Categories
Forecast

Friday: breezy today, chaos tomorrow

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Stevenson LTW 14-17 14-17 17-20
Viento 14-17 14-17 14-17 17-20
Swell-Hood River 14-17 17-20 14-17 17-20
Lyle to Doug’s 7-10 13-16 17-20 17-20
Rufus, etc: 101-175kcfs flow 10-13 10-13 14-17 14-17
Roosevelt & Arlington 10-13 10-13 10-13 10-13
River flow last 24 hours: 99-175kcfskcfsRiver temp: 70.88F HR High temp: 78F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! Nice to see you on the river yesterday. Shall we do it again today? We’ll have moderate westerlies to play in. Things get exciting tomorrow as a strong weather system zips into the east side in the evening (hopefully early enough). That has the potential to give us a period of very strong wind (maybe) and a round of thunderstorms. That combo isn’t great for reliable wind, but maybe if we all cross our fingers…? In the aftermath of this, Sunday’s wind will be somewhere around 20mph. Monday looks a bit windier despite a not-ideal setup. More deets to follow.

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Friday starts sunny in Hood River and partly to mostly cloudy in the greater metro area. We like marine clouds! Pressures at 8am were 30.05/29.99/29.97 for gradients of 0.06 and 0.02. Modes suggest a relatively quiet morning with 14-17 from Viento to Hood River and 10-13 or less to the east. A little thermal assistance in the afternoon pushes the wind to 17-20 from Stevenson to Doug’s. Exception – Swell does not like clearing in the metro area and is likely to fall back to 14-17 after a brief rise. Models do suggest evening wind will be 17-20 from Stevenson to Doug’s (including Swell) with 14-17 east to Rufus and perhaps Arlington. River flow over the last 24 hours was 99-175kcfs, river temp is 70.88F, and high temp forecast is 78F for Hood River.

Saturday looks feisty! Opening play is 11-14 from Stevenson to Swell, perhaps Hood River too, with light/variable wind to the east. A low storms into the east side in the afternoon or evening. This turns gradients sharply onshore, but it also completely destabilizes the atmosphere. The potential exists for a short (1-3 hours) period of very, very strong west wind that starts in the Stevenson-Hood River zone and moves east as the low moves east. In this same time period, atmospheric instability will interfere with the ability of the wind to stay down at river level. In other words, we have a setup that’s nearly impossible to predict. Be ready to go if you see the numbers climbing, and if you want to attempt Rufus or Arlington, drive pre-emptively. It’s a risk, but you might get lucky taking that risk. It’s probably worth noting that the atmosphere will be more stable east of the Cascades, but the wind, should it materialize, will be equally short lived. High temp: 87F and muggy for Hood River and 93F for Arlington.

Writing the complete forecast takes me 1-2 hours a day. If it saves you time, gas money, or helps you plan your life, please consider contributing.

Venmo

Post-chaos wind is forecast for Sunday. Expect the day to start cloudy west of The Dalles with 7-10mph. From Avery to Arlington, the day starts with 19-22. Afternoon wind fills in at 12-15ish from Stevenson to Mosier with gusty 20-23 from Lyle to Doug’s and 14-17 near Rufus. With low pressure offshore, the wind is likely to be, as mentioned, gusty and not super reliable.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: low pressure offshore for much of next week keeps an onshore thermal gradient in place. This isn’t the right setup for super-strong wind, but we should see westerlies continue. The Euro ensemble is currently honing in on Monday as a somewhat stronger day – mid 20s in the near east (Rowena area) and far east (Rufus and beyond). After that? Some sort of usable west wind on Tuesday and Wednesday, probably, followed by (probably) lighter wind on Thursday. Let’s leave it there for now. Have a great day out there on the river!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Friday: 5-10/15-20/20, NW swell 3′ at 9 seconds. Saturday: LTW/LTW/LTN, NW 4′ @ 7. Sunday: S5-10/LTW/LTV, NW 3′ @ 8. Jones Friday: 12-15. Saturday: LTW. Sunday: LTW. Sauvie Island Friday: 10-13 > 5pm. Saturday: N 10-13 becoming west and rainy after 5pm. Sunday: LTV.

Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Clear sky this morning stays that way. Temps start in the low 60s and rise to the upper 70s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday starts clear, turns cloudy, and adds rain with the possibility of thunderstorms. Temps start in the mid 50s and rise to the upper 80s. Muggy. Light west wind early. Strong later. 58% chance of rainbows. Sunday starts partly cloudy and turns mostly clear. Temps start in the upper 50s and rise to the mid 70s. Moderate westerlies. 1.5% chance of rainbows.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

There’s a weekly social for Wind Johnnies (The Gorge Wind Social) at Ferment Brewing every 3rd Monday this summer. There’s a free community paddle at Wylde Wind and Water every Saturday at 10am (gear provided, all ages). They also have a free community wingfoil orientation every Thursday at 5:30pm at the Hook (all ages, gear provided). Northwave and GoFoil sponsor wingfoil races on Tuesday evenings.

The Columbia Gorge Junior Kayak Club offers free roll sessions (gear provided) for kids at the Hood River Pool every other Tuesday from 5:30 to 7pm. Visit their website for more deets: https://www.columbiagorgejuniorkayakclub.org/. Amayah’s offers a free meal every First Thursday from 1pm to 4pm. Regular weekly events:. NK Studio’s by-donation Tuesday morning yoga class is back. Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. There’s meditation with monks at 5:15pm (an hour) and 6:30pm (30 minutes plus a talk) at Yoga Samadhi in White Salmon. Columbia Gorge Tri Club meets at Mayer State Park at 6pm Tuesdays. At 7:15am on Wednesdays, there’s a run from the White Salmon Bakery. At 7am on Friday morning, there’s a run from Pine Street Bakery. On Fridays at 2:30pm, there’s a free meditation and stretching class at Yoga Samadhi. On Saturday at 9am, there’s a by-donation outdoor group fitness on the 2rd floor deck about Ferment Brewing.  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel. Fire or fire danger closures: Whoopdee, Underwood, Hospital Hill, most of Post Canyon, Gorge 400, trails around Mt. Adams, the Twin Tunnels trail between Hood River and Mosier (really, people, stop riding it – you’re disrupting fire operations according to the crews). Open: 44 Road Trails, Ape Canyon, Lewis River, Falls Creek, Columbia Hills, Gunsight, Boulder Lakes, Siouxon, Sandy Ridge. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Thursday: breezy but unstable…

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock morning clouds afternoon buns
Stevenson 7-10 16-20 G22-25 G17-20
Viento 17-20 20-23 G22-25 G17-20
Swell-Hood River 17-20 20-23 G22-25 G17-20
Lyle to Doug’s 13-16 20-23 25-28? 25-28?
Rufus, etc: 111-181kcfs flow 13-16 20-23 25-28? 25-28?
Roosevelt & Arlington 13-16 13-16 22-25 22-25
River flow last 24 hours: 99-183kcfskcfsRiver temp: 70.88F HR High temp: 74F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! A decent shot of westerlies today (Thursday) is followed by lesser wind on Friday and a rather chaotic weather setup on Saturday. Beyond that, models suggest an upper level low will settle in off the coast and turn down the reliability dial on the westerlies.

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

For today, Thursday, we start with pressures of 30.10/30.01/30.00 for 7am gradients of 0.09 and 0.01. This suggests you’ll do best near Hood River early. As a trough moves northeast today, our calm atmosphere gets disrupted, the wind turns gustier, and it fills in farther east. For the morning, westerlies rise to 20-23 (maybe a couple mph more if we get lucky, but instability makes me skeptical) from Viento to Mosier with 15-18 from Lyle to Rufus. Stevenson takes its time and builds to 16-20. As the wave moves north early afternoon, westerlies pick up to 22-25 from Stevenson to Arlington, strongest between Swell and Doug’s. If the atmosphere can stay stable-enough in the face of the instability and shenanigans, we’ll see 25-28 from Mosier to Rufus in the afternoon. Stevenson-Hood River dips to 17-20, and Arlington holds at 22-25. As always, remember that this prediction is for sensor readings, and sensors from Maryhill out to Arlington read high (as does Viento). River flow over the last 24 hours was 99-183kcfs, river temp is 70.88F, and high temp forecast is 74F for Hood River and 80F for Arlington.

Friday starts with a nice marine layer to the west. Early wind will be 13-16 all the way from Stevenson to Boardman. The wind falls off out east within a few hours. Set your sights on Stevenson-Mosier for 18-21 in the morning. Afternoon: 18-21 or a touch more from Stevenson to Avery with 11-14 from Celilo to Arlington. High temp: 77F for Hood River.

Writing the complete forecast takes me 1-2 hours a day. If it saves you time, gas money, or helps you plan your life, please consider contributing.

Venmo

If someone has given you a forecast for Saturday, disregard it for now. The timing and location of an incoming wave of energy is still up in the air, and ensembles are all over the place with wind speed. If you look at the deterministic GFS, you’ll come away with the idea of a nuking afternoon session. That’s just one possible solution. For now, let’s say it’ll be light, too light, in the morning. If everything follows the lead of the D-GFS, we’ll see a mid to late afternoon blast. But that’s low probability for now.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: starting Sunday, models set an upper level low offshore and keep it there for a good long while. This changes the dynamic of the wind. Rather than relying on a static setup – offshore high plus inland heat low – we’ll be relying on waves of energy wrapping around the low. This doesn’t mean we won’t see wind; it does mean the wind will be gusty, shorter-lived, and hard to predict in advance due to timing differences between ensemble members. But hey, it’ll be cool enough to engage in some other activities! See you on the river later today!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Thursday: LTW/LTNW/N15, NW swell 3′ @ 10 seconds. Friday: LTNW/N10-15/N20, NW 3′ @ 9. Saturday: LTV/LTV/LTV, NW 3′ @ 8. Jones Thursday: 11-14. Friday: 11-14. Saturday: 10-13. Sauvie Island Thursday: 9-12. Friday: 11-14. Saturday: LTV.

Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

A mix of clouds sticks around all day. Temps start in the mid 60s and rise to the mid 70s. Moderately strong westerlies. No rainbows. Friday will be partly cloudy then mostly clear. Temps start in the mid 50s and rise to the upper 70s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Saturday will be mostly clear in the morning, cloudy in the afternoon, and might bring rain overnight. Temps start in the mid 50s and rise to the low 80s. Muggy. Light west wind in the morning. Somewhat stronger in the afternoon. 3% chance of rainbows.  

Local-ish Events

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!

There’s a weekly social for Wind Johnnies (The Gorge Wind Social) at Ferment Brewing every 3rd Monday this summer. There’s a free community paddle at Wylde Wind and Water every Saturday at 10am (gear provided, all ages). They also have a free community wingfoil orientation every Thursday at 5:30pm at the Hook (all ages, gear provided). Northwave and GoFoil sponsor wingfoil races on Tuesday evenings.

The Columbia Gorge Junior Kayak Club offers free roll sessions (gear provided) for kids at the Hood River Pool every other Tuesday from 5:30 to 7pm. Visit their website for more deets: https://www.columbiagorgejuniorkayakclub.org/. Amayah’s offers a free meal every First Thursday from 1pm to 4pm. Regular weekly events:. NK Studio’s by-donation Tuesday morning yoga class is back. Ferment’s Tuesday night 4-mile walk/run is at 6pm. There’s meditation with monks at 5:15pm (an hour) and 6:30pm (30 minutes plus a talk) at Yoga Samadhi in White Salmon. Columbia Gorge Tri Club meets at Mayer State Park at 6pm Tuesdays. At 7:15am on Wednesdays, there’s a run from the White Salmon Bakery. At 7am on Friday morning, there’s a run from Pine Street Bakery. On Fridays at 2:30pm, there’s a free meditation and stretching class at Yoga Samadhi. On Saturday at 9am, there’s a by-donation outdoor group fitness on the 2rd floor deck about Ferment Brewing.  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel. All areas to the west of 140 trail in Post Canyon are closed. Please see the HRATS for complete details, but essentially, all that is open is 7 Streams, Eldorado, 140, GP, and other trails in those areas. Mobius, Mitchell Ridge, Spaghetti, etc are all closed. People have been riding the closed trails. If this continues, all of Post will be closed. The sheriff is patrolling, and will ticket you. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier is closed due to wildfire. Kreps and Green Diamond Land (formerly SDS) are now closed to fire danger. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Those lands will remain closed until significant rain in the fall. Also closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Ape Canyon and Plains of Abraham are open per USFS website. 44 Road trails are all open and clear, including upper 450 and Fifteenmile. Gunsight is open. Boulder Lakes and other more remote trails are not bucked out yet. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!