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Forecast

2/11 Forecast



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Good morning!

Mountain Weather Forecast

Today starts off with high overcast skies and light wind. As a front approaches the coast, clouds become thicker and lower and winds pick up. By 1pm, we’ll have plenty of clouds along with SW wind at 30-35, increasing to WSW 35-40 by 4pm. We may see a few sprinkles this evening, but accumulation will be less than .1”. The snow level today will be around 7000’.

Tomorrow looks like a mess. The snow level starts at 7000’, dropping to 5500’ sometime between 4pm and 8pm. Precip starts mid-morning, most likely in the form of r**n, becoming moderate to heavy between 1pm and 1am. If we’re lucky, the r**n will switch to snow early, say, 4pm, for a total of 3-4” down low and 8-12” up high. Total water value between 4am Saturday and 4am Sunday will be approximately 1.5”, possibly more depending on the exact path of the storm. The real problem tomorrow is the wind at 5000’. It starts at SW 40-60 at 4am, building to SW 50-65 by 10am, increasing further to SW 60-70 by 1pm, going to a truly disastrous W 60 at 4pm, and then dropping slowly to W 40-50 by 10pm.

Sunday looks better. The snow level Sunday starts around 4500-5000’, rising to 5500-6000’ by 7pm. We’ll see light flurries most of the day, becoming moderate snowfall between noon and 10pm, for total accumulation of 4-6” down low and 9-12” up high with 1-1.5” water equivalent. The only problem is a potential switch back to r**n late in the day. Winds will be WSW 30-40 early, decreasing to WSW 20-30 later.

The snow level on Monday starts at 6000’, with a mix of rain and snow, switching to all snow as the front passes overnight, leaving us in a cold, snowy pattern for Tuesday through Thursday.

Mountain biking report
Lower Post is a sticky mess in areas and tacky in others. It might be okay to ride this afternoon, but a better bet would be either riding high up in the Super D area or riding Syncline instead.

Gorge Wind Forecast
Best chance for sailing in the Gorge is westerlies tomorrow afternoon, but there’s a pretty good chance it will be pouring rain and nasty out in the desert as well as in the western Gorge, so conditions will be gusty and miserable.

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.

Categories
Forecast

2/10 Forecast



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Good morning!

Mountain Weather Forecast

Don’t worry. This boring sunny weather is going to end soon!

Today starts off sunny, with the possibility of some high clouds moving in late. It’s going to be pretty warm on Mt. Hood, with the free air freezing level around 7000’. Winds will be west 5-15 all day, and we won’t see any precipitation. It’s also going to be near 50 in the valley, so if you have a chance, go for a bike ride today!

Tomorrow may start off partly cloudy, but it’s going to get cloudy pretty quickly. Models are showing precipitation holding off until Saturday morning, but a few sprinkles on the mountain late in the day wouldn’t surprise me. The freezing level tomorrow starts around 7500-8000’, holding at 8000’ during the day, and dropping to 6500’ by 7pm. Winds tomorrow start at SW 10-15, rising to SW 30-40 by 1pm, rising to SW 35-45 by 7pm. Total precip by 4am Saturday will be less than .1”. If you’re a freestyle rider, there’s a rail jam at Meadows on Friday night. It’s free to enter, and there are sweet prizes.

Saturday brings 1-1.5” of water value. It’s going to be borderline. The snow level starts around 7000’ at 4am, falling to 5500-6000’ by 1pm, falling to 4500’ by 7pm. We’ll see sprinkles before 10am, with the heaviest precipitation from 1pm to 7pm. With 850mb/5000’ temps hovering between 0 and 2 degrees celcius for much of the day, I’m having a tough time making a call of rain or snow. Because I’m an optimist, I’m going with wet snow for now, mixed with periods of rain early, for 2-4” down low and 8-12” up high. The wind will be more of an issue than the rain/snow/icing on Saturday. At 4am, we’ll have SW 45-55, rising to WSW 50-60 by 1pm, and then, as the front passes mid to late afternoon, going to a very messy W 45-55 for the rest of the day.

Sunday looks prettier, with the snow level at 4500’, rising to 5500’ by 4pm. We’ll see light snow all day, becoming moderate from 1pm to 4am Monday. Winds Sunday will be SW 30-40 to start, going to SW 25-35 by 4pm. Total water value will be .5” or so, with most of that falling after 1pm, for a total of 4-6” of new.

Monday night looks rainy, but after that, it’s all snow, all the time.

Gorge Recreation Forecast

In other Gorge recreation news, your best chance for windsurfing and kiting west winds will be on Saturday. Hospital, Syncline, and the upper part of Post are rideable again. Please leave the lowest sections of Seven Streams alone to avoid damaging the muddy trail. ¼ mile of riding on the dirt road won’t kill you. =)

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.