11/12 Mt. Hood SNOW, Gorge wind and events

Posted by
 November 12, 2012

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Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
4a-8a 8a-12p 12p-4p 4p-8p 8p-4a

Our ski mountains received a dose of fluffy love from Mother Nature last night. Despite dire predictions of rain by yours truly, the temp stayed at 32 degrees at the base of Meadows, and the precipitation, judging by the 10” of accumulation (with 1.5” water value) appears to have stayed frozen. With the freezing level around 5000′ now, and the cold front approaching, the snow should stay snow today.

Expect the freezing level to hold at 5000′ all day today with another .9” water value by 4pm. That should give another 4-5” of wet, heavy snow at 5000′. Another .1-.2” WV tonight adds another 1-2” to the base. Wind this morning will pick up to W 30-35 as the front passes, falling to W 20-25 in the afternoon.

By tomorrow morning, the snow level will be at 3500′, with a mix of clouds and sunbreaks and snow flurries on Mt. Hood. The snow level will rise to 5000′ in the afternoon, and the wind will be SW 10-15 all day.

Wednesday starts off cloudy, but becomes sunny in the afternoon, There might be a few flurries in the morning, but there won’t be significant accumulation. The freezing level will be 5000′ early, rising to 5500′ in the afternoon. Wind will be NW 5-10 early fading and becoming light and variable in the afternoon.

Thursday starts off dry and clear, quickly becoming cloudy, with precip starting around 1pm. This is another tricky system, with the freezing level at 7000′ early, falling to 5500′ by 1pm and holding for the rest of the day. I’m leaning toward wet snow, but this is a few days out, so I don’t want to make a solid call. With only .3” of water value associated with this system, it’s not a critical call.

Looking ahead to the long-term forecast, Friday brings a mix of flurries and sun. after Friday, models are disagreeing on the track of an upper level low. Some models suggest it will plow straight into Oregon with 5000′ temps at 2-6°, likely producing heavy rain on Mt. Hood. However, other models suggest we’ll see the system head south. Stay tuned. Basically, anything could happen… Chance of Mt. Hood Meadows opening MHX in the next week: 0%. If next weekend’s system starts looking like a heavy dose of snow, we’ll see that number go up.

In events this week, Tuesday evening brings you kayak polo at 8pm at the Hood River pool. Tuesday evening at 5pm, join the rugby folks for rugby under the lights at Collins Field on May Street. Then on Thursday, the HRATS have their board meeting, location TBA, time TBA. After that, at Dirty Fingers Bikes n’ Bar, there’s the Body Maintenance Tools Workshop. Learn how to use household items to enhance your body maintenance program. It’s free, and it should be fun. Coming up Saturday, it’s the annual winter weather conference, put together by the Oregon chapter of the American Meteorological Society. Location: OMSI.

Other than that… in wind news, you’ll find some weak and gusty westerlies today, but building east wind on Wednesday and Thursday will get you on the water.

Have an awesome day today!