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Forecast

3/11 Forecast



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Good morning!

Apologies for the late forecast today. The news out of Japan and the news of a 6 foot tsunami headed for Maui have kept me busy contacting friends this morning. Crossing my fingers for all of them.

Also on the disaster radar today is the slide that came down in Heather Canyon on Wednesday night or early Thursday morning: Check it out here.

Thankfully, Mt. Hood is above the tsunami zone. Today, however, it’s in the fog zone. We’ll see clouds and fog and a chance of partial clearing today before the next system hits tonight. The freezing fog freezing level today will be 1500’, going to 3500’ by late afternoon. Winds will be SW 15-20 all day, swinging more southerly late in the evening. We’ll see less than .1” water value for less than an inch of new.

Tomorrow looks snowy, with heavy snowfall between 4am and 1pm. the snow level starts at 4000’ and drops to 1500’ midday before rising to 2000’ or so by evening. Winds will be SW 20-25, rising to SW 30-35 midday and fading to SW 15-20 late. Total snowfall will be .5-.75” water value for 6-8” of new.

Sunday looks a bit wild. Models are calling for 2-3” of precip. Looks like the snow level will be at 4000’ early, rising to 5500-6000’ by 10am, rising further to 7000’ by 4pm before falling to 4000’ by 10pm. Precip will start around 10am, probably falling as rain between 11am and 5pm before switching back to snow. At this point, it looks like the heaviest precip will fall after 5pm, possibly giving us lots of new snow. Let’s wait a day and see how the models shake out. Either way, we’ll see SSW wind at 20-25 early, rising to S 40-45 by 10am, going to SSW 50-60 by 4pm and going to WSW 40-45 by 10pm.

Monday looks windy and snowy, with 3-5” of new, and Tuesday looks very snowy with temps hovering around freezing.

Have a great day today!

Temira

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Categories
Forecast

3/10 forecast



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Good morning!

It’s snowing from 4000’ on up. It’s pouring rain below that. The temp is dropping rapidly on Mt. Hood, and that’s a good sign for good skiing later.

The snow level will keep dropping today, hitting 3000’ by 1pm and dropping further to 1500’ late in the day. Snowfall will be moderate to heavy all day, with total accumulation of 1.5-2.0” of water value for 12-14” of new by 10pm, with snowfall decreasing rapidly after that. Winds today will be SW 35-35, building to WSW 45-50 by 1pm, switching to a nasty 40-45+ by 4pm and going to an equally nasty WNW 40-50+ by 7pm.

Tomorrow looks like the polar opposite of today. We’ll see partly cloudy skies in the morning becoming clear in the afternoon. The free air freezing level will be 1500’ early going to 3500’ by 7pm. Other than a few flurries in the morning, there will be no accumulation.

Saturday starts off with the snow level at 2000’, theoretically, but another model shows 4500’ early. Snow starts falling around 4am, heavy through 10am, becoming moderate through 10pm and then drying after that. The snow that falls early will likely be heavy, rimed, maybe even graupel, with a chance of some freezing rain. Total precip will be .75-1.25”, for 7-10” of new snow. Winds will start at SW 30-40, decreasing to WSW 20-35 around 1pm.

Sunday looks a little problematic, but I have my fingers crossed. We’ll see rapid warming, with the snow level starting at 2000’ around 1am, rising to 5500-6000’ by 10am. Winds start at SW 20-25, building to WSW 40-50 by 10am, going to SW 50ish by 7pm. Total precip will be 1-1.5”+, but we’re going to have to wait a day or so for more detail to emerge from the models.

Have a great day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the sad-looking link below. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til February 2012, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.