Categories
Forecast

1/27 Mt. Hood exciting weather, Gorge wind, and atmospheric rivers doing weird stuff.










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Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday

Good morning,

I spent yesterday working on the mountain, and got back to town around 4pm. Wow… it was such a nice afternoon in the valley! Today’s Gorge weather should be sunbreaky in the morning, with rain moving in during the afternoon. Wind today will be west 20-24 or so. Tomorrow should bring pouring rain to Cascade Locks with sharply decreasing rain amounts the further east you go. Wind will be west 26-30 tomorrow morning, picking up to 30-35+ late in the afternoon with the strongest wind at Doug’s and Maryhill. Tuesday looks similar, with rain west, showers central, and sun east, with west wind at 26-30. Columbia River temp is 38°.

There’s some really interesting weather headed our way early this week. It’s an atmospheric river (aka Pineapple Express), but it’s taking the long route here (which should cool it down a bit and sap some of the precipitable water). There’s a big high pressure system off the coast, and the tropical moisture is going to head north around it, and then plummet south, slamming straight into the northern Oregon Cascades and the Washington Cascades. More on this in a bit. I know it’s probably not that interesting to you, but it’s a very unusual setup, and I’m excited to see what happens!

Today on Mt. Hood sees the snow level at 1000′, with flurries and sunbreaks through 4pm. Heavier snowfall picks up mid-afternoon, with .7-.8” water value (WV) overnight, for 7-9” of new snow by 4am Monday. Wind today will be NW 20-30 early, W 25-30 midday and NW 30-40 overnight.

Monday morning starts with the snow level around 1000′. Moderate snowfall continues through noon, becoming very heavy after noon. We’ll get 1” WV by 4pm, for 11-13” of new snow. Another 1.7” falls by 4am Tuesday, but it looks like the temps will be relatively warm despite the low snow level, giving us 14-18” of heavy, wind-affected new snow. Wind on Monday is going to be a problem, with WNW 30-40 early, NW 40-50 by 7am, W 45-55 by 1pm, and WNW 60+ by 4pm. Best of luck to the folks in charge of keeping chairs running. I have a feeling they won’t succeed.


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The wind looks even worse on Tuesday, and that’ll be nothing compared to the nasty weather. The snow level starts at 3000′, but warm air moving in above will likely give the mountains either freezing rain or really wet snow. The snow level rises to 5500′ at 7am and 6000′ by 10am, dropping a bit in the afternoon to 3000′. However, when the snow level drops, warm air above will keep the temp right around 0 degrees at 7500′, meaning we’ll probably see freezing rain in the afternoon. As for precip totals, expect 1-1.5” between 4am and 4pm and another 1.4-1.7” by 4am Wednesday. That’s going to give us feet and feet of snow up high, but the precip type is going to be marginal for snow accumulation down low. Wind on Tuesday will ensure most lifts don’t run, and it will ensure that the snow that does fall is extremely wind-affects: WNW 60 during the morning drops to a still-disruptive NW 45-50 around 10am, and stays that way all day. That’s going to be really problematic if we see freezing rain, because chairs won’t be running to keep the equipment from icing up.

Wednesday starts out with the snow level at 6000′, dropping to 4000′ by 1pm and 3500′ by 7pm. A snow/rain mix in the morning gives us .4” WV by 4pm, for a couple inches of new snow. After that, flurries alternate with sunbreaks. Wind on Wednesday will be NW 45-50 early, WNW 35-40 mid-afternoon, and NW 25-30 in the evening.

It looks like high pressure may rebuild after Wednesday, drying things out.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

Categories
Forecast

1/23 Gorge ice, Mt. Hood snow and ice, and, btw, could someone build a damn fire to go with all this ice?!










Thank you for using this forecast! It’s free to use, but it’s not free for me to write. I put about an hour a day into creating a (hopefully) accurate forecast, and I pay for the hosting on this website. If you find this service valuable (gets you the good days on the mountain, saves you gas and time, etc.) please donate. I’m just one gal with other jobs writing this for you! Your generosity keeps this going for everyone. I also send an email version of this forecast. Make a $12 or larger donation, and you’re on the email list for a year. No dealing with the twice-yearly pledge drive. You’ll also have a chance to win prizes from the sponsors, when I have prizes to give. Thank you again for your support!


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday

Good morning,

Geez. I’m a little behind the ball today. NOAA’s been all over the freezing rain forecast for a couple of days, and I’ve been slacking off. Well, I’m on board now. It’s 32 degrees at Meadows. It’s 28 down here. It’s going to freezing rain on us a bit this afternoon. It would be doing it now, but the atmosphere is so dry from the easterlies that the moisture is falling and not reaching the ground here… yet. We’ll likely see freezing rain in the Hood River area between noon and 6pm. The western Gorge will probably see it earlier. It shouldn’t be more than .2” of ice accumulation, but it’ll be enough to make a mess. Sorry for the late notice. Uh… you shouldn’t go to Portland or come back this afternoon unless it’s a matter of life or death.

After 7pm today, temps should warm above freezing and the ice will go away. We’ll see a brief switch to light west wind overnight before easterlies return at 21-24 tomorrow afternoon. Yes, it looks foggy in the Gorge tomorrow, at least in the morning, and we might get lucky with below-freezing temps again and super-slick roads. Friday looks very rainy and relatively warm, with temps in the low 40’s. Saturday looks showery.


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On Mt. Hood, this system should actually come in as wet snow. The free air freezing level will be 5000′ this morning, falling to 2000′ around 4pm. Light flurries (or maybe light sprinkles) this morning give way to heavier precip around noon, with .4” water value (WV) falling by 10pm, for 3-4” of new snow. The sky clears overnight. Wind today will be SSW 40-50 through the day, dropping to SW 30 at 4pm and swinging to W 30 overnight.

Thursday starts off with clear or high overcast sky above Mt. Hood. The freezing level will be at 1000′ early, rising to 5000′ by 1pm and briefly to 7000′ by 10pm. The sounding model is predicting snow, but the 700mb model shows warm temps aloft. I’m going to call freezing rain out of this system for Mt. Hood, and my apologies to anyone in mountain operations. It’ll start around 10pm, with .3” falling by 4am Friday. Wind Thursday will be WNW 20 early, SW 20 midday and SW 30 overnight.

Friday will likely start with freezing rain on Mt. Hood, switching to snow mid-morning. The freezing level will be 4000′ early, 5500′ mid-morning and 3000′ in the afternoon. Approximately .7” WV falls between 4am and 4pm, for a couple inches of snow if we’re lucky and a lot of ice if we’re not. Snow continues overnight as another frontal system swings through for another .4” WV in the 1am-4am period, for 3-5” of new. Wind Friday will be SW 30-40 all day.

Saturday looks showery, with the snow level at 1500′ all day and .3” WV falling during the day for 2-4” of new snow. Wind will be WSW 30, dropping to SW 20 mid-morning.

Coming up Friday, there’s an avalanche awareness clinic at Dog River at 7pm. This is no substitute for taking a full Avalanche I course, but it will give the basics of backcountry safety. Plus, it will give you a chance to talk to your USFS ranger, Jimmy T.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira