11/5. Mt. Hood snow forecast. Gorge wind forecast. Hood River events.

Posted by
Temira
Date
 November 5, 2013
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It’s fall now, and that means it’s time for the snow forecast!

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Random Morning Thoughts

It’s National Gratitude Month all month long. Today I am grateful to all of you for supporting me with your donations and subscriptions, and I am grateful to all of you for trusting me to tell you when the wind and snow are going to be worth your chase time. Thank you a thousand times over!

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Wind guessings, prognosticatings and musings

The wind will not be worth your chase time today. East wind this morning will switch to west wind after this front moves through, but it’s going to take some time. I think we’ll see westerlies at 15-18, but I think it’s not going to happen until after dark.

That leaves us with lingering westerlies at 13-15 tomorrow morning, but as an upper low approaches the coast, the wind will switch to E 10-13 in the afternoon. Thursday starts out light, but a strong upper low moves onshore late in the day, driving westerlies at 26-30. However, the daylight window is getting small, and I think that low is going to come in outside the window.

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast – 5000′
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday

Mt. Hood Snow Forecast

My friend Denise and I saw today’s Mt. Hood rain coming, so we hiked for turns at Meadows yesterday. So did Sammy. Enthusiastic kid. I like it. Anyway, the snow was fantastic. Fresh tracks for all!

Sadly, it’s currently raining at Meadows, and that’s not going to stop until the moisture moves through today. The snow level today will be around 8500′, dropping to 6000′ around 4pm and 3000′ for a brief period overnight. Total precip, which will end around noon, will be .4” water value. Wind will be W 30 pretty much all day.

Tomorrow looks dry and cloudy at the mountain. The free air freezing level (FAF) will be 5500′ early, 7000′ midday, and 9000′ in the evening as an upper low approaches the PNW, leaving us in the southerly warm sector. Wind Wednesday will be WNW 15-20 until the evening, when the wind will build out of the SW.

Rain starts up early Thursday morning, but will switch to snow Thursday night. At 4am, the snow level will be around 7500′, dropping to 5500′ by 10am and 4500′ by 4pm. It’s hard to make an accurate or precise call on precip amounts at this point, but I’ll say that it currently looks like we’ll see about 1” WV fall as rain during the day. Models currently show another 1-1.5” WV coming in after the snow level falls below 5000′, giving us the potential for a foot of new Thursday night, but we’re going to have to wait and see if that actually happens.

In the extended forecast, it looks like we’ll see the snow level stay below 5000′ Friday-Monday, good news for skiers.

Plain Old Local Weather

This morning looks quite rainy, but the showers should taper off this afternoon. Tomorrow looks dry. On Thursday, rain starts around 4am, and continues all day. How heavy depends on whether this system can retain a tenuous hold on subtropical moisture. If it’s a yes, it’s a downpour. If it’s a no, it’s only a downpour for part of the day.


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Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events

Tonight is Tuesday, and that means you can get really good Prime Rib for $12 at Cebu. It’s also a good day to go for sushi at Kaze, because they’ve been closed for two days and all the fish is fresh. So is the Gorge’s best soup: Mabo Ramen. Mmmm. Tonight’s also the Hood River Saddle Club’s meeting at 6:30.

On Wednesday night, kayakers head to Portland for the PDX Kayaker Film Festival at the Wonder Ballroom. Wednesday night is also Kayak Polo in Hood River. On Thursday in Portland, local photographer Jock Bradley has a show opening at Gallery 903. This is his first show, and he’s a stellar human being. If you are in Portland on Thursday night for First Thursday, please make sure to stop by and say hello.

Friday night is the Warren Miller ski movie at the Skylight Theater, benefiting HRVMS. Both showings are all ages, and there’s a Meadows pass plus lots of other stuff in the raffle. Meadows will be there taking pass photos. Friday night is also dropoff time at the HRVHS ski swap: 6:30-8pm. The swap is Saturday. Friday through Sunday is the Mt. Hood Independent Film Festival. Day passes are $15 and a full festival pass is $35.

Have an awesome day today!

Temira