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Thursday. Sunshine and lightning bolts!



Values-Based Investing
Kerr-Larleee Wealth Managemenet


You care about the world, and you also want to plan for your financial future. Figuring out how to do both can be a time-consuming and confusing process. Join Kerr-Larlee Wealth Management, a member of D. A. Davidson, for a values-based investing discussion at AniChe Cellars on Wednesday, May 10th from 4:30pm to 6:30pm. Values-based investing: Align your finances to impact the causes you care about most. To RSVP, email [email protected]


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast


It seems that we’ve finally entered a stretch of spring skiing on Mt. Hood. As best I can remember, we didn’t have a single day of spring skiing until actual spring this year, which means it was a great season for powder. Now, on to today: We’ll see sunshine this morning and thunderstorms this afternoon with rain overnight. The snow level will be around 12,000′ all day. We’ll see about 1/3” rain tonight (unless strong thunderstorms and heavy rain hit the mountain). Wind will be S 15 or so all day, except during the thunderstorms when the wind will do whatever it feels like doing.
 

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a
Thursday
12000′
Friday
11000′->4000′
Saturday
3000′->5000′

 


Mt. Hood Snow Forecast, continued

Friday starts off rainy, turns showery, and may end with a few snowflakes before the sky turns clear overnight. The snow level will be 11,000′ early and 4000′ in the afternoon. We’ll see about .2” water value (WV), for mostly rain with a trace of snow possible. Wind will be W 30 for most of the day and W 20 in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday looks sunny in the morning with high clouds possible in the afternoon and clear sky overnight. The free air freezing level will be 3000′ early and 5000′ in the afternoon. With the sun angle high, this will likely set up a great day of corn snow after the overnight snap thaws. Wind Saturday will be NW 15-20 all day. Saturday is Meadows’ last day of the season. Sunday looks clear and sunny. The free air freezing level will be 3000′ early and 6000′ in the afternoon. Wind will be NW 15.
 


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Gorge Wind Forecast

It’s Thursday morning, and the east wind is blowing at 15-20 at Rooster. I’m so sad I’m not on my bike riding to school right now, because that’s perfect conditions! And you thought wind was for wind sports. Anyway, the easterlies will die off by midday and switch to west 13-16 after 4pm. That forecast comes with a caveat: thunderstorms in the afternoon forecast could cause the wind to be randomly strong, gusty, and filled with lightning and hail. It’s probably best if you skip it!

Friday sees a weather system swing through early. A trough of low pressure inland combines with high pressure off the coast for strong synoptic-scale gradients. That means “big area”. In other words, the wind through the Gorge will be boosted by the gradient from high pressure way out in the Pacific. So, expect dawn patrol at 26-30 east of The Dalles. The wind will pick up to 30+ from Mosier to Arlington in the afternoon. That might end up being Rowena to Arlington. Models suggest the wind in the far-east Gorge – Arlington, Threemile, etc. – will back off after 2pm. The western Gorge from Cascade Locks to Hood River (maybe Mosier) will probably stay under the clouds with gusty 15-18.

Saturday looks like a sunny, stable day. Low pressure inland combines with high pressure offshore for strong westerlies. Although the GFS isn’t showing all that much wind, I suspect we’re going to beat the forecast. Let’s go with Dawn Patrol at 18-22 from Swell to The Dalles with 24-28 in the afternoon from Stevenson to Rowena. In other words, it looks like this will be our first solid Corridor day of the season. Sunday looks similar to Saturday in terms of wind strength, but I suspect the wind will be gustier.
 

Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast Beta Test Forecast


If you click right here , you’ll find NOAA’s coast forecast.
 

Random Morning Thoughts

One of the things that keeps us from connecting fully with other people is our biases and assumptions. Well, that’s two things, but you know what I mean! For example, I clearly have a strong bias towards warm, sunny weather, especially after this ridiculous cold winter. See, there’s my bias again – I just called this past winter ridiculous.

I am certain there are other people who thought this cold, snowy, icy winter was the Best Winter Ever. By talking favorably about warmth, I alienate those who love cold. By stressing the “strongest, steadiest wind” in the wind forecast, I show my preference for 30+. I’ve even heard I’m biased against kiters, which I’m guessing has something to do with my obsession with 30+ wind (and now the high-wind kiters feel alienated because kiters go out in high wind too!)

My point is this: our words and behaviors express our conscious and unconscious biases, and those biases create misunderstandings and conflict between us and others. They also create opportunities for us to see the world in a different way. I once had a conversation with someone who said “X totally sucks.” I replied, “No, actually, I love X.” This person replied, “No, you really don’t. Admit it. X sucks.” It may be hard to imagine that someone else is as passionate and as “correct” about their viewpoint as you are about yours, but it’s true. The world is big enough for so many views to be equally correct. For that matter, the world is big enough for multiple sports – windsurfing and kiting, for example – to be equally correct. And fun.

So instead of arguing from your biases and assumptions, try to understand yourself better. And then try to understand others better. Have an awesome day.
 

Disclaimer required by my grad school program: I am not your therapist (but I could be 40 graduate school credits from now). I am your weather forecaster. Take everything I say with a grain of salt, and consult with your actual therapist about your mental health issues. One other thing: I plan to keep doing this forecast indefinitely, even when I am a therapist.
 

Gorge Weather Forecast

It’s a beautiful, sunny, warm, muggy morning out there. Ah, yes. Feels like summer! Temps will be in the upper 50’s early and the low 80’s this afternoon. Our friends at NWS are calling for thunderstorms this afternoon, possibly severe. So, expect clouds later, rain, hail, gusty wind, and lightning. Light wind most of the day, strong wind tonight. 43% chance of rainbows. Friday looks cloudy and showery in the western Gorge and sunny out east. Temps will be in the mid 50’s early and upper 50’s in the afternoon. Strong wind. 99% chance of rainbows. Saturday looks sunny. Temps will be in the low 40’s early and the low 60’s in the afternoon. Moderate to strong westerlies. No rainbows. Sunday looks sunny too.

For weather specifically directed at travel through the Gorge, please visit Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.
 

White Sprinter Van of the Day



 

Road and Mountain Biking

I’m not sure if it was warm enough yesterday to dry out the muddy areas of Post, which means I should probably go find out! In road biking news, it will be muggy today, and there will likely be thunderstorms this afternoon. But you’ll find light wind and sunshine this morning, so get out there!
 

Upcoming Events

Today’s events include a free community dance exercise class at the White Salmon grange at 11. Dirty Fingers bike shop has two mountain bike shop rides today at 5:30, a race-pace ride and a women’s only ride. There’s community yoga at 6 at Samadhi and Tai chi at Our Savior Church in Bingen.

Tomorrow morning is the Kickstand Coffee run in Hood River at 7am. Drag yourself out of bed, jog 4 miles, and get a free cup of coffee and a donut. Coming up this weekend, there’s a free kids fishing clinic at Rowena on Saturday and a Garden Party at Pacific Hermitage.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira