2/19 Forecast

Posted by
 February 19, 2012

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Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Good morning!

Funny thing is… the actual weather today corresponds more closely with the forecast from two days ago than from yesterday’s forecast. Go figure. Anyway, looks like a challenging few days coming up on the operations side of things.

Today we’ll see the snow level at 1000’, with soreographic flurries in the morning and clear skies by noon. Wind will be NW 20-30 at 7am, WNW 15-20 by 10am, SW 5-10 by 1pm and SW 15-20 by 4pm. Total precip will be less than .1” today.

Tomorrow is a bit of a challenging forecast. A warm front is coming, and models show the freezing level under 5500’. However, the warm overrunning air will bring -2 degree temps to 10,000’, and that’s not a good sign. At this point, I’m going to say we’ll have graupel and rimed snowflakes tomorrow, with a chance of freezing rain/rain, with the snow level at the surface (in the Gorge, anyway) early, rising to 5000-5500’ by 7am. Precip starts around 1am, we’ll see .9” by 4pm, and another .3-.5” by midnight, with 5-8” of heavy new snow on the ground. Wind will be SW 35-45 early, picking up to 40-45 by 7am, swinging to W 40 by 10am, and going to WNW 30-35 by 7pm.

Tuesday just doesn’t look pretty, as the warm air mass moves right over the Northwest for rain, and high pressure building off the coast for strong wind. We’ll see .2-.3” rain by 4am, another .3” by 4pm, and another .5”+ by Wednesday 4am. The freezing level will be 6000’ early, rising to 9000’ by 4pm. Wind will be WNW 30+ early, going to NW 30+ at 7am, WNW 40+ by 1pm and W 55+ by 4pm.

Wednesday looks terrible, with the coastal high driving very strong WNW wind and orographic rain showers. Precip amounts are all over the map, but the freezing level looks like 7500’ and the wind looks like WNW 50-60, holding all day long.

Of course, details on Tuesday and Wednesday could change between now and then, and even Monday’s details are a bit unclear, but that’s the general idea. Enjoy today’s sunshine!

Have a great day today!


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