I was about to write the Gorge wind forecast this morning when I saw a rainbow outside my window. You can thank Mother Nature for delaying the forecast by at least 10 minutes. Anyway, today’s wind forecast, much like yesterday, will be plagued by uncertainty due to a weather system moving through late morning or midday. However, the atmosphere is far more stable today, so that should help limit wind-killing showers. Continued after the chart…
Your favorite beach | Dawn Patrol |
9am- 11:30a |
11:30a- 3pm |
3pm- dusk |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rooster Rock | clouds | sun | naked | buns | |
Steven’s Locks | 0-10 | 10-13 | 15-18 | 15-18 | |
Hatchery/White Salmon Sandbar (minus a few for Hood River) | 5-10 | 10-13 | 15-18 | 15-18 | |
Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena | 5-10 | 10-13 | 15-18 | 22-25 | |
Rufus, etc. | 12-15 | 15-18 | 15-18 | 22-25 | |
Roosevelt, etc. | 12-15 | 12-15 | 15-18 | 15-18 | |
Gorge wind forecast, continued…
The gradients at 7am were bigger than the wind on the water – we had .07 (pdx-dls) and .04 (dls-psc) with wind in the single digits in the west and the low teens out east. The middle part of the day today will be a little dicey and unpredictable as the weather system moves through. Models think we’ll see 15-18 from Hood River to Arlington by late morning, slowly building to 22-25 from Rowena to Maryhill in the afternoon with the rest of the Gorge holding at 15-18. Let’s just go with that, and say the steadiest wind will likely be in the morning and late in the afternoon today with the midday period questionable. River temp is 63 degrees, and flow is 200kcfs. 2608 Chinook got past Bonneville yesterday.
High pressure builds off the coast tomorrow afternoon, setting us up for a warmer, sunnier, more reliable day on the river. We’ll see 7-10 from Viento to Doug’s to start the day. In the afternoon, as things steady out off the coast, we’ll see the wind climb to 22-25 from Stevenson to The Dalles.
Monday’s a little tricky with timing, but it does look like a windy day. Strong high pressure offshore combines with an approaching weather system for a pretty decent setup. Expect Dawn Patrol from Viento to Mosier at 17-21 followed by a quick build to 28-32 from Mosier to Arlington. We may see strong wind near Hood River too, but the incoming weather system will likely shut it down in the central Gorge by early afternoon. You’ll probably want to drive if you want to spend hours and hours and hours on the water.
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As of right now, it’s looking like the rest of the week will be impacted by the dreaded Upper Level Low offshore, leaving us with slack cross-Cascade gradients. But hey, that could change, right, because those long-range forecasts are unreliable!
For those of you wondering about Rock Creek Beach, here’s your update. First, there’s lots of heavy equipment and excavation work in the area, so it’s closed until that’s done. Next, the outflow pipe from the sewage treatment plant was damaged in the oil spill, and discussions regarding how to repair/replace this are ongoing, and that could impact when Rock Creek reopens. In other words, there’s no timeframe yet.
Finally, I’ll just keep reminding you of this one: CGWA has a bunch of contests happening this summer – photo, Strava, and video. Get more information about those contests right here.
Mt. Adams Country Bike Tour – Temira’s Favorite!
The 14th Annual Mt. Adams Country Bicycle Tour on June 25th will have you cycling on quiet country roads around the Trout Lake area with Mt. Adams right over your shoulder. Four ride options include an 11½-mile Family Friendly ride, a 51-mile Trout Lake – BZ Corner – Glenwood Loop, a 54-mile Forest Route and a 105-mile Infinity Ride. All rides feature well-marked routes, well-stocked rest stops, lunch and dinner options, plus sag wagons, repair support and emergency coverage.It’s a carefree ride through some of the most spectacular scenery in the Pacific Northwest.
Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast Beta Test Forecast
Jones today: 12-15. Jones Sunday: 24-28. Jones Monday: 13-16 or something. Sauvie’s today: no, not really. Sauvie’s Sunday: 10-13. Sauvie’s Monday: no. Coast (north/central/south). Today: 5-10/10-15/30+, W swell 4′ at 7 seconds. Sunday: 15-20/20-25/30+, NW 3′ at 8 seconds. Monday: onshore/onshore/10-15, W 6′.
Support your forecaster, Temira!
Thank you for using this forecast. Does it save you time, gas money, or help you have more fun in your life? Make a donation! Get your forecast here for free or donate and get on the mailing list for year-round wind forecasts and ski season snow forecasts. Just click on my photo to donate via PayPal or credit card. The email isn’t $99/year. Not $50/year. No, just $12.34 or more gets you on the list for 12 months, and sometimes there are cool prizes. Don’t PayPal? Send a check to Temira @ PO Box 841 in Hood River. Thank you for your support, and thank you for trusting my forecast.
Mt. Hood Snow Forecast
In an interesting twist, it looks like the snow level will drop down to 4000′ on Tuesday…
Random Morning Thoughts
I was sitting here wondering what to say this morning, and as a procrastination tactic, I opened up my PSU inbox and scanned my messages. There was an offer from a continuing education provider to give me “solid answers to ethical questions”. Um, that’s the great thing about ethical dilemmas – there are no solid answers, hence the dilemma.
When we’re stuck in an ethically challenging situation, yes and no aren’t our answers. Different answers may be appropriate for different people in different situations. To find our answer, a thoughtful process of evaluation is required, a process which sets aside a dualistic model of yes/no, this way/that way.
A simple, and common ethical dilemma many of us experience is this: “It’s super windy, and you made plans to go for coffee with a friend. Do you blow off the friend?” In evaluating this, you have to take into consideration your friendship, how you want to be perceived, your values around your needs and your loyalty. You also have to take into account the needs of your friend, who may actually want you to get on the water.
The answer to this dilemma could change depending on what’s going on in your life (maybe you really, really need a day on the water for self-care) and what’s going on in your friend’s life (they’re suffering and need your company right now, or maybe they just want coffee). So, your response can be different in different situations.
Life is complex, and there are very few yes/no answers to situations, even easy situations like whether wind trumps previous plans. Although it may sound arduous to evaluate each decisions this way, it can be quite fun. You can learn a lot about your priorities, and also have some interesting conversations with the people around you. So, make your decision-making complex, and make your life more interesting. Have an awesome day!
Disclaimer required by my grad school program: I am not your therapist (but I could be in 708 days). I am your weather forecaster. Take everything I say with a grain of salt, and consult with your actual therapist about your mental health issues. One other thing: I plan to keep doing this forecast indefinitely, even when I am a therapist.
Gorge Weather Forecast
Well wasn’t that awesome yesterday? I didn’t think we’d get that much rain – I don’t think anyone thought we would. But we did, and we are happy. Or at least I am, and hopefully the rain didn’t damage our cherries. Anyway, today looks partly cloudy in the morning, cloudier with showers midday, and partly cloudy in the evening. Temps will be in the mid 50’s early and the low 60’s in the afternoon. Light wind early, moderate wind later. 98% chance 100% chance of rainbows.
Sunday looks partly cloudy or clear to start and sunny all day. Temps will be in the upper 40’s early and the mid 70’s in the afternoon. Light wind early, moderate wind late. 1% chance of rainbows. Monday looks sunny early and cloudy and showery in the afternoon. Temps will be in the low 50’s early and the mid 60’s in the afternoon. Strong wind. 95% chance of rainbows. Looks like we’ll see another round of rain on Tuesday.
For weather specifically directed at travel through the Gorge, please visit Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.
White Sprinter Van of the Day
Road and Mountain Biking
I went out for a bike ride yesterday, and titled it “June is the new August” because it was so dusty. Then I watched a wall of black move over Hood River. By the time that darkness was gone, we’d received .3” of rain. Holy heck yes!!! That’s going to be enough to make things much, much nicer on the trails. Speaking of trails, Falls Creek is now confirmed open top to bottom. Ape Canyon is open with “several trees down”, whatever that means. 450 is clear from the bottom to the road, but there are lots of trees down on the road. Fifteenmile is rumored open, but not confirmed, so if you go ride it, you’re doing recon. In road biking news, the Twin Tunnels is open to the end of the tunnels, and then you’ll have to turn around. But you can ride up there and take your tourist friends on Hood River’s classic guest ride.
Upcoming Events
Today’s events include the free youth fishing clinic at Spearfish lake from 9 to 2, free yoga at Pure Yoga Hood River at 10:15, Gorge Net’s 20th anniversary party at Hood River’s Waterfront from 11-6 , a free half-day meditation retreat at Yoga Samadhi from 1 to 5, a wildlife hike at Memaloose hills at 2, and a cross-country bike race at Skibowl.
There’s a downhill race at Skibowl tomorrow – that should be pretty exciting to watch. And… with 1.33” of rain at Timberline yesterday, the dirt should be good up there.
U-Pick cherries are now open in Mosier, and you really should go pick some now that Mosier has reopened. Ripe cherries off a tree blow those grocery store unripe cherries out of the water.
Have an awesome day today!
Temira
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