on Tuesday. You can browse starting then, and enroll in January. That said, I read a great article in the NY Times with a bunch of FAQs about the ACA/Obamacare. If you have questions, it’s a great resource.

I’ll leave you with next weekend’s events. On Friday and Saturday, the Mt. Hood Ski Patrol has their annual snowsports swap in Hillsboro, a long way away, but worth the trip for a good cause. Next Saturday is Take a Kid Mountain Biking Day in Cascade Locks, in the afternoon and evening at the EasyCLIMB trail. Then next Sunday, it’s the Ashland Super D bike race, and the annual Dirty Fingers Bike Shop customer campout, in Ashland, at the race.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira