Random Morning Thoughts
I feel much better today. Thank you to the people who contacted me yesterday. Now, more importantly, mark your calendars for a very important event: my birthday. Wednesday, January 8th.
Mt. Hood Snow Forecast
Oh yeah. The precip amounts in next week’s forecast are jumping all over from this σ to that σ, but whatever σ they end up being will be better than the 6-σ no snow we’ve been having.
For today, expect clearness on Mt. Hood. The free air freezing level (FAF) will be at the surface early. Temps will slowly warm today, likely rising to just above freezing at 5500′ this afternoon. Wind will be E 15ish all day.
Sunday looks clear and sunny. The FAF will be at 6500′ early, with temps at 5000′ in the mid-30’s. By afternoon, the FAF will rise to 12,000′ with temps at 5000′ in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Wind will be NE 20 early, dropping to NE 5-10 in the afternoon.
Monday starts out clear. The FAF will be 12,000′ with temps at 5000′ in the mid-40’s. Clouds move in midday, and precip starts around 7pm. By 7pm, the snow level should be down around 6000′, so this is going to be a borderline rain/snow event. Current model runs show .2-.4” water value (WV), which will just give us a couple inches of snow at best. Wind Monday will be SW 10-15 for much of the day, becoming W 15 overnight.
Tuesday looks relatively dry, but a couple of much wetter systems move in Wednesday-Thursday. The first definitely looks cold enough for several inches of snow. The second… I’m not so sure. Too far out to guess, anyway. The real takeaway at this point is that the extended period of high pressure appears to be over, and winter appears to be making a comeback.
And finally, a happy bit of news for everyone: The Mt. Hood Meadows telemetry readings are back online!
This morning when I stepped outside to do the weather check in my 10-year-old moth-eaten wool long undies and falling-apart blue down booties, it was cold. Quite cold. My buns were cold through my holey undies. That’s because it’s partly cloudy and 27 degrees. The temp will rise near 40 today under sunny sky. Tomorrow starts off clear and sub-freezing. Temps will rise to the upper 30’s. The east breeze will be strong enough to feel through the whole Gorge tomorrow.
Monday looks clear and sunny early, with the temp hovering around freezing all day. Clouds move in Monday afternoon, and precip moves in Monday night. It’s likely we’ll see snow Monday night switching to freezing rain Tuesday morning and rain Tuesday afternoon.
Gorge Wind Forecast
Who likes nuking easterlies? We like nuking easterlies. This morning’s gradient is a wimpy E .02, but it’s going to increase today, giving us east wind at 26-30+ this afternoon. Sunday brings easterlies at 40-50+ at Rooster and 35-45 at Steven’s Locks. Monday starts with easterlies at 35-45 at Rooster, dropping to 20ish in the afternoon.
Road and Mountain Biking
I have no idea what last night’s sub-freezing temps did to the trails, but Syncline was off-the-charts good two days ago. I suspect you’ll want to ride whatever you ride early today, before the freeze thaws. Speaking of, I’d like to remind you to ride THROUGH the mud, not around the mud. If you ride around the mud, you make a wider trail, and nobody likes braided, wide trails. Everyone likes singletrack. So go THROUGH the mud if you must ride when it’s muddy. Yay. And thank you.
The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.
Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events
There’s a group run leaving Shortt Supply at 8am this morning, headed for the waterfront somewhere. Personally, I think all runners should just run Gorge 400 out of Wyeth, because it’s mind-bogglingly good. On Monday, Shortt Supply hosts a lecture on running nutrition 101. Speaking of nutrition, don’t forget about the Jambalayoff Jambalaya contest at Dirty Fingers at 5:30 Monday in conjunction with the BCS bowl game (whatever that is – if there aren’t Seahawks involved, I don’t care).
The Cold Lap cyclocross ride leaves Dirty Fingers at 3pm today. There’s ping pong at the Armory at 3pm tomorrow, and there’s pickup rugby at 3pm in Mosier tomorrow.
Have an awesome day today!