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The Forecast
CoronaChat
Some people are suggesting we go for herd immunity with Covid-19. Being conservative, let’s go with a fatality rate of 1% (it’s probably closer to 2%). Achieving herd immunity requires that 83-94% of the population be immune. Let’s go with 83% and assume getting covid-19 gives you immunity (not a guarantee). US population is about 350,000,000. That gives us 2,905,000 deaths in the USA and 58,800,000 worldwide to achieve herd immunity.Your favorite beach | Dawn Patrol |
9am- 11:30a |
11:30a- 3pm |
3pm- dusk |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rooster Rock | closed | beach | buns | no | |
Steven’s Locks | 10-15 | 10-15 | 10-15 | 16-19 | |
Swell-Hood River | 10-15 | 10-15 | 10-15 | 16-19 | |
Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena | 10-15 | 10-15 | 10-15 | 16-19 | |
Rufus, etc. | 10-15 | 15-20 | G24-27 | G25-29 | |
Roosevelt & Arlington | 10-15 | 15-20 | G24-27 | G25-29 |
Gorge Wind Forecast
First, a public service announcement. All Oregon (Viento, Rowena) and Washington (Doug’s, Hatchery) State Parks are closed at this time. All Port of Hood River waterfront access is closed at this time, although the walking path is open. The Army Corps has closed all parks (The Wall, Rufus, Roosevelt). They have also closed boat ramps. Swell City is closed. It’s best not to go – especially if you don’t live in the Gorge. Please follow legal guidance to stay home, save lives.. If you’re local and getting on the water somehow, follow Maui rules: rig quickly, get in the water, and leave as soon as you are done. No hanging out. Maintain at least six feet space on land and on the water. Do not place yourself directly upwind or downwind of anyone. Don’t go harder than 50%, and keep your focus at 100%. This is not the time to get injured.
Westerlies return for at least the next several days along with unsettled weather. That’ll make conditions on the river gusty, and will also make the wind blow away from the river. For Saturday, the wind starts at W 10-15 or so most locations with 20-25 near Viento. Gradients are .08 and .02, river flow is 151kcfrs, and temp is 50 degrees. We’ll see the wind pick up to gusty 24-27 midday from Avery to Threemile with 12-15 under the clouds in the west. Afternoon: gusty 25-29 from Rowena to Arlington and 16-19 in the west. Sunday brings W 10-13 through the whole Gorge all day long. Monday starts with W 5-10 everywhere. The wind picks up to 22-25 from Rowena to Rufus with 12-15 east and west of there.
Jones, Sauvie’s, and Coast forecast are on break to discourage travel.
Mt. Hood Weather Forecast
All the mountains are closed, the forest is closed, and neither in-bounds nor out-of-bounds snowsports are available at this time. Some of you will be tempted to go out backcountry skiing. Take a look at this sobering article about a recent BC rescue and consider carefully if you want to put others at risk. Remember, Timberline, Skibowl, and Meadows are all closed to uphill traffic at this time. This is to comply with Kate Brown’s executive orders. It’s the law, folks. Obey it!
There’s finally a change in the mountain weather from warm and sunny to more seasonable. As a matter of fact, there’s even some snow in the forecast about five days out! For Saturday, just scattered raindrops that increase to a mix of rain, snow, and snain overnight. The snow level will be 7000′ int eh morning, 5500′ midday, and 4000′-6000′ under clear sky overnight. Just a trace of rain falls during the day, and just a trace of mixed precip falls overnight. Wind: W 15 early, WNW 15 midday, NW 10 in the evening, and E 5 overnight.
Sunday looks sunny. The free air freezing level will be 4000-6000′ in the morning, 7500′ in the afternoon, and 6500′ overnight. Wind: light and variable becoming SW 10-15 after midnight. Monday looks sunny with a chance of a little drizzle overnight. The freezing level will be 6500′ early and 8000′ after midday. Wind: SW 10-15 early, SW 15-20 in the afternoon, and W 20 after midnight.
Skipping Tuesday…, which looks mostly clear… while models still contain a lot of variability, precipitation looks likely on Wednesday. Up to 1.0” rain is predicted during the day. Up to 6” of snow is predicted overnight. After that… lots of variability in the models and no solid predictions to give.
Hood River Weather Forecast
Clouds stick around all day and all night Saturday with scattered raindrops. Temps will be in the low 50’s early and near 60 later. Moderate westerlies. 1% chance of rainbows. Sunday starts with low clouds and becomes mostly clear. Temps will be in the mid 40’s early and upper 60’s later. Light west wind. No rainbows. Monday looks sunny. Temps will be in the mid 40’s early and low 70’s in the afternoon. Moderate westerlies. No rainbows. Tuesday looks partly cloudy and Wednesday looks rainy. Looking for a complete Columbia Gorge forecast? Looking for more humor in your weather? Obscenities? You’re looking for my TATAS: Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.Cycling
ALL trails in the Gorge are closed. Hood River County (Post Canyon, Pinemont, HRC forest roads), SDS (Underwood, Whoopdee), and Kreps (Hospital Hill) lands are closed to prevent the spread of coronavirus by incoming hoards of visitors. DNR land (Nestor) is closed per the DNR website and a little tiny sign at the bottom of the Nestor trail. USFS (44 Road trails, Syncline) are closed. State Parks (Columbia Hills, Twin Tunnels) are closed. There were two considerations: protecting medical professionals, and keeping crowds away when the weather is nice. Google Sun Valley’s Covid-19 rate if your are curious what crowds of recreation visitors can do to spread coronavirus.
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Have an awesome day!
Temira