Categories
Forecast

Monday: easterlies, westerlies, but which will happen when? Read on for the answer!

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock E25-28 E25-28 E15-18 E15-18
Stevenson E20-23 E25-28 E15-18 E15-18
Viento E17-20 E20-23 E15-18 E15-18
Swell-Hood River E10 E10 E5 E5
Lyle to Doug’s LTV LTE E10-13 E10-13
Rufus, etc: 61-70kcfs flow LTV LTE E10-13 E10-13
Roosevelt & Arlington LTV LTE E10-13 E10-13
River flow last 24 hours: 61-70kcfskcfsRiver temp: 66.74F HR High temp: 69F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! It’s a cold one out there this morning, and that’s a sure sign that fall is here. Also a sign: that back-and-forth between easterlies and westerlies that we talked about yesterday. Speaking of yesterday, I made an educated guess on what might happen, and I think what I learned will help going forward. That’s always good – the more accurate the forecasts, the better!

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Let’s look at Monday. It’s clear and cold and the easterlies are fired up like a bunch of frothing Wind Johnnies: 26 at Iwash (Rooster), 21 at Stevenson, and 19 at Viento around 7:45am. The wind should pick up to 25ish at Iwash, Stevenson, and Home Valley with 20ish at Viento for the mid to late morning period. Looks like the wind may hold into early afternoon thanks to the cold pool out east. Mid afternoon sees the expected drop: Iwash, Stevenson, and Home Valley all fall to 15-18, and Viento drops to 12-15. River flow over the last 24 hours was 61-70kcfs, river temp is 61.70F, and high temp forecast is 69F.

Tuesday starts easterly and turns westerly as a weather system approaches. As of this morning, the timing of the westerly start is early afternoon, but these things seem to happen later than expected. Let’s start with the morning: easterlies at 25ish mph at Iwash Rock for a few hours prior to 10am with 15-18 at Stevenson, Viento, and Home Valley. The wind turns calm late morning. Looking at the models, we have an approaching front (disruptive) and very strong offshore high pressure (very good!). Upper-level support is minimal. Given this setup, I’d expect the Corridor to beat expectations. For now, let’s call it gusty 21-24 from Stevenson to Hood River early afternoon with 24-27 at Viento. Swell then drops to gusty 15-20 and Mosier-Rufus rises to gusty 24-27 for the mid-afternoon session. For the evening, models spread the wind east to Arlington. High temp: 79F.

Writing the complete forecast takes me 1-2 hours a day. If it saves you time, gas money, or helps you plan your life, please consider contributing.

Venmo

Leftover wind starts the day on Wednesday. If you’d like to vote on the best possible setup, vote for the front to pass later; the strongest elevated wind looks to happen overnight, and that means the strongest Rufus/Arlington wind will also happen overnight. As of now, we’re left with a stable morning setup: very strong offshore high pressure with isobars stacked up. Get that dawn patrol. Call it 22-25 from Viento to Hood River with 17-20 at Mosier and 10-13 at Stevenson. Models do have the wind dropping and perhaps even shutting off in the afternoon. I don’t buy into the shutdown, but I think a fade is likely. High temp: 69F. Probably worth mention that the dawn patrol temp will be in the upper 40s.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: Thursday and Friday both look like easterly days at 30mph or so. Beyond that, the weather turns more active. About 30% of the ensembles have a somewhat strong west wind day on Saturday, but that’s not a lot of evidence for making plans. The ensembles are less enthusiastic about Sunday. But given we’re still quite a ways out, things could change. Have a great day today!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Monday: 10-20/20-25/30, NW 4′ @ 10. Tuesday: LTNW/N10-15/30, NW 5′ @ 16. Wednesday: 20-25/25-30/40, NW 10′ @ 15. Jones Monday: LTE> Tuesday: 11-14. Wednesday: 10-13. Sauvie Island Monday: LTN. Tuesday: 13-16. Wednesday: 17-20.   Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Clear sky this morning adds a few high clouds later. Temps will be in the upper 30s early and upper 60s later. Light easterlies. No rainbows. Tuesday will be partly high cloudy then clear. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the upper 70s. Light easterlies early. Moderately strong westerlies later. No rainbows. Wednesday will be partly cloudy then mostly clear with high clouds. Temps start in the upper 40s and rise to the upper 60s. Moderately strong westerlies early. Moderate later. No rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel – it’s fire season. Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier is closed due to wildfire. That means you, all of you who’ve been riding it. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Sunday: tricky forecast today… NLWTFW?

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock clouds fade buns invade
Stevenson 18-21 20-23 20-23 20-23
Viento 25-28 25-28 20-23 20-23
Swell-Hood River 17-20 20-23 20-23 20-23
Lyle to Doug’s 17-20 25-28 25-28 22-25
Rufus, etc: 64-71kcfs flow 30-33 27-30 25-28 22-25
Roosevelt & Arlington 30-33 27-30 25-28 22-25
River flow last 24 hours: 64-71kcfskcfsRiver temp: 67.10F HR High temp: 65F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! It was wacky out there on the river when I woke up this morning, and models weren’t handling things well. This is pretty typical of fall (and spring, sometimes) – models just aren’t as reliable, which means forecasts aren’t either. We’ll talk more about today in a bit (and I”ll try to hit “send” on the forecast when it’s done, not hours later). After today, we’ll have a lot of back-and-forth with the wind, and even a couple of days where both wind directions will be strong enough for wind sports! Temps this week will generally max out around 70.

Is this feeling helpful? If so, go ahead and make a contribution using Paypal to support it. Send $19.99 or more, and I’ll send the forecast to your inbox for a year.

Sunday started with pressures of 30.24/30.13/30.03 (actually, they were lower by quite a bit an hour ago and are rising rapidly). A weak system will have some impact early. This is followed by rapidly increasing pressures across the region. In theory, that should knock the wind speeds down. However, winds aloft are quite strong. Models, unfortunately, are all over the place for today, so this is really guesswork. To give you an idea of how trick this is, I’ll share the 7:20am wind speeds near Rufus: 35mph at Maryhill Bridge and 7mph at The Wall with 26mph at John Day Dam. Okay, here’s my best guess: 20-23mph from Stevenson to Hood River this morning with 25-28 at Viento. Lyle to Doug’s: 17-20. Rufus to Arlington: 30-33. Models suggest the Stevenson to Mosier zone will level out around 20-23 this afternoon. The GFS 12k shuts down the wind out east. The higher-resolution model keeps the wind cranking at 25-28 from Lyle to Arlington. I dunno, y’all. It’s just a weird day. I’d call this a low-reliability forecast. River flow over the last 24 hours was 64-71kcfs, river temp is 67.10F, and high temp forecast is 65F for Hood River and 68F for Arlington.

A much easier forecast is on deck for Monday: easterlies. The day starts with 25-28 at Iwash (Rooster) Rock, 22-25 near Stevenson, and 18-22 at Viento. That’s the morning plan. The wind slowly fades in the afternoon. Iwash drops to 20-23, Stevenson to 17-20, and Viento to 12-15. High temp: 68F.

Writing the complete forecast takes me 1-2 hours a day. If it saves you time, gas money, or helps you plan your life, please consider contributing.

Venmo

Tuesday starts with E 30-35 at Iwash and 15-18 near Stevenson. The wind drops quickly, goes calm early afternoon, and turns westerly later afternoon. The westerly switch often happens later than expected (see: yesterday). If it works out just right, we’ll have 17-20 from Stevenson to Mosier. High temp forecast is nearly 80F.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: Wednesday looks to start with westerlies and switch to easterlies. Thursday brings east wind. Friday looks like west wind. Given the model struggles this time of year, I’ll hold off on trying to peg down the details for now. As for next weekend… models are starting to coalesce around warmer/dry, but there are still a fair number of ensembles members that would prefer cold/wet. Have a great day today!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Saturday: 10-15/20-25/30-35, NW swell 6′ at 11 seconds. Monday: 15-20/20-25/30, NW 5′ @ 10. Tuesday: 5-10/15/30-35, NW 5′ @ 16. Jones Sunday: 10-13. Monday: LTE. Tuesday: 17-20. Sauvie Island Sunday: 10-3. Monday: LTE. Tuesday: 10-13.   Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Mostly clear today. Temps start in the low 50s and rise to the mid 60s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Monday will be partly Nothing early then partly high cloudy. Temps start near 40 and rise to the upper 60s. Light easterlies. No rainbows. Tuesday will be partly high cloudy then clear. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the upper 70s. Light easterlies early. Moderate westerlies in the afternoon. No rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel – it’s fire season. Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier is closed due to wildfire. That means you, all of you who’ve been riding it. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!