Random Morning Thoughts
Gratitude Month, day 18: Keeping it simple today. I am grateful for coffee and heavy cream.
Snow Rain Forecast
Argh. (insert string of swear words). Apparently it was raining at T-Line yesterday morning at 8:30. 29 degrees and raining. That frustrates the forecaster. I didn’t see that coming. And I don’t know why I missed it. That’s the really frustrating part. I would give a lot to be able to consistently tell when we’re going to see freezing rain instead of snow.
At least this next system won’t be hard to predict. It’s going to rain on Mt. Hood. Heck, it’s probably raining now – it’s 33 degrees at 5300′. Today sees the snow level at 6000′ early, rising to 7500′ around 7pm. However, I suspect that, even at high elevations, this is going to come in as freezing rain or sleet or something that’s not pretty snowflakes. We’ll see .5” water value (WV) between 11am and 10pm today, followed by an overnight break in the precip. Wind today will be SW 25 early, rising to WSW 40-50 after 7pm.
Around 4am tomorrow, Tuesday, the rain starts again, with the snow level around 7500′. As a cold front sags down from the south, rain will fall from the sky in torrents: 1-1.5” WV between 4am and 7pm. The snow level will drop to 4500′ around 4pm, meaning we’ll see 1-2” of snow at the end of this front. After the precip stops, the snow level keeps dropping, hitting 2000′ by 7pm and dropping to 500′ by Wednesday morning. Wind Tuesday will be WSW 40 early, going to W 35 as the front moves through in the late afternoon.
Wednesday looks cold and dry and clear, with the free air freezing level at 500′ (and the freezing level right at the surface in the Gorge – that’s for you, Chris). Wind will be N 20 early and NE 20 from midday on. Unless something changes in the models, the next chance of precip is a week or more out. Sorry. At least it will be cold enough and dry enough to run the snow making machines for a couple of days.
Plain Old Local Weather
This morning is your best chance to be dry and relatively warm. Rain moves in midday today, falls from the sky through midnight, stops briefly, and then picks up again all day tomorrow, before stopping tomorrow night. Watch out for icy roads on Wednesday morning, especially if you live above 500′. Actually, those icy conditions will likely stick around during the day Wednesday above 500′, so be careful out there. Break out the fur coats, folks, because Wednesday and Thursday are going to be in the 30’s, possibly colder.
Gorge Wind Forecast
It may be late in the year, but the wind is continuing to blow in the Gorge. Today brings light wind, but sometime around 7pm, after dark, sadly, we’ll see 30+ from Mosier eastward. Tomorrow starts off light, but we should see some afternoon westerlies at 23-36, briefly. On Wednesday, expect very cold (right around freezing) east wind at 24-28+.
Keep an eye on the north coast forecast for Tuesday through Thursday, because it’s looking like we’ll see clear sky, temps in the 50’s, and wind and waves.
Road and Mountain Biking
I saw photos of people riding in The Dalles yesterday. The pavement was wet.
The Clymb: free membership. Cheap gear. Temira approves. Click to join.
Events – email me if I’ve missed any outdoor-related events
There’s indoor Ultimate Frisbee tonight at 8pm at the Armory. There’s $12 Prime Rib at Cebu tomorrow night. Wednesday is the last night of Kayak Polo, unless a bunch of you show up and kick down some cash to keep it going for the rest of the season.
Have an awesome day today!