MT HOOD SNOW FORECAST
Hey skiers and snowboarders! Wow. We are in for a week on Mt. Hood. Rather than being the “Mt Hood snow forecast”, this should be the “Mt Hood everything forecast”! Generally speaking… we have rain, then snow for Monday. On Tuesday, we have rain until after midnight. Wednesday brings snow all day. Ensemble pluralities predict heavy rain on Thursday – nearly all members keep temps at 5000′ too warm for snow, and about 35-40% call for a truly impressive rain event.
Heavy snow is forecast Friday. After a cool day Saturday, model uncertainty skyrockets on Sunday with the temp range covering snow, rain, and everything in between. Looking at snow totals through next weekend, we have the intraquartile range (25th through 75th percentile) at 22-32” snow for Mt. Hood. 10th percentile: 18”. 90th percentile: 39”. That does seem like enough to get ski season started. Let’s all cross our fingers!
Let’s take this a day at a time: we start with Monday. The snow level starts around 10,000′, falls to 5000′ in the evening, and dips as low as 4500′ overnight. During the day, we’re expecting 1.2” rain. Overnight, snow is forecast. We’re expecting 0.3” water equivalent, but we could beat that due to orographic (terrain-enhanced) effects. Call that 2-4” heavy, dense snow at 5000′. Wind will be WSW 40-55 in the morning, WSW 30-40 in the afternoon, and WSW 25-35 after midnight.
On Tuesday, the snow level starts at 4500′ and quickly rises to 5500′. Overnight, It zooms up to 8000′ and then crashes to 2500′ after midnight. Calling this “chaotic” is appropriate. We’ll see about 0.3” WE mixed precip during the day for an inch or two of wet snow at 5000′. That’s followed by 1.0”+ rain through midnight, then 0.6” WE mixed precip by 4am. Let’s call that 3-6” snow. Precip totals could rise exponentially thanks to strong orographic effects; wind will be WSW 25-35 early, SW 30-45 in the afternoon, WSW 80(!!!) around midnight, and WNW 55-60 after midnight. If the resorts were open, there would be no lifts. Another note: the strong wind and pl
Wednesday looks snowy all day. The snow level starts at 2500′ and falls as low as 1500′ by the afternoon. We’re expecting at least 0.5” WE during the day for 5-8” light and fluffy snow. Why the 8” possibility? Orographic effects thanks to the wind: WNW 55-60 early, W 30-35 in the afternoon, and S 15-25 overnight. Speaking of overnight. Snowfall tapers off after 4pm – there will be a relatively calm window overnight. That will not last.
Models are increasingly leaning in to warm temps and another atmospheric river on Thursday. It’s unclear where the axis of precipitation will set up. Vast differences exist in the precipitation possibilities. Some ensembles members have a minimally-impactful system. Others call for 4-6” rain. We’ll keep a close eye on this. On Friday, heavy snow is forecast – probably a foot or more. Saturday currently looks dry. Model uncertainty increases on Sunday as another wet system approaches. The possibility of rain has re-entered the picture – you may remember that yesterdays’ forecast had cold-enough weather basically through the end of the year. Dynamic weather carries the possibility of rapidly changing forecasts. And here we are in the thick of it. Hope to see you on the snow soon!
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GORGE WIND FORECAST
If you’re still seeing yesterday’s and it’s after 9am, try opening this in an incognito window
today’s gorge wind forecast
Hi friends! Interesting stuff coming up in the Gorge wind forecast on Tuesday night into Wednesday. A strong cold front moves through. Accompanying it will be an exceptionally strong low-level jet. Shall we take a look at the details? Let’s!
Monday kicks off with light and variable wind. Late morning sees the wind turn westerly. It’s questionable if the wind will make it to the Hatch or be confined to areas between Multnomah Falls and Viento. Either way, we’re looking at gusty 17-20mph for a bit. Models do suggest that the wind will eventually fill in to Mosier, but potentially not until after dark. Between Mosier and Doug’s not much wind today. Between Rufus and Arlington, we’ll see very gusty 15-20ish. Overnight, the wind picks up into the low-mid 20s east of Lyle. But it’ll be dark, so…. River flow over the last 24 hours was 177-182kcfs (that’s gonna be rough on you paddlers!), river temp is 49.3F, and high temp forecast is 60F with clouds.
RIVER FLOW FOR SITES BETWEEN AVERY (EAST OF THE DALLES) AND RUFUS: CLICK HERE FOR JOHN DAY DAM FLOW.
RIVER FLOW FOR SITES BETWEEN STEVENSON AND DOUG’S BEACH (WEST OF THE DALLES): CLICK HERE FOR THE DALLES DAM FLOW
tomorrow’s gorge wind forecast
Tuesday kicks off calm. Late afternoon brings gusty 14-17mph from Multnomah Falls to Viento, perhaps to the Hatch. After 10mph, the wind goes super-nuking in response to a passing cold front and that accompanying low-level jet. This will be truly impressive. Sadly, it will also be truly dark. High temp: 57F and mostly cloudy.
extended Gorge wind forecast
On Wednesday, we’re presented with leftovers from the Tuesday night frontal passage. Modes suggest 20ish mph west of The Dalles with 30mph+ east of The Dalles. The wind will be fading throughout the day, so make plans to get on it early if you want it. Likeliest best spot will be Rufus to Boardman.
Keep in mind that river flow of 180kcfs will have an impact in the Rufus stretch of the river.
On to Thursday: light/variable, most likely. Friday: moderate westerlies are possible but not guaranteed. Throughout this stretch, be very careful – debris remains numerous due to recent flooding and continued heavy rain. Hope to see you on the Nch’i Wana soon!
BARE BONES HOOD RIVER WEATHER FORECAST
Rainy through the daylight hours. Temps star tint he mid 40s and rise to nearly 60. Moderate westerlies. 99% chance of rainbows. Tuesday will be rainy in he morning, dry in the afternoon, and rainy overnight. Temps start in the mid 40s and rise to the upper 50s. Calm wind early. Moderate westerlies in the afternoon. Truly nuking overnight. Wednesday will be rainy early then showery, then dry in the afternoon. Temps start near 40 and rise to the upper 40s. Strong westerlies early. Moderate the rest of the day. 99% chance of rainbows. 89% chance of double rainbows.
TEMIRA’S AWESOME TRAVEL ADVISORY SERVICE
HYPERLOCAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE COLUMBIA GORGE
THE DALLES, HOOD RIVER, WHITE SALMON, TROUT LAKE, STEVENSON, CASCADE LOCKS, PARKDALE, ODELL, HUSUM, BZ, MILL A, WILLARD, GOLDENDALE, RUFUS, ARLINGTON, boardman
Good morning, neighbors! We just finished up a string of beautiful days, and now we’re back to exciting weather. Coming up this week: several downpours, including the potential for a truly impactful one Thursday; low snow levels (1500-2000′) on Wednesday, and a potentially dangerous wind event on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. So far today, though… nothing ¡CE-y has been spotted and no snow or ice, but you may find heavy rain for your metro area commute.
Glenwood this morning and today’s Gorge weather forecast
I’m sure you’re curious about Glenwood this morning. Not much going on there – 43 degrees, just like the stuck Hood River Weather website thermometer. We’ll have a rainy day today with impactful precip between Troutdale and Wyeth. Lesser rain extends as far east as the Tri-Cities until midday. Western Gorge: rain until 10pm. As the west wind picks up to 15-20mph this afternoon, temps rise to 60 (west) and 65 (east – also, holy shit that’s warm).
Tuesday’s Gorge weather forecast
A short break in the rain prior to sunrise Tuesday doesn’t last. Another round of heavy commute-time rain is forecast west of Wyeth with light rain to Hood River. After 10am, the rain lets up for a bit. After 4pm, a super-soaker is on the way as very heavy rain pushes as far east as Hood River with light to moderate rain all the way to Idaho overnight. Daytime wind starts calm and picks up to westerly at 15mph west of Hood River around sunset. Overnight, all hell breaks loose thanks to a low-level jet. Expect west wind at 30-50mph with monster gusts. This is probably going to take down some trees along 84 and 14 especially near Viento where the wind will be truly off-the-charts. Up on the passes: blasting wind with blizzard conditions after midnight as the snow level falls to 2500′. TATAS recommends you not drive 84/14 Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Low temp: 45F. High temp: 57-60F. WARM!
Wednesday’s Gorge weather forecast
Strong west wind continues into Wednesday midday all the way from Iwash (pen*s) Rock to Idaho. Heavy rain persists until sunrise. Showers continue as far east as Arlington through mid-morning and as far east as The Dalles into early afternoon. High temps: upper 40s to the west and low 50s to the east. Rainbows: so many, including lots of doubles! Cooler temps are forecast aloft, and the snow level will fall to 1500-2000′. We’ll take a look at local snowfall total potential tomorrow.
Extended Gorge weather forecast
Now lets look at Thursday. Models continue to offer a wide range of rainfall totals, but some of them are truly impressive. You definitely don’t want to be driving to/from the metro area anytime on Thursday in any of those higher-end scenarios. I wrote “horrific driving Thursday” on my notes. If the higher-end rain scenario verifies along with the 8000′ snow level, we’re going to be seeing significant river rises and also the potential for landslides. We’ll watch this closely. High temp Thursday: 45-50F.
Friday brings continued light to moderate rain. Saturday: potentially dry. Model uncertainty skyrockets starting Sunday, so I’ll leave it here for now. Safe travels. -TATAS
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JONES BEACH, SAUVIE ISLAND, & COAST FORECAST
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