11/17. Mt Hood snow/rain, Gorge wind and weather

Posted by
 November 17, 2013

It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for the snow forecast!

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Random Morning Thoughts

Gratitude Month, day 17: Today I am grateful to all the people who taught me to cook delicious things as a filthy-mouthed line cook. Why? Because being able to cook for people is a beautiful gift. Jacques, Kirby, Johnson, Terry, Ben, Pete, Mike, Christiaan, Mark, Matt, Robin, and all the rest, thank you. And thanks to Maui for letting me be a feisty, filthy-mouthed line cook.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′

Mt. Hood Snow Rain Forecast

It’s still cloudy and snowing on Mt. Hood this morning, and that’s a lovely thing. The snow level is around 4500′ this morning, and will fall to 4000′ midday, before rising to, well, somewhere between 6000′ and 8000′ overnight, and falling back to 6000′ by Monday morning. We’ll see .2” water value (WV) today, for 1-2” of snow. Wind will be WSW 25-35.

Monday starts off cloudy and calm, but that won’t last. The snow level will be 6000′ early, 6500′ around 1pm, and 7500′ from 7pm on through the night. We’ll see a snow/rain/sleet/freezing rain mix starting around 1pm, switching to rain pretty quickly. Models currently show around 1” WV between 1pm Monday and 4am Tuesday, but I suspect they are underestimating the rainfall amounts. Anyway, it’s going to be wet and not white at ski area base elevations. Wind on Monday will be SW 20 early, 40 mid-afternoon and 50 overnight.

Tuesday sees the snow level at 7500′ early, dropping to 5500′ after 4pm and crashing overnight, after the precipitation stops (of course, right?). Now, it looks like Tuesday’s precip will come from a nearly-stationary system, meaning precip amounts could vary widely depending on where the system sets up. Since it’s going to be rain, let’s hope it doesn’t set up over Mt. Hood. So, no rainfall amounts for you for now. Wind will be WSW 50 early, dropping to 30 by 4pm.

Remember yesterday’s discussion of lack of model consensus? As of today, the models are starting to agree on something completely different: a dry, two-day cold snap on Wednesday and Thursday, with temps below freezing in the Gorge and in the teens on the hill, possibly followed by another wet system next weekend (or not – the GFS precip model shows dry weather through next Sunday).

Plain Old Local Weather

It’s wet, duh. Look outside your window, and you’ll see gray sky, hovering low clouds, and dripping trees. Puddle-covered pavement. Soggy grass. Spray rising from car tires. And it’ll stay cloudy and showery today, but not so wet that you’ll abhor the outdoors. Just sprinkles today. Get your outside action early tomorrow, because the downpour starts around noon or 1pm and continues through Tuesday.

In interesting weather news, models are coming to a consensus on a very chilly Wednesday and Thursday here in the Gorge. Temps will be near, right at, or below freezing for the two day period. No precipitation with the cold snap, sadly, so no skiing on Burdoin Mountain. But maybe, just maybe, it will be cold enough to ride frozen trails, one of my favorite things!

Gorge Wind Forecast

Wow. Kudos to the kiters out in the pouring rain at the Event Site yesterday, and kudos to everyone else who caught some of that ripping wind in the desert. Today starts out light, picking up to gusty 13-15 in the western gorge and gusty 21-24 east of Mosier this afternoon. Tomorrow brings easterlies at 10-15, and then tomorrow night, after dark, we’ll see another round of westerlies at 30-40. The westerlies will likely fade to the upper teens by Tuesday morning, leaving us in light west wind for the rest of the day.

Road and Mountain Biking

Biking just sounds really wet right now. Maybe it’s better in The Dalles?

The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.

Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

There’s pickup rugby in Mosier at 3pm. I have nothing other than regularly scheduled events on my calendar for next week, so if you know of anything, please email me.

Have an awesome day today!