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3/12 Forecast



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Good morning!

Another late forecast… sorry. That’s what you get for free. =)

I’m tired this morning, and that’s making the image on the radar irritating. A downpour over the coast range is headed NE instead of straight east at Mt. Hood. Everybody needs to think eastward thoughts and send that yellow and orange blob this way.

If that blob hits Hood, we’ll see some snowfall during the day today. The snow level will be at 4000’ early, falling to 1500’ by 1pm and then rising to 3500’ by 4pm. When the precip moves over the mountain, we’ll see light to moderate snow until mid-afternoon, becoming heavy between 5pm and 11pm. Total precip, according to the models, will be .5-.75” for 6-8” of new, mostly falling in the evening. Winds will be SW 15-20 early, rising to SW 20-30 mid afternoon and holding overnight.

Winds swing more to the south tomorrow morning bringing the snow level up to 5000-6000’ depending on which model you favor. The snow level will rise to 6500’ by 10am or so, holding through 4-5pm before falling back to 3500’ around 11pm. Total precip tomorrow will be 1.5-2” of water value, likely with some rain mixed in, making total snowfall hard to predict. I’ll go with a guess of 3-5” of wet snow down low with 12-15” up high. Winds will be SSW 20-25 early, rising to S 40-45 by 10am, rising to S 40-60 by 4pm and swinging to WSW 45-55 by 11pm. Wind direction should protect lifts tomorrow.

Monday brings snow and wind. The snow level will be 3500’ all day with light to moderate snowfall all day for .5-.75” water value and 6-8” of new. It’s going to be stormy, with SW wind at 40-50 going to WSW 40-40 early afternoon.

Tuesday looks borderline warm, with 1.5-2” of water value, the snow level around 5500’ and S wind at 30-40. Temps drop Wednesday and Thursday with snow on Wednesday and potential clearing on Thursday.

Have a great day today!

Temira

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Categories
Forecast

3/10 forecast



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Good morning!

It’s snowing from 4000’ on up. It’s pouring rain below that. The temp is dropping rapidly on Mt. Hood, and that’s a good sign for good skiing later.

The snow level will keep dropping today, hitting 3000’ by 1pm and dropping further to 1500’ late in the day. Snowfall will be moderate to heavy all day, with total accumulation of 1.5-2.0” of water value for 12-14” of new by 10pm, with snowfall decreasing rapidly after that. Winds today will be SW 35-35, building to WSW 45-50 by 1pm, switching to a nasty 40-45+ by 4pm and going to an equally nasty WNW 40-50+ by 7pm.

Tomorrow looks like the polar opposite of today. We’ll see partly cloudy skies in the morning becoming clear in the afternoon. The free air freezing level will be 1500’ early going to 3500’ by 7pm. Other than a few flurries in the morning, there will be no accumulation.

Saturday starts off with the snow level at 2000’, theoretically, but another model shows 4500’ early. Snow starts falling around 4am, heavy through 10am, becoming moderate through 10pm and then drying after that. The snow that falls early will likely be heavy, rimed, maybe even graupel, with a chance of some freezing rain. Total precip will be .75-1.25”, for 7-10” of new snow. Winds will start at SW 30-40, decreasing to WSW 20-35 around 1pm.

Sunday looks a little problematic, but I have my fingers crossed. We’ll see rapid warming, with the snow level starting at 2000’ around 1am, rising to 5500-6000’ by 10am. Winds start at SW 20-25, building to WSW 40-50 by 10am, going to SW 50ish by 7pm. Total precip will be 1-1.5”+, but we’re going to have to wait a day or so for more detail to emerge from the models.

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the sad-looking link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til February 2012, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.