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| Your favorite beach | Dawn Patrol |
9am- 11:30a |
11:30a- 3pm |
3pm- dusk |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rooster Rock | light | E 5-10 | E 13-16 | E 10-13 | |
| Steven’s Locks | light | E 5-10 | E 13-16 | E 10-13 | |
| Hatchery/White Salmon Sandbar (minus a few for Hood River) | light | light | light | light | |
| Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena | light | light | light | light | |
| Rufus, etc. | light | light | light | light | |
| Roosevelt, etc. | light | light | light | light | |
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Gorge Wind Forecast (and Sauvie’s, Jones, the Coast…)
Yesterday afternoon ended up being quite a bit windier than models predicted, 16-19 rather than 5-10, and honestly, I’m not sure of the reason for that. So, since I can’t figure it out, let’s move on to today. Models are predicting east wind today, but we did start out with a 5am gradient of W .01 (pdx-dls). Models are insisting, so let’s go with them: expect easterlies at 13-16 or a few mph more at Steven’s Locks and Rooster Rock today with lighter east winds as you move east from Cascade Locks.
Tomorrow starts off with light easterlies, or maybe even E 10-13, but the wind will go slack by mid-morning. It won’t take long before we see west wind tomorrow, with 15-18 from Stevenson to Swell by noon, picking up to 22-25 from Stevenson to The Dalles by 5pm and continuing to pick up through the evening and overnight. If Wednesday is your garbage day, get those cans inside fast!
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If Thursday is your garbage day, you’re screwed. If Thursday is your day off (or could become your day off) and you like strong wind, you’re going to be a happy, happy little wind Johnnie! Expect nuking west wind at 24-28+ right off the bat from Swell east to The Dalles, picking up to 30+ pretty quickly from Swell to Arlington. Stevenson is questionable due to the possible presence of a marine layer (I’m assuming it won’t push all the way to Swell); it’ll probably start off light at Steven’s Locks and pick up to 20-23 in the afternoon.
Question: windsurfers and kiters are definitely Wind Johnnies and Wind Betties. What about downwind SUPers and all those outrigger, surfski and kayak people heading downwind on big days? Are they Wind Johnnies too?
Friday morning Dawn Patrol looks like 24-28, with the morning hitting 28-32 and the afternoon backing off to 25-29. Strongest wind Friday will likely be from Swell to The Dalles all day long. One thing to note: there is a weak weather system moving through early Friday, and that could affect the wind quality and reliability.
Coast (north/central/south). Today: 15-20/10-15/light, NW swell 5′ @ 8 seconds. Tomorrow: 15-20/15-20/15-20, NW 7 @ 9. Thursday: 5-10/5-10/25-30, NW 9 @ 9.
Jones n’ Sauvie’s beta test forecast. Jones today, 13-16. Jones tomorrow, 24-27. Jones Thursday, 20-23. Sauvie’s today, 13-16. Sauvie’s tomorrow, 10-13. Sauvie’s Thursday, 6-9.
Mt. Hood Snow Forecast
Nothing to say here today.
Random Morning Thoughts
I was sitting here this morning looking out the wind at the smoke thinking about yesterday’s wind. It ended up being quite a bit windier than I predicted, and I wasn’t sure why. I looked back at the models and the gradients from yesterday and started concocting a story about synoptic-scale gradients outweighing the pdx-dls gradient.
And then it occurred to me that I was just creating a story to explain something that may be unexplainable. We do this all the time.
The world can be a confusing place, and we want to understand why things happen, especially why things happen to us and the people we love. So we craft stories: “This happened because I dressed that way..” “This wouldn’t have happened if I hadn’t called her so much…” “I got fired because he’s an a**hole…”
We change (or don’t change) our behaviors based on the stories we’ve created. Sometimes there is a reason things happen. But often, there isn’t, or the reason has nothing to do with our explanation. When that’s the case, we’ve changed ourselves based on false information created in a nonexistent reality. That won’t help us move through the world with more ease.
So next time you craft a story, check in with yourself. Ask if that story is real, or if you’re just trying to avoid the confusion of an unexplainable situation by creating a storyline to cling to. I’ve got no storyline for yesterday, as much as I’d like one. It was just windier than expected. I hope you had an awesome time on the water!
Gorge Weather Forecast
We have another hot and dry and smoky day on tap today. Expect temps in the mid 50’s early and the mid 90’s this afternoon with light east wind. Tomorrow kicks off with temps in the upper 50’s and climbs to the mid 90’s in the afternoon. Light east wind early makes it smoky, and moderate west wind late will clear the smoke away. Expect temps in the low 60’s Thursday morning under possibly partly cloudy skies or possibly not. No matter what the sky does, we’ll see much cooler high temps that max out in the upper 70’s. Expect nuking west wind on Thursday, all day long.
White Sprinter Van of the Day
Road and Mountain Biking
It’s cool and windless this morning, if a bit smoky. I’m going to take advantage of the no-breeze morning with a ride somewhere, and I’m going to recommend you do to. Riding bikes is awesome.
If you’re interested in bike touring, Oregon State Parks has a great event this weekend, Let’s go Bike Touring. They’ll teach you how to plan a tour, and they’ll give you some information about how bike touring impacts the planet and communities. You’ll need to provide your own lunch, but they’ll have some bikes available if you don’t have one. RSVP’s are required. Visit the link above for more information.
The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear.
Temira approves. Click to join.
Stoked Roasters – Great Coffee at the Waterfront
For every adventurous soul, the magic moment varies. For us, that moment begins the second we drop our freshly roasted beans into the cooling tray… Need some fresh beans for your home? Come in anytime today and say “fresh beans kick start my day in a positive way” and you will receive 10% off of your purchase. #getstoked #stokedroasters
Upcoming Events
Today’s events include a couple of free yoga classes – a power vinyasa class at 8am at Flow and a mellower class at the Mosier Senior Center at 7 tonight. In between those two classes, there’s pickup touch rugby at the Hood River Marina at 6, Manbo’s fun ride from Mt. View Cycles to Mosier at 6:15, and the weekly triathlon practice at Mayer Park at 6.
As always on Tuesday night, you can get your mindfulness on by sitting with two lovely monks and 25 of your new best friends at Yoga Samadhi in White Salmon at 6:30. 40 minutes of meditation is followed by your local abbot, Sudanto, giving his random evening thoughts, always informative and always thought-provoking.
Tomorrow night is the women’s Post n’ Pinot mountain bike ride from Dirty Fingers at 5:30, there’s also family mountain biking with free pizza at Post Canyon’s Family Man at 5:30., or you can beat the heat by joining the weekly whitewater paddle on the White Salmon at 5:30.
If you love your rivers, join Riverkeeper this weekend in The Dalles for a cleanup on the Columbia, meeting at Riverfront Park at 10 on Saturday. Oregon State Parks will teach you how to go bike touring Saturday with a 30 mile ride starting at the Twin Tunnels trailhead, and Meadows has the 2nd annual uphill challenge race.
Your daily Cougar Creek fire update has the blaze at 22,300 acres. Also, the Boise NWS linked to a cool experimental wildfire smoke model on Facebook. Check it out if you’re curious about all the smoke kicking around.
Have an awesome day today!
Temira
