Saturday: High-quality air, not-so-high-quality wind. =)

Posted by
Temira
Date
 August 12, 2017
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Today’s Gorge Wind – these are ranges for the average speed, not a predicted wind range. =)
Your favorite beach Dawn
Patrol
9am-
11:30a
11:30a-
3pm
3pm-
dusk
Rooster Rock late summer brown buns
Steven’s Locks 17-20 20-25 25-29 25-29
Hatchery/Wunderbar 20-23 23-27 23-29 23-29
Doug’s, Lyle, Rowena 20-23 24-27 25-30+ 25-29
Rufus, etc. 18-23+? 18-23+? 25-29? 25-29?
Roosevelt, etc. 18-23+? 18-23+? 25-29? 25-29?

 


 

Gorge Wind Forecast


Today’s weather picture is rather complex. The morning started with active thunderstorms and rain to the east of Rowena as a trough of low pressure shifted eastward across the state. In the afternoon, a cold front will approach the coast, a situation that often leads to inconsistent wind. On the plus side, the 6am gradients were .14 (pdx-dls) and .09 (dls-psc). In case you’re wondering, flow at The Dalles is 101kcfs and river temp is 72 degrees.

Atmospheric instability like we were seeing early this morning can really wreak havoc on the reliability of the wind. In situations like this, Stevenson, Doug’s, and Avery tend to end up with the strongest steadiest wind. That said, other locations are likely to see periods of strong, up-and-down (aka rangy) westerlies today. Given the gradients and GFS model, we’d expect 28-32 if everything was perfect. I think we’ll see gusty 25-29 today at most locations with periods of 28-32 possible, especially between Swell and Doug’s, which will be to the west of the instability this afternoon. Areas between The Dalles and Threemile are going to be a crapshoot today because of the thunderstorm potential. It should decrease as the day goes on, giving the wind a better foothold, but still… Don’t go driving eastward into the thunderheads!

Looking at tomorrow, we have a cold front and rain headed our way. A deep marine layer will push, if the sounding model is correct, well past Hood River. The western Gorge will be in the clouds and showers and rainbows until late afternoon. Areas between Cascade Locks and Mosier will see up-and-down 12-15 through mid-afternoon, with a chance of gusty 20-23 late in the day. Beaches between Rowena and Arlington will start the day with 19-23 or so and climb to 24-28 after 1pm when the front moves through.

Another deep marine push on Monday morning leaves Hood River partly cloudy and the western Gorge socked in. Conditions offshore won’t help much: the East Pacific High will be on vacation, giving us weak synoptic-scale support. Even so, we should start the day with 13-16 between Hood River and The Dalles. The clouds burn back Monday afternoon, setting up 20-23 between Cascade Locks and The Dalles. The general long-range, generally unreliable forecast is for continued moderate west wind with warming temps.
 


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Jones, Sauvie’s, Coast Beta Test Forecast


Jones Saturday: 12-15. Sunday: 15-18. .Monday: 19-22. Sauvie’s Saturday: 10-13. Sunday: 11-14 late (maybe). Monday: 7-10. Coast (north/central/south). Saturday: no/no/15-10, NW swell 3′ at 6 seconds. Sunday: 10-15/10-15/30-35, W 4′ @ 8. Monday: 10-15/15-20/30-35, NW 6′ @ 9.
 

Random Morning Thoughts

So far this morning I’ve managed to check off another day of sugar addition to my vats of glace cherries. But I haven’t managed to send out the forecast. I think I’ll just click send and get on with my day. As should you – get off the computer and go play! Have an awesome day.
 

Disclaimer required by my grad school program: I am not your therapist (but I could be 27 graduate school credits from now). I am your weather forecaster. Take everything I say with a grain of salt, and consult with your actual therapist about your mental health issues. One other thing: I plan to keep doing this forecast indefinitely, even when I am a therapist.
 

Gorge Weather Forecast

It’s yet another smoky, muggy morning in the Gorge, but the smoke is already diminishing. Temps will be in the mid 60’s early and mid 80’s later. Strong wind. No rainbows. Thunderstorms are likely east of Rowena. Tomorrow sees marine clouds and light rain through late morning. We may see partly cloudy sky in the evening. Temps will be near 60 early and only in the mid 70’s (yay) in the afternoon. Moderate westerlies. 83% chance of rainbows early.

For weather specifically directed at travel through the Gorge, please visit Temira’s Awesome Travel Advisory Service on Facebook.
 

White Sprinter Van of the Day



 

Road and Mountain Biking

Whoopdee, Hospital Hill, and all other SDS and Kreps lands are closed from today on through the end of fire season. That’s when “significant rain” falls and the fire danger is considered over. Also currently closed: Dethman Ridge Road at Odell Creek and Highway 30 at Chenoweth Bridge. The second one has a bypass for bikes and pedestrians in place along The Dalles waterfront trail.
 

Upcoming Events

Today’s events start with a swap meet at 7:30 at Luhr Jensen and a trail run in Post Canyon at 8. There’s a women’s bike ride leaving Mountain View Cyles at 9. At 1 today, there’s a free half-day (four hours) meditation retreat at Yoga Samadhi led by the monks from Pacific Hermitage. At 5, swing by The Hook for the King of the Hook freestyle windsurfing contest. At dusk tonight, Jackson Park has the movie Sing and Sorosis Park has The Princess Bride.

There are windsurfing races at the Event Site in Hood River today and tomororw and Vintage Dufur Days both days too. The Post Canyon 50k ultramarathon is today, and the Bridge of the Gods run is tomorrow – remember that Bridge of the Gods will be closed for about an hour in the morning. Tomorrow is also the Neon Classic Drag Races in Dallesport. The Perseid Meteor shower peaks in the wee hours after midnight tonight. Look north for the meteors.
Click here for the full events calendar.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

The Mt. Hood snow forecast is currently on vacation. It will stay on vacation until I deem it to be close enough to winter that we need a Mt. Hood snow forecast. Be safe out there on the snow this summer!

Have an awesome day today!

Temira