Categories
Forecast

Sunday: tricky forecast today… NLWTFW?

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

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These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock clouds fade buns invade
Stevenson 18-21 20-23 20-23 20-23
Viento 25-28 25-28 20-23 20-23
Swell-Hood River 17-20 20-23 20-23 20-23
Lyle to Doug’s 17-20 25-28 25-28 22-25
Rufus, etc: 64-71kcfs flow 30-33 27-30 25-28 22-25
Roosevelt & Arlington 30-33 27-30 25-28 22-25
River flow last 24 hours: 64-71kcfskcfsRiver temp: 67.10F HR High temp: 65F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! It was wacky out there on the river when I woke up this morning, and models weren’t handling things well. This is pretty typical of fall (and spring, sometimes) – models just aren’t as reliable, which means forecasts aren’t either. We’ll talk more about today in a bit (and I”ll try to hit “send” on the forecast when it’s done, not hours later). After today, we’ll have a lot of back-and-forth with the wind, and even a couple of days where both wind directions will be strong enough for wind sports! Temps this week will generally max out around 70.

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Sunday started with pressures of 30.24/30.13/30.03 (actually, they were lower by quite a bit an hour ago and are rising rapidly). A weak system will have some impact early. This is followed by rapidly increasing pressures across the region. In theory, that should knock the wind speeds down. However, winds aloft are quite strong. Models, unfortunately, are all over the place for today, so this is really guesswork. To give you an idea of how trick this is, I’ll share the 7:20am wind speeds near Rufus: 35mph at Maryhill Bridge and 7mph at The Wall with 26mph at John Day Dam. Okay, here’s my best guess: 20-23mph from Stevenson to Hood River this morning with 25-28 at Viento. Lyle to Doug’s: 17-20. Rufus to Arlington: 30-33. Models suggest the Stevenson to Mosier zone will level out around 20-23 this afternoon. The GFS 12k shuts down the wind out east. The higher-resolution model keeps the wind cranking at 25-28 from Lyle to Arlington. I dunno, y’all. It’s just a weird day. I’d call this a low-reliability forecast. River flow over the last 24 hours was 64-71kcfs, river temp is 67.10F, and high temp forecast is 65F for Hood River and 68F for Arlington.

A much easier forecast is on deck for Monday: easterlies. The day starts with 25-28 at Iwash (Rooster) Rock, 22-25 near Stevenson, and 18-22 at Viento. That’s the morning plan. The wind slowly fades in the afternoon. Iwash drops to 20-23, Stevenson to 17-20, and Viento to 12-15. High temp: 68F.

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Venmo

Tuesday starts with E 30-35 at Iwash and 15-18 near Stevenson. The wind drops quickly, goes calm early afternoon, and turns westerly later afternoon. The westerly switch often happens later than expected (see: yesterday). If it works out just right, we’ll have 17-20 from Stevenson to Mosier. High temp forecast is nearly 80F.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: Wednesday looks to start with westerlies and switch to easterlies. Thursday brings east wind. Friday looks like west wind. Given the model struggles this time of year, I’ll hold off on trying to peg down the details for now. As for next weekend… models are starting to coalesce around warmer/dry, but there are still a fair number of ensembles members that would prefer cold/wet. Have a great day today!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Saturday: 10-15/20-25/30-35, NW swell 6′ at 11 seconds. Monday: 15-20/20-25/30, NW 5′ @ 10. Tuesday: 5-10/15/30-35, NW 5′ @ 16. Jones Sunday: 10-13. Monday: LTE. Tuesday: 17-20. Sauvie Island Sunday: 10-3. Monday: LTE. Tuesday: 10-13.   Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Mostly clear today. Temps start in the low 50s and rise to the mid 60s. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Monday will be partly Nothing early then partly high cloudy. Temps start near 40 and rise to the upper 60s. Light easterlies. No rainbows. Tuesday will be partly high cloudy then clear. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the upper 70s. Light easterlies early. Moderate westerlies in the afternoon. No rainbows.  

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Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel – it’s fire season. Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier is closed due to wildfire. That means you, all of you who’ve been riding it. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

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Have an awesome day!

Categories
Forecast

Saturday: east wind AND west wind!

The best wind forecast for the Gorge. The best snow forecast for Mt. Hood. The best weather forecast for the Gorge.

=
These are ranges for the average speed reading, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite launch dawn
patrol
morning max afternoon max executive
session
Iwash (Rooster) Rock clouds fade buns invade
Stevenson E27-30 switching W23-26 W23-26
Viento E20-23 switching W23-26 W23-26
Swell-Hood River LTE 20-23 23-26 23-26
Lyle to Doug’s LTV 20-23 25-28 25-28
Rufus, etc: 65-88kcfs flow LTV 20-23 25-28 25-28
Roosevelt & Arlington LTV 10-13 18-22 22-25
River flow last 24 hours: 65-88kcfskcfsRiver temp: 67.10F HR High temp: 77F

Gorge Wind Forecast

Hi friends! Fun day on tap today – if you get up and get at it early, you’ll have the opportunity for an east wind session and a west wind session. Westerlies, and only westerlies, are planned for Sunday. Easterlies return on Monday, both east and west wind are in the cards for Tuesday, and Wednesday may/may not be a stronger west wind day. Beyond that, ensembles contain lots of possibilities for the future, meaning that a forecast is not really possible. So, let’s talk about today, when most of you will be headed for the river!

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Saturday starts with offshore wind. In an interesting twist, at 5:30am, it was blowing west 10 at Iwash (rooster) Rock, E 28 at Stevenson, and E 20 at Viento. Expect a few hours this morning of E 27-30 at Stevenson, E 23-26 at Home Valley, and E 20-23 at Viento. Sometime between 10am and noon, the wind switches direction. Rapidly. A quick build to W 20-23 from Stevenson to Hood River is in the cards late morning. The wind climbs to 23-26 form Stevenson to Mosier and 25-28 from Lyle to Rufus mid-afternoon. Arlington and Threemile join for the evening executive session at 22-25. There is some indication that Swell will under-perform today thanks to metro area heating. Your response to this possibility, should you prefer the Hatch, is to jump on the wind there as soon as it gets going. River flow over the last 24 hours was 65-88kcfs, river temp is 67.10F, and high temp forecast is 77F for Hood River and 79F for Arlington.

A weak weather system swings through early Sunday, and this seems to be causing a bit of uncertainty in the forecast models. We’ll start with 22-25 from Viento to Mosier with 18-22 from Lyle to Threemile. Models suggest you’ll have a few hours of 22-25 west of Lyle before the wind drops to 15-18 between Stevenson and Mosier. Models then disagree on what happens to the east, and they disagree on how far to the east the wind will sustain itself. For now, let’s call it 21-24 from Lyle to Arlington through late afternoon with a pronounced drop-off after 5pm. High temp: 66F for Hood River and 71F for Arlington.

Writing the complete forecast takes me 1-2 hours a day. If it saves you time, gas money, or helps you plan your life, please consider contributing.

Venmo

Ridging returns on Monday, and this gives us east wind. You’ll find 27-30 at Iwash (Rooster) Rock and Stevenson to start with 23-26 at Home Valley and 20-23 at Viento. The wind should last until early afternoon. It then drops to 15-20 at Iwash, 14-17 at Stevenson, and 10 at Viento. To the east of Hood River, afternoon easterlies pick up to 10mph. High temp: 68F and rather arid.

That was helpful in planning your life, wasn’t it? Go ahead and subscribe to the forecast using the fancy auto-renew option. Don’t like electronic payment? No problem! You can send a check or cash to: Temira / PO Box 841 / Hood River, Oregon, 97031. Thank you so much for supporting the forecast. I’m glad you find it helpful, and I appreciate your kindness in supporting the work I’m doing!

Extended: Tuesday brings east wind at 25mph or so in the morning. Late in the day, offshore high pressure rebounds, really rebounds, and sets us up for westerlies around 20mph. Hopefully that happens before sunset! Wednesday brings westerlies in the mid 20s, probably. Beyond that, there’s just too much model uncertainty to make any sort of call. Have a great day out there today!  

 

Jones, Sauvie Island, Oregon Coast

North/Central/South coast, waves (swell forecast provided by NWS). Wind forecast for the afternoon (unless it’s a storm on the coast, in which case that’s peak wind during the day). Wind direction N (coast/Sauvie Island) and W (Jones) unless otherwise noted. Saturday: WNW15/N10-15/25, NW swell 10′ at 12 seconds. Sunday: 10-15/20/30-35, NW 6′ @ 11. Monday: 20/20-25/30-35, NW 4′ @ 10. Jones Saturday: 19-22. Sunday: LTW. Monday: LTE. Sauvie Island Saturday: 8-11. Sunday: 7-10. Monday: 10-13.   Alan’s Sauvie Island Wind Sensor  

Mt. Hood Weather Forecast

I’m tired. It’s on vacation.  

Very basic Hood River weather forecast. Don’t plan your life around this. You really should read Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook

Clear sky this morning adds high clouds. Temps start in the low 50s and rise to the upper 70s. Light easterlies early. Moderately strong westerlies later. No rainbows. Sunday will be partly cloudy then mostly clear. Temps start in the upper 40s and rise to the mid 60s. Moderately strong westerlies. No rainbows. Monday will be partly Nothing then mostly clear. Temps start in the low 40s and rise to the upper 60s. Calm wind early. Light easterlies later. No rainbows.  

Link to my Local-ish Outdoorsy Events Google Calendar

Please let me know of outdoor-related local-ish events. If you don’t tell me, I don’t know!  

Cycling

All vehicles on HR County forest roads need a gallon of water and a shovel – it’s fire season. Please see the HRATS/Hood River County for complete details on Post Canyon closures. Newly reopened in Post: lower Trail 100 paralleling the lower part of Post Canyon Road. The Twin Tunnels Trail between Hood River and Mosier is closed due to wildfire. That means you, all of you who’ve been riding it. Kreps and Green Diamond Lands have reopened. That includes Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and Underwood. Closed: Gorge 400 and lots of other trails due to the Whisky Creek Fire. Trail near Mt. Adams due to the Williams Mine Fire. Remember that E-bikes are not allowed on USFS non-moto trails. They are allowed on moto trails.  

Sprinter Van of the Week!

  Click here for the Sprinter Van map of the world!!!  

Have an awesome day!