2/17 Mt. Hood snow forecast and Gorge wind alert

Posted by
 February 17, 2012

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Disclaimer: This forecast is for entertainment only. Don’t use it to plan your skiing, snowboarding or travel schedule, even though I do. Although I work for Meadows, this forecast is not endorsed by Meadows and does not reflect the views of the resort. Nobody pays me to write this report (unless you make a donation), so please share the link with your friends and help me increase my hits! Thank you!

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Good morning!

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Well, for once, the models are agreeing perfectly with the weather on Mt. Hood this morning: low clouds with some mist and high clouds above with the freezing level around 6000’. The snow level will be around 6000’ today, not dropping until 7pm or 10pm, depending on your preferred model. Once it drops, it’ll plummet, falling to 1500’ by midnight. Models are all over the place with rainfall/snowfall amounts: Rain, real rain, not this mist crap, starts by 1pm, for .2”-1” by 7pm. So, let’s call it .5” rain, switching to snow around 8pm, with .4” WV of snow overnight. That should give us 4-5” at 5000’ and 8-14” at 6500’ by 4am Saturday. Wind today will be SW 15-20 early, rising to 20-25 by 10am, 35-40 by 4pm and swinging to W 35-40 at 7pm and holding overnight.

So, lots of new snow on the ground Saturday morning with continuing dumping snow. The snow level will be at 1000’ all day. We’ll see orographic snow flurries in the morning, picking up around 10am. Then we’ll have .5-.6” WV by 4pm, followed by another .8-1.0” between 4pm Saturday and 4am Sunday. So, 5-7” of new during the day and another 10-14” overnight. Wind will be problematic late afternoon/early evening. We’ll start off at SW 35-40 in the morning. It looks like the low pressure will track just north of Mt. Hood, putting us in the strongest wind associated with this system. Expect WSW 40-50 by 1pm, swinging to W 40-45+ by 7pm, possibly earlier, and likely stronger, and then swinging more to the WNW.

Sunday sees over a foot of new wind-hammered snow on the ground with the snow level around 1000’. Orographic snow showers continue through 10am, with another .3” WV for 3-4” of new snow between 4am and 10am, when skies will start clearing. Wind is going to be a pain in the butt early: NW 40+, quickly backing to 30-35 by 7am, 25-30 by 10am, WSW 15-20 by 1pm and SW 10-15 by 7pm.

At this point, models disagree about Monday, so I’m going with mostly clear skies and light-ish wind, at least in the morning.

For you windsurfers and kiters, keep an eye on the eastern Gorge on Saturday afternoon. This is the perfect (if chilly) setup for a big day at Arlington and Threemile.

Have a great day today!


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