The day started out overcast on Mt. Hood, but by the time I started writing the forecast, it was snowing. Expect the snow level to fall to 4000′ with this system. We’ll get .3-.4” water value (WV) today, for 3-4” of new snow. The snowfall will mostly end by 4pm, with a few flurries after and partly cloudy sky tonight. Wind today will be W 15 pretty much all day. Continued below the chart…
|The day after
Tomorrow looks cloudy on Mt. Hood with a few flurries, or maybe spirnkles, possible early in the morning followed by partly cloudy sky. Less than .1” WV means no real accumulation. The snow level will be 5500′ early and 6500′ from mid-morning on. Wind tomorrow will be SW 15 early, SW 30 mid-morning and SW 40 in the afternoon.
The real fun starts on Thursday. First, some clarification. This is an extended Pineapple Express event, but the exact bullseye of the pineapple zone is up in the air. As of this morning, it looks like we’ll be spared the worst of it; the first half of this event will nail northern California. The second half will nail the Olympics and BC. That said, we’re still likely to see quite a bit of rain on Mt. Hood.
Expect rain to start around 4am Thursday. The snow level will fluctuate some during the day: 8000′, then 9000′, then 7000′ in the evening. We’ll see about 1” of rain on Thursday, followed by a break in the rain Thursday evening, followed by a round of heavy rain overnight for 1-2”. Wind will be SW 50 early, rising to SW 65 in the afternoon.
Friday looks rainy, with 2-3”. Saturday looks dry, with rain starting up again in the the afternoon, for 2” overnight. That’s as far out as I want to go right now, and that’s all still likely to change. I will say that it looks like Mt. Hood will see some snow on Monday, but that’s a long, long ways out to be making guesses as to snowfall amounts.
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There’s no wind in the Gorge this morning, and there’s almost no gradient, just .01 out of the west. Expect glassy conditions today with a chance of W less than 10mph. The easterlies pick up tonight, for E 30-40mph at Rooster all day tomorrow. Expect easterlies Thursday morning, quickly turning to light west wind in the afternoon, with stronger west wind out in the desert. Looks like we’ll see a lot of this E-W-E-W pattern over the next week or so.
Random Morning Thoughts
I was over at a friend’s house the other day, and he mentioned something about “object permanence” and his dog. That led me to doing a little research on object permanence and object constancy, which is “the ability to remember that people or objects are consistent, trustworthy and reliable, especially when they are out of your immediate field of vision.” Obviously I looked that up for a reason. =)
The bigger point I have is about our beliefs in our perception of the world. I’ve learned a lot of things about myself in the last year couple of years. I always assumed the way I experience and react to the world was the same way other people do. For example, I just assumed that everyone experienced every other humans as scary and threatening. That of course, is not the case. Most of you experience people as interesting and non-threatening, and for the most part, I do now too. For those of you who share my experience, well, you just have a different kind of normal.
What I’ve learned over the last couple of years is to look at the ways I interact with people and situations. If something seems really difficult, I check in with a friend to see if their experience is similar. And if not, I cut myself some slack. Try it. If you find yourself consistently overwhelmed in certain situations, check in with a friend or two to see if they have the same difficulty. If they do, you’ve got someone to talk to. If they don’t, you get to cut yourself some slack, because you’re struggling with something that most folks don’t have to deal with. Whatever it is, it’s just harder for you.
In other words, be nice to yourself when you’re struggling. Beating yourself up is only going to make you struggle and hurt more. You wouldn’t beat up a friend if they were having a hard time. Treat yourself with the same kindness. Have a nice day!
I’m not seeing the low cloudiness of the Nothing outside my window this morning, nor am I seeing stars. That leads me to believe it’s high overcast, exactly as it should be given the weather setup. Expect clouds this morning with rain starting around 10am and continuing through 2pm or so when we should see partly cloudy sky. Temps will be in the low 40’s early and mid 40’s this afternoon. 79% chance of rainbows later in the day.
Wednesday looks dark and dreary, with the Nothing down low and a layer of high clouds above it. Toss in a few on-and-off light sprinkles for much of the day. Temps will be in the upper 30’s early and the mid 40’s in the afternoon. Expect clouds and rain for much of the day Thursday, with showers after 4pm. Temps will be in the upper 30’s early and the upper 40’s in the afternoon. Rainbow chances are 87%.
White Sprinter Van of the Day
Road and Mountain Biking
Hmph. The trails are muddy as a pigsty this morning, with the possible exception of Syncline. Leave your bike at home and go jogging instead. The road biking should be good today, with light wind and not too much rain in the forecast early this morning or after 2pm.
It’s Tuesday, and that means there are fun things to do tonight and delicious food bargains. #TummyTuesdays? Anyway, there’s pickup touch rugby at 5pm at the May Street Ballfields. There’s community yoga at 5pm at the Mosier Senior Center. At 6:15pm, the Tri Club folks have a headlamp trail run at Post Canyon. After you do your sporting, there’s Two-fer-Tuesday at Sixth Street, 241 pastas at Riverside, and $12 Prime Rib at Cebu.
Also this evening, decidedly more beneficial than stuffing yourself, Gorge Owned has a GO Solar event at Full Sail. Come down from 6pm to 8pm to learn about getting solar installed at your place. Free food and beer at this event means you’ll be buzzed and stuffed by the time you leave. Guess this event is not more beneficial to your health than the two-fers! It is most definitely beneficial to the planet, so make plans to be there.
Coming up tomorrow night, there’s Aikido at Trinity Natural Medicine in Hood River at 5:30. There’s ping pong at the Hood River Armory at 5:30, and there’s kayak polo at the Hood River pool at 8pm.
Have an awesome day today!