Just three days left…
Pledge Drive 2015 – Support your forecaster!
Click on my photo to make a donation.!
Thank you for using this forecast! If you’ve never donated or it’s been a while, here’s your chance. Click on my photo to kick down. Does this forecast save you time? Gas money? Does it help you get the good days on the water and mountain? Drop me a few bucks to say thanks. I spend over an hour each day writing this because I want you to have more fun. Your contribution supports my graduate education in counseling at Portland State, the repair of my bikes, and the coffee that goes in my French press. If you can’t afford to donate or don’t want to, that’s okay too: this forecast is offered free for you to use. Donations of $12.34 or more get you on the email list for the next year. All new subscribers this month are entered in a drawing for a TGIMG t-shirt. Thank you, and have an awesome day!
| Your favorite beach | Dawn Patrol |
9am- 11:30a |
11:30a- 3pm |
3pm- dusk |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rooster Rock | shower | in the | rain | Saturday | |
| Steven’s Locks | light | 10-13 | 15-18 | 10-13 | |
| Hatchery/White Salmon Sandbar (minus a few for Hood River) | 13-16 | 13-16 | 21-24 | 13-16 | |
| Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena | 5-10 | 10-13 | 15-18 | 21-24 | |
| Rufus, etc. | 5-10 | 10-13 | 15-18 | 21-24 | |
| Roosevelt, etc. | 13-16 | 13-16 | 13-16 | 13-16 | |
|
|||||
Gorge Wind Forecast (and Sauvie’s, Jones, the Coast…)
Forecasting wind gets tricky when there are a lot of weather dynamics involved. The next few days fall into that category, meaning it’s worth munching up this forecast with a grain of salt. For example: models predicted light and variable wind this morning, but speeds are running in the teens at Swell and Arlington with 6am gradients at .06 (pdx-dls) and .05 (dls-psc). We’ll see 13-16 at Swell through midday, with Mosier and Doug’s likely to join in midday. Arlington, heck, I don’t know. After 2pm, as a weather system draws near, we’ll see the wind pick up to 21-24 from Stevenson to Rufus, with the wind dying from west to east as the weather system moves in.
Tomorrow looks interesting. We’ll see light wind early, and then we’ll see a strong and compact surface low slide eastward across the Oregon/Washington border. As a result of this, we’ll see short-lived periods of very strong (30+) wind move through the Gorge, starting at Stevenson and shifting eastward beach by beach. Peak wind will likely be between 11am and 2pm, meaning you’ll need to drive pre-emptively to catch it, especially if you want to catch it at Arlington.
It’s the bi-annual summer pledge drive!
See above for details.
Sunday starts off with widespread 10-13, probably from Swell all the way to Arlington. Sunday afternoon looks like 15-18 from Stevenson to Arlington. Monday looks similar to Sunday.
Coast (north/central/south). Today, Light and variable (LTV) everywhere, W swell 4′ @ 16 seconds. Tomorrow: strong south wind everywhere, combined seas (wind & ground swell) 10-15′ @ 10 seconds. Sunday: S 15-20/S 10-15/LTV, W 8′ @ 12.
Jones n’ Sauvie’s beta test forecast. Jones today, LTV. Jones tomorrow, 10-13. Jones Sunday, 10-13. Sauvie’s today, LTV. Sauvie’s tomorrow, S 10-13+. Sauvie’s Sunday, LTV.
Mt. Hood Snow Forecast
Nothing to say here today.
Random Morning Thoughts
Forgiveness has come up a few times in my life recently, and I’m not sure I’m ready to write about it. But here I am saying something anyway. First, our society doesn’t have a clear definition of “forgiveness”. We seem to define it as, “Aw, no worries. No biggie. It’s all good. Let’s be friends.”
That’s fine if someone spills a hot cup of coffee on you. It’s different when they’ve done something devastating that has life-long repercussions. And it’s very different when bad things are done to children, who then have to process events as adults.
There is no “it’s all good” in these situations. People are angry. They feel betrayed. They are bitter. These emotions are valid, and they likely mask something else: grief, sadness and an overwhelming sense of loss.
This means that coming to peace with whatever happened entails looking at that grief head-on and processing it. It’s just like processing any other loss. And when that’s done, what’s left is acceptance. Acceptance, not forgiveness. Not “it’s okay that this happened.” Instead, what results from this process is “It happened, it’s not okay, and I’m at peace with it.”
Forgiveness, in these cases, is about ending the suffering for the now-grown adult. Bad stuff that happened long ago doesn’t happen in an isolated moment of time; the pain ricochets down the years, continuing to injure the victim. Forgiveness is about ending that pain; it’s about setting the victim free, not about absolving feelings of guilt in the perpetrator. The perpetrator has their own process of forgiveness, and that’s not the responsibility of the victim.
That is all. Have an awesome day. May you be free from the repercussions of past events.
Gorge Weather Forecast
As you can see by looking out your window, there’s a big change happening in the weather. Expect a cloudy day today with temps in the low 70’s early and the low 80’s this afternoon with light wind early and moderate late. Rain will start late tonight and continue into tomorrow morning. 5% chance of rainbows.
Tomorrow starts with rain and temps in the upper 50’s and quickly switches to showers with the temps climbing to the mid 70’s in the afternoon. Light wind early gives way to short-lived nuking westerlies in the afternoon. 99% chance of rainbows.
Expect a showery start to the day on Sunday with temps in the mid 50’s. The showers will taper off in the afternoon with partly cloudy sky and highs in the low 70’s. Moderate wind, 87% chance of rainbows.
White Sprinter Van of the Day
Road and Mountain Biking
From Mr. Mike Schrankel: “The County has chip sealed Lost Lake Road from the city’s chlorine building (west of Dee flat) up to the USFS bounday (just a bit above the Lolo Pass Jct). Good news is that they did not chip seal the section of downhill lane that was recently paved during the city’s water line project. Both of their sweepers are on it today (Thursday), but may not finish by the weekend. They plan to lay down a fog seal after Labor Day (weather permitting), which will help with any remaining loose chips.”
In MTB news, the rain amounts keep dropping, so cross your fingers for a downpour early tomorrow morning.
The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear.
Temira approves. Click to join.
Upcoming Events
In events, every Friday morning at 7am is the Kickstand Coffee Run. 4 miles of walking or jogging gets you a cup of coffee and a donut. Today’s day one of Pacific Crest Trail Days in Cascade Locks, with booths from around 50 gear companies. There’s a PCT work party from 10 to 4 today and a walk across the Bridge of the Gods at 8:30 tomorrow. PCT Days continues through Sunday.
There’s a children’s song circle at Vista House tonight, brought to you by Oregon State Parks.
There’s a trail run tomorrow at 8 in Post Canyon and a beginner women’s bike ride from Mt. View Cycles at 9. White Salmon has the Picnic in the Park tomorrow night with live music. Washougal hosts the SUP Salmon Classic on Sunday.
Have an awesome day today!
Temira
