I do not like this forecast. 1/12/11

Posted by
 January 12, 2011

The Clymb: free membership.
Access to super cheap gear including Trew, Zeal, Sierra Designs, and many more.

Good morning!

It’s 25 degrees in Hood River and raining right now, with a .16 east gradient still sending cold air from the desert into the Ditch. That’s a bad sign for the end of freezing rain. If we’re lucky, it will still end by noon, but I think we’ll see freezing rain until mid-afternoon.. I-84 is, miraculously, still open at this time. However, HR schools are closed.

Today was our best bet for snow on Mt. Hood, and it’s raining. Here’s the forecast for the next three days:
Today: warm, wet and windy. Tomorrow: warm, wet and windy. Friday: warm, wet and windy. Models for Saturday disagree, but the likeliest scenario is warm, wet and windy. Sunday looks warm, very wet and windy.

Want the details? Snow level today will be around 6000’, with possible periods of snow down to 5000’. Total precip will be somewhere between 1” and 2” of rain. Morning winds at SW 30-50 rise to SW 50-60 by 11am, becoming WSW at 30-40by 8pm. Snow level tomorrow will rise to 7000’ by 4am, with SW wind at 30-40, rising to WSW 40-50 by noon, turning to W 40-50 by 7pm. Total water value tomorrow will be 1.5” to 2”.

Friday starts off with the snow level at 7000-8000’, falling to 6000’ by 10am and rising back to 7500’ by 4pm. Total rain on Friday looks like .5” at this time, but a small shift in the storm track could up that to 2-3”. Winds Friday will be WSW 30-40 all day, becoming W 30-40 after 10pm.

River level forecast models are starting to pick up the incoming warm air, with the Hood forecast to hit 7.4 feet by Friday. I suspect it will be near 10 feet before the end of the weekend.

Have an awesome day today, despite Mother Nature’s nasty curveball!


p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.