1/9 Mt. Hood snow, Gorge precip possibilities and please, please snow gods leave the Gorge alone this time!

Posted by
 January 9, 2013

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Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Good morning,

Yes, yes, I know, this forecast is late. It was my birthday yesterday (which means it’s still my birthday week), and I was up until 1am. That might be a record for me during ski season. This forecast would be later still, but with the model refresh time around 7:30am, I had to be up before that or there would be no forecast today. The alarm clock hurt this morning. Alarm clocks on days off… sheesh…

Anyway, precip is right on track. It’ll be pouring rain in the Gorge soon! Yippee! The worst of it will be done by noon, with sprinkles after. The big question is snowfall here and in Portland. Wait, I live in the Gorge, so Portland is Mark Nelsen’s concern. Oh wait. He lives in the Gorge too! Well anyway, Parkdale and Odell are a ‘for sure’ for more snow, as is any other location above 1000′. In the Gorge proper, we’ll have west wind at 21-24, and the snow level will be borderline – dropping to 500′ around 4pm and to the surface tonight. I think we’ll see snow at river level, but not sticking snow on the roads and just an inch or so at most off road. Oh please let me be right so there’s no snow on the mtb trails this next week when it’s cold enough for solid-frozen ground.

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However, the roads will freeze solid into a sheet of ice tonight, so expect sparkly, black ice conditions everywhere tonight and Thursday morning. Please be careful so Erin Mason doesn’t have to deal with any ugly wrecks if he’s working tonight.

Thursday looks partly cloudy in the Gorge, and Friday now looks clear. Please, please, please let me be right! Gorge wind will be W 21-24 central and 30+ east today, W 15-18 (and sub-freezing) tomorrow and W 21-24 (sub-freezing) on Friday.

Up on Mt. Hood, things are going to improve today (considering it’s a sheet of ice and refrozen crud right now, improvement is easy). Snow will be flying by early morning, with .8” water value (WV) during the day for 7-9” of new snow between 4am and 4pm, most of which will fall before noon. Another .1-.2” WV at most falls overnight, for less than 2” more. The freezing level will drop to 1000′ by 9am, 500′ by 4pm and less than 500′ tonight. Wind will be WSW 40 early, W 30-40 by mid-morning and WNW 25-30 in the afternoon and evening.

Thursday looks partly cloudy and cold, with the freezing level at the surface. Wind will be NW 20 early, N 15-20 mid-morning and N 20-30 late (but dang those north winds are hard to predict…) No precip.

Friday looks partly cloudy becoming clear as a bell mid-morning. It’ll be well below freezing with N wind at 15-25 or more. Saturday also looks clear and cold, with high clouds moving in late afternoon. There’s no significant precip in the extended forecast through the middle of next week.

Have an awesome day today!