My school schedule for the next four weeks includes a Monday night class that ends at 8:30pm and a Tuesday morning class that starts at 8:30am. Given the time constraint, I’m not going to be able to do a Tuesday forecast for the next few weeks. My apologies for that. Maybe someday we humans will learn to get by without sleep (or with 5 hours a night like Barack Obama or “very little” sleep like The Donald”)… Anyway, on to the wind forecast, which started out on Monday looking nothing like the models. Continued after the chart…
| Your favorite beach | Dawn Patrol |
9am- 11:30a |
11:30a- 3pm |
3pm- dusk |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rooster Rock | beach | volleyball | with | buns | |
| Steven’s Locks | 0-10 | 10-13 | 16-19 | 23-27 | |
| Hatchery/White Salmon Sandbar (minus a few for Hood River) | 5-10 | 12-15 | 18-22 | 23-27 | |
| Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena | 5-10 | 12-15 | 18-22 | 23-27 | |
| Rufus, etc. | 5-10 | 12-15 | 18-22 | 23-27 | |
| Roosevelt, etc. | 12-15 | 10-13 | 10-13 | 16-19 | |
|
|||||
Gorge wind forecast, continued…
At 6am Monday, we had gradients of .07 (pdx-dls) and .02 (dls-psc) which should be good enough for 16-19. However, the unstable atmosphere put the wind in the single digits instead. With instability sticking around Monday, the forecast will be a tricky one. Adjusting the model predictions for both Monday morning reality and Sunday’s afternoon windfest, here’s what we have today: 5-10 early, pretty much everywhere. A slow build to 16-19 from Hood River to Mosier by early afternoon. Mid- to late-afternoon wind at 23-27 from Stevenson to Rufus.
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Low pressure off the coast on Tuesday morning will impact the Gorge westerlies. Expect 5-10 in the western Gorge and 10-13 east of Hood River to start the day. The wind will slowly pick up to 18-22 pretty much everywhere by early afternoon.
Wednesday sees that low pressure system move into western Washington. After that, Pacific high pressure will intensify, hopefully early enough to have an impact on Gorge wind. As of this morning, it looks like Wednesday will start with 10-13 everywhere but Stevenson and pick up to 13-16 from Stevenson to Arlington in the afternoon. Thursday currently looks like a W 12-15 start near Hood River with 25-29 from midday on from Stevenson to Rufus.
Big Winds SUP Club
Show up and go paddling. No car racks. No hassle. Access 100-plus boards at the Event Site all summer long. With the Big Winds SUP Club, members get multi-use passes to the Big SUP Center, home to North America’s largest fleet of SUPs. A ten session pass starts at $149, includes a lesson, and use of a paddle, PFD and leash, as well as exclusive discounts at Big Winds.
Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast Beta Test Forecast
Jones Monday: no. Tuesday: no. Wednesday: 7-11. Sauvie’s Mon-Wed: no. Coast (north/central/south). Monday: S 10-15/S 10-15/no. NW swell 5′ at 8 seconds. Tuesday: no/no/no, NW 4′ @ 8. Wednesday: 5-10/19-15/10-15, NW 4′ @ 8.
Mt. Hood Snow Forecast
There will be snow on the ground at Mt. Hood today, and every day until the glaciers completely melt away.
Random Morning Thoughts
I’m thinking this morning about the emotion of shame. Shame serves to moderate our behavior – to keep us in line with the standards of our society. Shame, many times, keeps us from speaking or acting, and it modifies our behavior after we’ve done something unacceptable to those around us. Shame is an interpersonal emotion – without others to compare ourselves to, we don’t feel shame.
In an unfortunate twist, our past experiences and our culture can link the feeling of shame to behaviors that would normally be adaptive. For example, our culture links men’s tears with shame. Our culture also links women’s sexuality with shame. Our families may have shamed us for a variety of adaptive behaviors (expressing emotions, pursuing education, dressing a certain way, being ourselves, etc.).
When we experience shame, we are silenced by our inner voice. It’s extremely difficult to talk about shame or about wanting to do things we’ve been shamed for – shame takes away our ability to speak about our experience. That’s what makes it so dang cool – its power!
Speaking about shame takes courage. It’s important to remember this: as bad as shame feels, it’s just an internal voice making a lot of noise. We’ve all experienced it, and when with talk about it with people we trust, we can build deeper bonds. Shame runs deep, and the connections we can build talking about it run just as deep. Shame wants to silence you, but you’re better than that. You’re stronger than that. You know it’s just a loud voice crying wolf. Have an awesome day.
Disclaimer required by my grad school program: I am not your therapist (but I could be in 700 days). I am your weather forecaster. Take everything I say with a grain of salt, and consult with your actual therapist about your mental health issues. One other thing: I plan to keep doing this forecast indefinitely, even when I am a therapist.
Gorge Weather Forecast
We have overcast sky this morning as high clouds from an upper low and convective debris from, well, from convection float overhead. Expect periods of clouds today with a slight chance of another round of thunder over the Cascades (the radar showed some wicked storms north of Mt. Adams yesterday). Temps today will be in the mid 60’s early and the mid 70’s in the afternoon. Light wind early. Moderate wind later. No rainbows.
Tuesday looks partly cloudy. Temps will be in the upper 50’s early and the mid 70’s in the afternoon. Light wind early, moderate wind in the afternoon. No rainbows. Wednesday looks sunnier than Tuesday, at least by the afternoon. Temps will be in the upper 50’s early and the upper 70’s in the afternoon. Light wind early, strong wind late. No rainbows.
For weather specifically directed at travel through the Gorge, please visit Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.
White Sprinter Van of the Day
Road and Mountain Biking
The only new thing to report today is that someone cleared the 7 downed trees from Gunsight Ridge. I still don’t know about Gumjuwac.
Upcoming Events
Today’s events include the Wildside Relay downwind Surfski and Outrigger race from Stevenson to Bingen (maybe – weather dependent). Coming up this evening at 6, there’s pickup kickball at Daubenspeck Park in Bingen, community yoga at Samadhi in White Salmon, and the Gorge Junior Sailing night with free sailboat rides at the Hood River Marina at 6. There’s also meditation today at noon at Trinity Natural Medicine.
There’s pickup basketball tonight at 6:30 at the Mt. Hood Town Hall, Zumba at the Parkdale community center, and YogaFaith at Pure Yoga The Dalles at 6:45.
Looking ahead to the weekend, NWTA has a trailbuilding party and campout at Falls Creek Saturday and Sunday, there’s a Gorge Cup windsurfing race on Saturday, and the Movie Inside Out shows at Jackson Park in Hood River Saturday night.
Have an awesome day today!
Temira
