Categories
Forecast

11/15 forecast



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Good morning!

When I looked at the models yesterday morning, they promised nuclear force wind today. Now it looks like we’ll see nuclear force wind tonight and tomorrow morning. You’ll still be able to get on the water today, as gradients are enough to support low to mid-twenties through much of the Gorge (although you’ll be better off east of the low clouds). You may want to be prepared for a power outage tonight, if you live somewhere that routinely loses power during very strong wind storms.

By tomorrow morning, the winds will likely be on the decrease, but if you get up early enough, you’ll find 30+ somewhere on the river. At this point, it looks like the wind will be light on Thursday.

If you’re a boater, the White Salmon is at 1.99ft and the Hood is at 4.13 feet. The river forecast says the Hood will stay at or above 4 feet for the next few days, so there’s no need to go bonkers because there’s water today.

Now, what you’ve all been waiting for: the snow forecast. It’s still above freezing on the slopes, and it’s looking quite bare right now. However, starting tomorrow, things change. A strong cold front with 1-1.5” of water pushes in. Depending on when the snow levels fall, we could see 6-8” out of this storm, possibly more if luck is on our side. We’ll see another 6-10” (depending on how cold it gets) Thursday, about 3-5” of light powder Friday, and 2-4” Saturday.

Is this enough for Meadows and Skibowl to open? It’s going to be very close… To some extent, it depends on how badly they want to be open. You’ll likely see a limited opening, and you’ll want your rock skis if you stray from the leeward slopes, where the last big storm deposited several feet of snow.

Depending on the approach of the storm and the strength of the accompanying easterlies, we may see snow or freezing rain in the Gorge, down to river level, on Friday. If you haven’t put your snow tires on yet, I strongly suggest you do.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.

Categories
Forecast

11/14 forecast



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Good morning!

I woke up late again this morning after spending last night at the PDX Kayaker film festival in Portland. I was thinking of taking another day off from forecasting, but then I looked at the wind models for the next couple of days.

There’s a .13 gradient from Portland to The Dalles this morning, which is really strange given that we’re under a static warm front. I’m not sure I can make an accurate wind forecast for today, given the weird setup. Keep an eye on the readings and see what happens. If the clouds clear up, it’s going to be in the twenties in the Corridor with upper twenties out east. I know that’s not very helpful, but this is a strange setup.

Tomorrow, however, looks very, very windy. A strong upper low moves across southern BC, the warm front exits stage east, and high pressure builds in quickly at the coast. Nuclear force west winds hammer the Gorge tomorrow. It looks like you’ll be able to rig your smallest sail anywhere from the Narrows, through the Corridor, all the way out to Boardman. Of course I have made an appointment for 1:45, which I am now going to have to change.

As for the mountain, I’m guessing that a decision is hinging on what happens with the storm that’s forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. At this point, it looks like the storm will start out as rain and turn to snow. With a foot or more out of that storm (meaning if we get lucky), and more snow forecast for Friday and Saturday (before cold, dry high pressure builds in next week), there’s a pretty good we’ll see some ski areas opening up.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira

p.s. If you find this report useful, entertaining, or just want to recognize all the hard work that goes into it, please take the time to make a donation by clicking on the button at the bottom of the page. For a suggested donation of $10, I’ll add you to the email version of this list ‘til November 2011, putting you in the running for cool prizes donated by the weekly sponsors.