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Forecast

1/18 Forecast



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Good morning!

You would think that I could learn. If I don’t load the models by 7:45, I have to wait to do the forecast until 8:45 or so when the next model run is complete.

The rest of today looks – yay – snowy, with steady snow falling from now until 10pm. The snow level will be 3500-4000’ today. Winds will be NW at 15-20 down low, and 40-60 up high. Total precip between 4am today and 4am tomorrow will be .3-.5” of water value for 4-6” of new snow.

Tomorrow looks clear and cold, with the free air freezing level around 3000’. We’ll see light north or east winds and zero precipitation.

Thursday morning looks clear and cold, with clouds moving in during the afternoon. The free air freezing level will rise to 7000’ by afternoon. Winds will be light in the morning, rising to W 20-30 by 4pm. Precipitation starts as rain or freezing rain (there’s a bit of an inversion around 7-8000’) around 7pm. The chance of freezing rain ends around 1am as all precip switches to rain below 7000’. Total precipitation before 4am will be less than .1” of water value.

Friday looks rainy (well, sprinkly… I don’t want to bring a vision of last Sunday into your head), with r**n starting around 10am, and continuing until 1am Saturday. Winds on Friday will be SW 15-20, switching to W 15-25 by 4pm. The snow level will hold around 7500’. Total precipitation will be .25-.5”, all falling as rain. That rain will taper off by Saturday morning.

At this time, Saturday through Tuesday look dry and sunny.

In other, interesting news, there appears to be a new sandbar developing in the Columbia across from the Spring Creek Fish Hatchery. The Hood peaked at 12.94 feet at 9pm on the 16th, with a flow of 13,600 cfs. The peak wind gust at Arlington yesterday was 48mph at noon. Next chance for windsurfing in the Gorge is Friday, as an upper level low passes along the BC/Washington border.

Pray for snow!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.

Categories
Forecast

1/14 Forecast. Go build an ark.



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Good morning!

Today: warm, wet and windy.
Saturday: warm, wet and windy.
Sunday: warm, wet and windy.
Monday: colder, snowy and windy.

Today looks like the driest of the next three, unless a small shift in the storm track makes today equally wet. We’ll see light to moderate rain until 10pm today, when the weather should (mostly) dry out for 6-8 hours or so. Total precip today will be .5” or so. The snow level this morning will be around 6000’, rising to 8000’+ by 4pm. Winds will be SW 20-30 this morning, rising to WSW 35-45 this afternoon and switching to W 30-40 this evening.

Tomorrow morning looks relatively dry, or at least just slightly rainy. The snow level will be around 6000’, rising to around 10,000’ in the afternoon as the true Pineapple Express slams into Mt. Hood. That tropical moisture should begin falling around 10am, with a total of 2-5” of rain falling by Sunday morning. Winds tomorrow will be SW 15-25, holding for much of the day, and rising to WSW 30-40 overnight.

Sunday looks warm and wet as tropical moisture and the PE train continues to blast through MHM station. Sunday looks windier, with morning wind at W or WNW 35-45 (bad news), falling to WSW 25-35 in the afternoon and increasing to WSW 40-50 Sunday night as we finally see a transition to a colder pattern. The snow level will be at 10,000’ or so (does it really matter once it’s above 8000’?), falling to 6500-7000’ during the day. By Monday morning, the snow level should be around 4500’-5000’, but unfortunately, most of the moisture will already be out of the clouds and in the snowpack and rivers.

If you would like to go whitewater kayaking in flood-stage rivers, you’re going to get your chance. The Hood is at 7.7 and will be rising fast over the weekend. The White Salmon was at 4’ yesterday, and will rise as well.

Pray for snow!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.