3/14 Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

Posted by
 March 14, 2012

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Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Good morning,

It continues to snow on Mt. Hood today. The snow level will be around 1000′ early, rising to 3000′ by 2pm, 4000′ by 5pm, 5000′ by 8pm and 5500′ by 11pm. Wind will be SW 20-30 early, rising to SW 45-50 by 11am and holding in the 40-45 range the rest of the day. We’ll get .5-.8” water value by 4pm, for 5-8” of new snow. With warming air coming in above, it’s not going to be the fluffiest snow, but it’s still snow.

Temps rise into the low to mid-thirties at 5000′ overnight, with the freezing level at 6500′ Thursday morning, 7000′ by 5am, slowly dropping: 6000′ at 11am, 5500′ at 2pm and 3000′ at 5pm. Wind will be SW 45-55 pretty much all day. We’ll see .4” WV Wednesday night into Thursday morning, becoming a mix of rain and snow in the wee hours, or if we’re lucky, freezing rain. Then the GFS and NAM models disagree about daytime precip amounts, with the GFS showing .5” and the NAM showing up to 2”. Let’s go with 1” of rain during the day Thursday, followed by .3-.5” WV snow, for 3-5” of new Thursday evening after the snow level drops.

Friday starts off partly cloudy, or with high clouds, with the freezing level at 2000′. That will rise to 4000′ by 2pm and hold through the day. Wind will be SW 40-45 early, dropping to 20-24 by 11am, then swinging to S 20-30 by 2pm. As a powerful, compact low pressure system heads our way, we’ll have to keep a careful eye on the wind, as it could be quite strong depending on what track the storm takes. At this point, models show SE 30+ at 5pm, swinging to SSW 30-35 at 8pm, but I think that’s less than we’ll see. Anyway, snow starts falling sometime in the evening.

We’ll have .4-.5” WV by Saturday morning, with the snow level down to 1000′, for 4-6” of new snow. We’ll see periods of snow flurries with possible sunbreaks Saturday. Wind on Saturday will be SW 50-55 early, dropping to SW 30-35 by 8am, 10-15 by 11am, going to SSW 5-15 by 2pm and E 20+ by 8pm. Sunday looks partly cloudy with flurries.

Long term, models suggest a break in the weather early next week followed by a return to cold, snowy weather.

Have a nice day today.


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